Malaga

20th · La Liga · 4 points · Matches played: 9

23 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-11.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -6.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 40.5-11.2
World Rank 129th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 20th L90 Strength
Last Real SociedadH xG 1.1–2.4 2–5 Next AlavesA 19%

Compare clubs

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Our take

Up against it.

Malaga are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 7 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. Diego Murillo is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Real Betis.

La Liga · 9 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are wasteful in front of goal (6% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 75%Likely 19th · 33 projected points
  • Next 3: about 3 of 9 points Toughest at Real Betis · , 11% to win
  • 1 key player outDiego Murillo · 12% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 4 pts vs 11.2 expected-7.2 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Malaga. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
La LigaView table →
Position
20th/ 20
Points
40.44 PPG
Played
9
League gap
23pts behind leader
0.0%Win %
Wins0
Draws4
Losses5

Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
60.67 / game
xG 7.58 1.58 fewer goals than expected. vs 6 goals
Goals Against
182.00 / game
xGA 15.11 2.89 more conceded than expected. vs 18 conceded
Goal Difference
-12-1.33 / game
xGD -7.53 Goal difference is 4.47 lower than expected. vs -12 GD
Clean Sheets
111% of games

League standings

La Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full La Liga table, Malaga highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Barcelona 93 9900 +30 27
2– Atletico Madrid 81 9711 +11 22
3▲ Real Madrid 89 9702 +14 21
4▼ Real Betis 72 9612 +2 19
5▲ Real Sociedad 58 9513 +0 16
6▼ Sevilla 50 9423 -2 14
7– Alaves 48 9324 +3 11
8▲ Celta Vigo 54 9252 +3 11
9▼ Deportivo La Coruna 45 9252 +1 11
10▲ Osasuna 46 9324 -8 11
11▼ Athletic Club 55 7232 +1 9
12▼ Villarreal 67 9234 +0 9
13– Rayo Vallecano 58 8233 -5 9
14– Getafe 48 9234 -6 9
15▼ Espanyol 44 9225 -1 8
16▼ Racing Santander 41 9225 -12 8
17– Levante 48 8143 -4 7
18– Elche 44 9144 -6 7
19– Valencia 51 9135 -9 6
20– Malaga 41 9045 -12 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Malaga league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
1 · Partial19 Aug 20261801
227 Aug 20261612
331 Aug 20262013
6 · Partial17 Sep 20261936
720 Sep 20262037
8 · Partial12 Oct 20262048
919 Oct 20262049

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Adrián Niño3 goals
Most assists
Pablo Martínez2 assists
Best rated
Alfonso Herrero7.18 avg rating
Most minutes
Alfonso Herrero810 min
Key to the model
David LarrubiaCore · weight 2.58
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
Alfonso Herrero 32 9 (9) 810 0 0 7.18 starter
Andrés Céspedes 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Carlos López 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
Ángel Recio 23 9 (9) 810 0 0 6.61 rotation
Rafita — 9 (8) 741 0 1 6.68 starter
Izan Merino 20 8 (6) 482 0 0 6.53 starter
Einar Galilea 32 6 (6) 470 0 0 6.75 rotation
Puga 25 8 (5) 413 0 0 6.57 starter
José Salinas 26 7 (5) 406 0 0 6.30 rotation
F. Calero Villa 31 2 (2) 164 0 0 6.32 starter
Juan Berrocal 27 2 (1) 92 0 0 6.75 rotation
A. Aznou 20 2 (0) 73 0 0 5.85 rotation
Pablo Arriaza — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Diego Murillo injured 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Álex Pastor 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Miguel Santaella — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
David Larrubia 24 9 (8) 732 0 0 6.67 core
Carlos Dotor 25 8 (7) 559 1 0 6.83 starter
Dani Lorenzo 23 8 (6) 526 0 0 6.73 starter
Pablo Martínez 28 7 (5) 478 1 2 6.93 starter
Juan Cruz injured 26 7 (3) 243 0 1 6.66 rotation
Rafa Rodríguez 23 5 (3) 222 0 0 6.61 rotation
Ramón Enríquez 25 8 (0) 161 0 0 6.65 rotation
H. Abaida 24 3 (0) 41 0 0 6.54 depth
J. Cajuste 27 1 (0) 4 0 0 6.60 depth
A. Ochoa injured 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Joseph Otunenche 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Chupe 22 9 (8) 743 1 0 6.39 starter
Joaquín Muñoz 27 9 (6) 473 0 0 6.53 starter
Adrián Niño 22 5 (1) 206 3 0 7.26 rotation
Eneko Jauregi 30 2 (1) 56 0 0 6.30 rotation
Julen Lobete injured 26 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.30 —
Juan Fernandéz — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Juan Fernandez — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Alaves: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength20th of 20
41 Elo 1588 · World #129
Current Strength
41 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack19th of 20
28 Scores 1.23 per match against an average top-five side
Defence19th of 20
31 Concedes 1.85 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

