Malaga vs Real Betis – 21 Feb 2027

La Liga Gameweek 25 Sun, Feb 21 · 16:00 Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga

Malaga 20th · 4 pts · 9 played DLLDL

VS— Compare

Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played WWDWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel156 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Malaga—%

Draw—%

Real Betis—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Málaga)

Forecast from 6 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Betis 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Malaga

Real Betis

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

41 Current StrengthIn forecast 72

28 AttackIn forecast 79

31 DefenceIn forecast 59

15 Form indexContext 80

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Malaga

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Malaga

Real Betis

0.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56

0.84 xGVia Att/Def 1.65

1.68 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96

-0.17 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

56% Scored inContext 100%

11% Clean sheetsContext 44%

11.33 ShotsContext 16.44

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33

27% On target shareContext 39%

6.67 Shots in the boxContext 9.67

62% Box shareContext 56%

6% ConversionContext 11%

1.63 OffsidesContext 1.33

14.89 Shots allowedContext 15.33

5.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22

4.00 BlocksContext 3.78

3.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33

64% Save rateContext 70%

51% PossessionIn forecast 51%

481 PassesContext 495

417 Accurate passesContext 429

87% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.70 Team ratingContext 7.03

11.56 FoulsContext 9.89

11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67

2.44 Yellow cardsContext 1.56

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.11

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.84 xGVia Att/Def 1.71

1.68 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79

-0.04 Goals minus xGContext +0.39

60% Scored inContext 100%

10% Clean sheetsContext 30%

11.40 ShotsContext 16.70

3.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20

28% On target shareContext 37%

7.00 Shots in the boxContext 10.00

64% Box shareContext 58%

7% ConversionContext 13%

1.63 OffsidesContext 1.40

14.70 Shots allowedContext 14.60

5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

3.70 BlocksContext 3.50

3.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33

66% Save rateContext 67%

51% PossessionIn forecast 52%

474 PassesContext 504

408 Accurate passesContext 438

86% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.98

10.90 FoulsContext 10.70

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Malaga DLLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km2,561 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

Form 15 · 2 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · -4.7 vs expected

L18 OctH · Real Sociedad2–51.5 xPts
D9 OctH · Espanyol1–11.6 xPts
L20 SepA · Getafe0–11.2 xPts
L17 SepH · Villarreal1–31.3 xPts
D13 SepA · Celta Vigo1–11.2 xPts

Real Betis WDWWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel156 km1,482 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Malaga	Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7La Liga 2026-2027, 14 Feb	7La Liga 2026-2027, 14 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	156 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,561 km	1,482 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Malaga Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Real Sociedad (H) 2–5, 18 Oct

1Alfonso Herrero(G)

12José Salinas 15Ángel Recio 20F. Calero Villa 31Rafita

18Pablo Martínez 8Carlos Dotor 23Izan Merino 10David Larrubia

9Chupe 21Adrián Niño

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín

25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal

10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso

9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Malaga Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Malaga · Home 0.60points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 0-3-2
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Real Betis · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

Opponent	Malaga	Real Betis
Real Sociedad	L 2–5 H	W 1–0 H
Getafe	L 0–1 A	W 1–0 H
Villarreal	L 1–3 H	W 2–1 A
Levante	D 0–0 H	L 2–5 A
Real Madrid	L 0–4 A	W 1–0 H
Deportivo La Coruna	D 1–1 H	D 1–1 A
Points	2 of 18 · 0.33 per game	13 of 18 · 2.17 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Malaga	Real Betis
Scored per game	0.67	1.78
Conceded per game	2.00	1.56
Match goals	2.67	3.33
Over 1.5	78%	56%
Over 2.5	33%	44%
Over 3.5	33%	33%
Both teams scored	56%	56%
Clean sheets	11%	44%
Failed to score	44%	0%
Games	9	9

	Malaga	Real Betis
Scored per game	0.67	2.10
Conceded per game	2.00	1.80
Match goals	2.67	3.90
Over 1.5	78%	70%
Over 2.5	33%	60%
Over 3.5	33%	50%
Both teams scored	56%	70%
Clean sheets	11%	30%
Failed to score	44%	0%
Games	9	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Malaga	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	5.56	4.78
Corners conceded	4.89	6.44
Match total	10.45	11.22	9.91
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	2.44	1.67
Opponent cards	2.33	2.67
Match total	4.77	4.34	4.73
Over 3.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9
Over 4.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9

	Malaga	Real Betis	League
Corners
Corners won	5.70	4.90
Corners conceded	5.10	5.90
Match total	10.80	10.80	9.91
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.60	1.90
Opponent cards	2.30	2.60
Match total	4.90	4.50	4.73
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.