Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Feb 13 · 16:00 Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière 16th · 4 pts · 8 played
First leg0–2 VS— Compare
OH Leuven 15th · 5 pts · 8 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel55 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
RAAL La Louvière—%
Draw—%
OH Leuven—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (La Louvière)

Forecast from 29 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for RAAL La Louvière and OH Leuven. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

RAAL La LouvièreOH Leuven
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
17 Current StrengthIn forecast 18
15 AttackIn forecast 17
15 DefenceIn forecast 30
16 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

RAAL La Louvière

Attack—
Defense risk—

OH Leuven

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

RAAL La LouvièreOH Leuven
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.75
2.25 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
0.86 xGVia Att/Def 1.07
2.28 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.38
+0.14 Goals minus xGContext -0.32
63% Scored inContext 63%
13% Clean sheetsContext 13%
11.38 ShotsContext 12.75
3.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.38
32% On target shareContext 19%
7.43 Shots in the boxContext 8.50
59% Box shareContext 69%
9% ConversionContext 6%
2.43 OffsidesContext 1.50
16.00 Shots allowedContext 14.75
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
3.88 BlocksContext 5.14
2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.14
58% Save rateContext 63%
37% PossessionIn forecast 48%
335 PassesContext 418
257 Accurate passesContext 329
77% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.58 Team ratingContext 6.72
12.13 FoulsContext 11.25
9.25 Fouls sufferedContext 11.38
2.13 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.70
2.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70
1.10 xGVia Att/Def 1.01
1.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.06
+0.20 Goals minus xGContext -0.31
70% Scored inContext 60%
10% Clean sheetsContext 10%
11.60 ShotsContext 12.70
3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60
34% On target shareContext 21%
7.89 Shots in the boxContext 8.60
62% Box shareContext 70%
11% ConversionContext 6%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.00
14.70 Shots allowedContext 15.00
4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80
3.60 BlocksContext 4.78
2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.44
59% Save rateContext 66%
39% PossessionIn forecast 47%
334 PassesContext 402
257 Accurate passesContext 318
77% Pass accuracyContext 79%
6.66 Team ratingContext 6.74
11.10 FoulsContext 10.90
10.40 Fouls sufferedContext 11.40
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.60
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

RAAL La Louvière
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km151 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected
  • L10 OctH · Club Brugge KV1–40.6 xPts
  • L19 SepA · OH Leuven0–21.3 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Kortrijk3–01.8 xPts
  • L5 SepA · St. Truiden0–40.7 xPts
  • D29 AugH · KV Mechelen2–21.4 xPts
OH Leuven
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel55 km119 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 5 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +0.3 vs expected
  • D11 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.3 xPts
  • W19 SepH · RAAL La Louvière2–01.5 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Cercle Brugge1–11.3 xPts
  • L6 SepA · SK Beveren0–31.1 xPts
  • L3 SepA · Gent0–10.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
RAAL La Louvière OH Leuven
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Feb7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 6 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km55 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways151 km119 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

RAAL La Louvière Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Club Brugge KV (H) 1–4, 10 Oct
21M. Peano(G)
18S. Delos 25D. Lamego 99Y. Okou 33P. Nkoa 3N. Gillot
23J. Ito 10M. Wade 29M. Courcoul
11M. Ubandoma 9E. Filet
OH Leuven Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-3 · vs Union St. Gilloise (A) 1–1, 11 Oct
13K. Vroman(G)
34R. Nyakossi 3Noë Dussenne 5J. Lawrence
99D. Opoku 8S. Schrijvers 6W. George 27Óscar Gil
21W. Balikwisha 18Robin Mirisola 24Ł. Łakomy

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
RAAL La Louvière Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
OH Leuven Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

RAAL La Louvière · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.75
Conceded
2.00
OH Leuven · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-1-3
Scored
0.50
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentRAAL La LouvièreOH Leuven
Club Brugge KV L 1–4 H L 0–3 H
Standard Liege L 0–2 A L 1–2 H
Gent L 1–2 H L 0–1 A
Points0 of 9 · 0.00 per game0 of 9 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

1 RAAL La Louvière wins1 draws1 OH Leuven wins
Goals per game0.67 – 1.00 Over 2.533% Both scored33% Clean sheets33% · 67%
  • 19 Sep 2026OH Leuven2–0RAAL La Louvière
  • 27 Dec 2025RAAL La Louvière0–0OH Leuven
  • 20 Sep 2025OH Leuven1–2RAAL La Louvière

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

RAAL La LouvièreOH LeuvenForecast
Scored per game 1.000.75
Conceded per game 2.251.75
Match goals 3.252.50
Over 1.5 100%88%
Over 2.5 75%50%
Over 3.5 38%13%
Both teams scored 50%50%
Clean sheets 13%13%
Failed to score 38%38%
Games88
RAAL La LouvièreOH LeuvenForecast
Scored per game 1.600.90
Conceded per game 2.401.40
Match goals 4.002.30
Over 1.5 100%80%
Over 2.5 80%40%
Over 3.5 50%10%
Both teams scored 60%40%
Clean sheets 10%30%
Failed to score 30%30%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

RAAL La LouvièreOH LeuvenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.713.25
Corners conceded6.008.25
Match total9.7111.5010.01
Over 8.557% 4/775% 6/8
Over 9.543% 3/763% 5/8
Over 10.529% 2/763% 5/8
Cards
Cards2.502.13
Opponent cards1.381.63
Match total3.883.763.36
Over 3.563% 5/875% 6/8
Over 4.538% 3/825% 2/8
RAAL La LouvièreOH LeuvenLeague
Corners
Corners won3.893.60
Corners conceded5.678.20
Match total9.5611.8010.01
Over 8.556% 5/970% 7/10
Over 9.544% 4/960% 6/10
Over 10.533% 3/960% 6/10
Cards
Cards2.201.70
Opponent cards1.501.50
Match total3.703.203.36
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.530% 3/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

RAAL La Louvière8 games · scored 8 · conceded 18
3 1 0-15
1 16-30
2 4 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 4 61-75
1 4 76-90
OH Leuven8 games · scored 6 · conceded 14
1 0-15
2 2 16-30
2 31-45
3 46-60
1 3 61-75
1 5 76-90
RAAL La Louvière10 games · scored 13 · conceded 21
3 1 0-15
1 16-30
3 7 31-45
3 4 46-60
2 4 61-75
2 4 76-90
OH Leuven10 games · scored 7 · conceded 17
1 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 46-60
1 3 61-75
1 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Belgian Pro League

View all fixtures →
Lommel United Union St. Gilloise Feb 1316:00 KVC Westerlo Club Brugge KV Feb 1316:00 Anderlecht KV Mechelen Feb 1316:00 Standard Liege Zulte Waregem Feb 1316:00 St. Truiden Gent Feb 1316:00 SK Beveren Genk Feb 1316:00 Antwerp Kortrijk Feb 1316:00 Cercle Brugge Charleroi Feb 1316:00 RAAL La Louvière OH Leuven Feb 1316:00