15
Form index · 19th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
2
Median top-5 club
6.8
Own forecasts
6.7 -4.7
Table20th L90 Strength20th Form19th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L18 OctH · Real Sociedad2–51.5 xPts
  • D9 OctH · Espanyol1–11.6 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Getafe0–11.2 xPts
  • L17 SepH · Villarreal1–31.3 xPts
  • D13 SepA · Celta Vigo1–11.2 xPts
  • D6 SepH · Levante0–01.4 xPts
  • L30 AugA · Real Madrid0–40.4 xPts
  • D24 AugH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.8 xPts
  • L19 AugA · Atletico Madrid0–20.8 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 5/9
Clean sheet 1/9
Conceded 2+ 4/9
Over 2.5 3/9
Both teams scored 5/9

Playing style vs La Liga average

MALLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.67 1.54 18th
Goals conceded 2.00 1.55 16th
xG 0.84 1.45 19th
xG allowed 1.68 1.46 15th
Scored in 56% 75% 17th
Clean sheets 11% 25% 15th
MALLeagueRank
Shots 11.33 13.43 14th
Shots on target 3.00 4.90 18th
On target share 27% 35% 18th
Box share 62% 59% 7th
Conversion 6% 11% 19th
MALLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.89 13.36 13th
On target allowed 5.89 4.92 17th
Blocks 4.00 3.56 5th
Save rate 64% 69% 14th
MALLeagueRank
Possession 51% 50% 7th
Passes 481 456 8th
Pass accuracy 87% 84% 5th
MALLeagueRank
Fouls 11.56 12.30 8th
Fouls suffered 11.67 12.30 12th
Yellow cards 2.44 2.17 15th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
MALLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.80 1.56 19th
Goals conceded 1.90 1.55 17th
xG 0.84 1.44 19th
xG allowed 1.68 1.43 14th
Scored in 60% 76% 15th
Clean sheets 10% 22% 15th
MALLeagueRank
Shots 11.40 13.43 15th
Shots on target 3.20 4.92 19th
On target share 28% 35% 18th
Box share 64% 60% 7th
Conversion 7% 11% 18th
MALLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.70 13.15 15th
On target allowed 5.90 4.91 18th
Blocks 3.70 3.45 9th
Save rate 66% 68% 14th
MALLeagueRank
Possession 51% 50% 5th
Passes 474 450 8th
Pass accuracy 86% 84% 7th
MALLeagueRank
Fouls 10.90 12.32 6th
Fouls suffered 11.50 12.28 14th
Yellow cards 2.50 2.11 14th
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.60pts per game0-3-2 · 1.0–2.0 goals · 5 games
Away0.25pts per game0-1-3 · 0.2–2.0 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

1 2 0-15
5 16-30
1 3 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 3 61-75
2 4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 6 18th / 20
GF/G 0.67 18th / 20
xG/G 0.84 19th / 20
G − xG -0.17 16th / 20

Defence

GA 18 18th / 20
GA/G 2.00 16th / 20
xGA/G 1.68 15th / 20
xGA − GA -0.32 17th / 20

Overall

Pts 4 20th / 20
xPts 11.2 11th / 20
PPG 0.44 20th / 20
TR 6.70 15th / 20
GD -12 19th / 20
xGD -7.6 19th / 20
W 0 20th / 20
L 5 17th / 20

Scorelines

  • 1–1×3
  • 0–2×1
  • 0–4×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–3×1
  • 0–1×1

Goals per game both teams

11% 0
11% 1
44% 2
0% 3
22% 4
11% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
78%76%
Over 2.5
33%56%
Over 3.5
33%39%
Both scored
56%59%
Clean sheet
11%25%
Failed to score
44%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.