Primeira Liga Gameweek 21 Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
0–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.97 – 0.64
Casa Pia
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

No way through for Nacional or Casa Pia

Nacional entered as narrow favourites, but neither side found a way through. Nacional finished with the higher xG (0.97 vs 0.64).

Nacional47%
Draw ✓28%
Casa Pia26%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 0.97
Casa Pia goals
0
Model 1.02 · xG 0.64
Total goals
0
Model 2.47 · xG 1.61
Score 0–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 45%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMatheus DiasNacional
7.6
  • RefereeGustavo Correia
  • Coaches— · Jardim Brandao Goncalo
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira
  • Table before kick-offNacional 13th · Casa Pia 15th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ João MarquesFor Tiago Morais
    46’
  3. KalyYellow card
    64’
  4. ⇄ Oluwakorede OsundinaFor J. Livolant
    71’
  5. ⇄ I. MohamedFor Rafael Brito
    71’
  6. I. MohamedYellow card
    77’
  7. ⇄ ClaudioFor Cassiano
    80’
  8. Léo SantosYellow card · misses next match
    83’
  9. ⇄ Daniel JúniorFor Gabriel Veron
    84’
  10. ⇄ WitiFor José Gomes
    84’
  11. Miguel BaezaYellow card
    85’
  12. André GeraldesYellow card
    86’
  13. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Miguel Baeza
    89’
  14. ⇄ Pablo RuanFor Paulinho Bóia
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 0–0

Team stats

Nacional21 shots · 11 in box, 10 outside
Casa Pia9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
NacionalCasa Pia
69% Possession 31%
0.97 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.05
21 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
12 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 5
10 Shots outside the box 4
483 Passes 224
83% Pass accuracy 67%
12 Corners 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

16.9 Kaique(G)
56.7 José Gomes ↓84’ 387.0 Zé Vitor 346.6 Léo Santos 166.9 Alan Nuñez
86.3 Miguel Baeza ↓89’ 67.6★ Matheus Dias 287.2 Liziero
117.3 Paulinho Bóia ↓90’ 95.7 J. Ramírez 276.7 Gabriel Veron ↓84’
  • 1Kaique (G)6.9
  • 5José Gomes↓84’6.7
  • 38Zé Vitor7.0
  • 34Léo Santos6.6
  • 16Alan Nuñez6.9
  • 8Miguel Baeza↓89’6.3
  • 6Matheus Dias ★7.6
  • 28Liziero7.2
  • 11Paulinho Bóia↓90’7.3
  • 9J. Ramírez5.7
  • 27Gabriel Veron↓84’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 26Joel Silva↑89’
  • 7Witi↑84’
  • 10Daniel Júnior↑84’
  • 99Pablo Ruan↑90’

Unused: Kevyn, Francisco Gonçalves, Deivison, C. Labidi, Lucas João

Casa Pia 3-4-3

17.2 P. Sequeira(G)
186.9 André Geraldes 37.0 Kaly 47.2 João Goulart
57.2 A. Conté 86.3 Rafael Brito ↓71’ 807.0 L. Ofori 726.9 Gaizka Larrazabal
216.5 Tiago Morais ↓46’ 906.9 Cassiano ↓80’ 296.6 J. Livolant ↓71’
  • 1P. Sequeira (G)7.2
  • 18André Geraldes6.9
  • 3Kaly7.0
  • 4João Goulart7.2
  • 5A. Conté7.2
  • 8Rafael Brito↓71’6.3
  • 80L. Ofori7.0
  • 72Gaizka Larrazabal6.9
  • 21Tiago Morais↓46’6.5
  • 90Cassiano↓80’6.9
  • 29J. Livolant↓71’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 11João Marques↑46’6.9
  • 13Oluwakorede Osundina↑71’6.3
  • 24I. Mohamed↑71’6.5
  • 99Claudio↑80’6.3

Unused: Ivan Mandić, Kaique Rocha, Kevin Prieto, Pedro Rosas, Dailon Livramento

Coach: Jardim Brandao Goncalo

Player stats

Top rated
Matheus DiasNacional7.6
2nd
Paulinho BóiaNacional7.3
3rd
LizieroNacional7.2

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Kaique G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 59% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
José Gomes D 84 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 33 1 0 0/2 0/3 6.7
Zé Vitor D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 67 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 62 1 1 0/0 3/0 6.6
Alan Nuñez D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 87% 39 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
Miguel Baeza M 89 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 40 2 1 0/0 5/1 6.3
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 73 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.6
Liziero M 90 0 0 2 (0) 4 91% 53 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
Paulinho Bóia F 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 88% 24 2 0 0/3 1/5 7.3
J. Ramírez F 90 0 0 5 (2) 3 76% 21 0 0 0/0 2/0 5.7
Gabriel Veron F 84 0 0 2 (0) 1 89% 27 2 1 1/2 1/2 6.7
Joel Silva M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Witi F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Daniel Júnior F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Pablo Ruan M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Casa Pia

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Sequeira G 90 0 0 4 sv 1 50% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
André Geraldes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 17 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
Kaly D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 58% 19 2 4 0/0 1/2 7.0
João Goulart D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 13 2 0 0/1 2/1 7.2
A. Conté D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 32 2 0 0/0 0/3 7.2
Rafael Brito M 71 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 17 1 2 0/0 1/2 6.3
L. Ofori M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 79% 19 3 0 2/2 0/0 7.0
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 18 2 0 2/4 2/0 6.9
Tiago Morais F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
Cassiano F 80 0 0 4 (2) 0 33% 9 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
J. Livolant M 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 13 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
João Marques M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 16 2 0 2/3 1/4 6.9
Oluwakorede Osundina F 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
I. Mohamed M 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Claudio F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.