Nice
Attack−3%
Defense risk+26%
Team comparison: records, playing style and trends. These are team-level indicators, not statistics recorded in this match.
Match Statistics
Nice vs Rennes · Ligue 1
Team strength
Nice
Rennes
28
L90 Strength
55
27
Current Strength
54
25
Attack
64
37
Defence
45
67
Form index
66
Scale 0–100 · League avg. Current ratings; hover over each marker for its value.
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. The Form index describes recent results; see Recent form on Overview.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisRennes
Attack+9%
Defense risk−14%
Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.
Playing style
NiceRennes
1.00
Goals scored
2.25
1.25
Goals conceded
1.75
1.00
xG
2.09
1.57
xG allowed
2.10
+0.00
Goals minus xG
+0.16
63%
Scored in
88%
13%
Clean sheets
25%
NiceRennes
11.38
Shots
16.00
3.50
Shots on target
6.00
31%
On target share
38%
7.13
Shots in the box
10.50
63%
Box share
63%
9%
Conversion
14%
5.88
Corners
6.14
NiceRennes
13%
Clean sheets
25%
12.00
Shots allowed
14.88
4.75
On target allowed
5.63
2.88
Blocks
4.63
3.25
Goalkeeper saves
3.63
68%
Save rate
64%
NiceRennes
54%
Possession
51%
535
Passes
472
465
Accurate passes
398
87%
Pass accuracy
84%
6.73
Team rating
6.86
NiceRennes
3.13
Offsides
1.60
10.00
Fouls
13.13
9.00
Fouls suffered
12.13
2.25
Yellow cards
2.25
0.00
Red cards
0.00
This league season, before kick-off · 8 / 8 matches; individual metric coverage may vary.
NiceRennes
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
1.09
xG
2.13
1.32
xG allowed
1.61
-0.19
Goals minus xG
-0.13
60%
Scored in
80%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
NiceRennes
12.10
Shots
18.30
3.60
Shots on target
6.40
30%
On target share
35%
7.80
Shots in the box
12.30
65%
Box share
67%
7%
Conversion
11%
5.70
Corners
6.50
NiceRennes
20%
Clean sheets
30%
12.30
Shots allowed
12.70
4.60
On target allowed
4.90
3.20
Blocks
4.11
3.20
Goalkeeper saves
3.56
70%
Save rate
67%
NiceRennes
53%
Possession
55%
517
Passes
491
446
Accurate passes
418
86%
Pass accuracy
85%
6.74
Team rating
6.84
NiceRennes
2.90
Offsides
2.00
9.90
Fouls
12.70
10.20
Fouls suffered
12.80
2.00
Yellow cards
1.90
0.00
Red cards
0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off · 10 / 10 matches; individual metric coverage may vary.
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
Data notes
These are observed match statistics. Fouls are not a measure of pressing. The possession values here are descriptive averages; the forecast uses its separately weighted possession input. No new style adjustment is applied.
Home & Away this season
Nice · Home
2.00points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-2-0
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 0.75
Rennes · Away
1.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 1.67
- Conceded
- 3.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Goals & Trends
Scoring patterns and when goals arrive.
Scoring patterns
NiceRennes
2.25
Match goals
4.00
75%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 2.5
88%
0%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Both teams scored
63%
13%
Clean sheets
25%
38%
Failed to score
13%
This league season, before kick-off · 8 / 8 matches
NiceRennes
2.10
Match goals
3.50
70%
Over 1.5
80%
60%
Over 2.5
80%
0%
Over 3.5
50%
60%
Both teams scored
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
Failed to score
20%
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off · 10 / 10 matches
Compare with match forecast
Projected total xG3.26Over 2.563%BTTS64%
Goal timing
Nice8 games · scored 8 · conceded 10
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
Rennes8 games · scored 18 · conceded 14
4
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
4
76-90
Nice10 games · scored 9 · conceded 12
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
Rennes10 games · scored 20 · conceded 15
4
4
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Additional Statistics
Corners and cards.
Corners
| Nice | Rennes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 5.88 | 6.14 | — |
| Corners conceded | 3.00 | 5.57 | — |
| Match total | 8.88 | 11.71 | 9.47 |
| Over 8.5 | 63% 5/8 | 57% 4/7 | — |
| Over 9.5 | 63% 5/8 | 57% 4/7 | — |
| Over 10.5 | 25% 2/8 | 57% 4/7 | — |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
This league season, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
| Nice | Rennes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 5.70 | 6.50 | — |
| Corners conceded | 3.80 | 5.40 | — |
| Match total | 9.50 | 11.90 | 9.47 |
| Over 8.5 | 70% 7/10 | 70% 7/10 | — |
| Over 9.5 | 70% 7/10 | 60% 6/10 | — |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | — |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
Cards
| Nice | Rennes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 2.25 | 2.25 | — |
| Opponent cards | 1.13 | 2.50 | — |
| Match total | 3.38 | 4.75 | 3.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 4/8 | 88% 7/8 | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 2/8 | 50% 4/8 | — |
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
This league season, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
| Nice | Rennes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.90 | — |
| Opponent cards | 1.10 | 2.40 | — |
| Match total | 3.10 | 4.30 | 3.68 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 40% 4/10 | — |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
Referee · Eric Wattellier France · 102 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.10league 2.80
Red cards0.23league 0.20
Cards 5+22%league 0%
Fouls20.5league 23.0
Penalties0.36league 0.20
Home wins49%league 20%
Nice11 with this referee
Record6-4-1
Cards · opp.1.9 · 1.2
Pens for · against3 · 1
Reds1
- W26 Jan 25H · Marseille2–01
- D7 Apr 24A · Reims0–01
- L11 Feb 24H · Monaco2–36
- W3 Jun 23H · Lyon3–10
- W30 Apr 23A · Estac Troyes1–02
Rennes10 with this referee
Record5-2-3
Cards · opp.1.8 · 1.8
Pens for · against2 · 2
Reds1
- W3 Jan 26A · Lille2–01
- D19 Oct 25H · Auxerre2–21
- L8 Dec 24A · Nantes0–12
- L25 Aug 24A · Strasbourg1–34
- W17 Mar 24H · Marseille2–01
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.