Real Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Real Betis were slight favourites.
Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (68 vs 49). Real Betis had 4 days of rest, Feyenoord 4.2 and had to travel 1,812 km.
Away travel1,812 kmRest days4 · 4.2Matches / 14d3 · 3
Real Betis58%
Draw22%
Feyenoord20%
Real Betis55%
Draw24%
Feyenoord20%
Real Betis57%
Draw23%
Feyenoord20%
Real Betis50%
Draw24%
Feyenoord26%
Real Betis57%
Draw23%
Feyenoord20%
Over 2.5 61%
Both score 59%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Sevilla)
No weather data yet
Referee · MontenegroNikola Dabanovic
- Cards per match 3.3
- Penalties per match 0.13
- Matches 8
Team strength
Real Betis
Feyenoord
68
L90 StrengthIn forecast
49
72
Current StrengthIn forecast
59
79
AttackIn forecast
76
59
DefenceIn forecast
61
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisFeyenoord
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Real BetisFeyenoord
1.57
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.43
0.86
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.86
0.82
xGVia Att/Def
1.19
1.18
xG allowedVia Att/Def
0.76
+0.75
Goals minus xGContext
+0.24
71%
Scored inContext
57%
43%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
11.71
ShotsContext
13.43
4.14
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.43
35%
On target shareContext
33%
5.57
Shots in the boxContext
8.43
48%
Box shareContext
61%
13%
ConversionContext
11%
2.50
OffsidesContext
2.00
9.71
Shots allowedContext
7.43
2.86
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.43
3.00
BlocksContext
2.00
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.17
70%
Save rateContext
62%
53%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
496
PassesContext
427
432
Accurate passesContext
360
87%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.85
Team ratingContext
6.80
12.14
FoulsContext
14.00
12.43
Fouls sufferedContext
12.43
2.43
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.50
1.60
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.39
xGVia Att/Def
1.58
1.51
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.17
+0.31
Goals minus xGContext
+0.92
80%
Scored inContext
90%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
14.50
ShotsContext
15.20
5.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.80
35%
On target shareContext
38%
8.10
Shots in the boxContext
11.00
56%
Box shareContext
71%
12%
ConversionContext
16%
3.00
OffsidesContext
1.50
13.30
Shots allowedContext
11.10
4.90
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.50
3.70
BlocksContext
3.25
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.11
67%
Save rateContext
67%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
416
PassesContext
464
346
Accurate passesContext
391
83%
Pass accuracyContext
84%
6.79
Team ratingContext
6.93
11.70
FoulsContext
10.20
12.70
Fouls sufferedContext
11.20
2.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.30
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Real Betis
Rest4 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km6,363 km in 14d
Schedule load25%Moderate
Feyenoord
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel1,812 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load35%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Real Betis |
Feyenoord |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Moderate · 25 | Moderate · 35 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4La Liga 2025-2026, 25 Jan | 4.2Eredivisie 2025-2026, 25 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,812 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 6,363 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 3 / 5 | 1 / 3 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 2.8 | 2.7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
25Pau López(G)
16Valentín Gómez
4Natan
3Diego Llorente
40Ángel Ortiz
8Pablo Fornals
21Marc Roca
18Nelson Alexander Deossa Suarez
10A. Ezzalzouli
9L. Ávila
7Antony
Feyenoord
Confirmed XI
22T. Wellenreuther(G)
32Aymen Sliti
15J. Bos
47T. Kraaijeveld
30M. Lotomba
40L. Valente
28O. Targhalline
11Gonçalo Borges
10C. Larin
23A. Hadj Moussa
17C. Tengstedt
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Real Betis
Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Feyenoord
Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.10 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Real Betis+1.0 pp
- Draw-0.5 pp
- Feyenoord-0.4 pp
Home / Away this season
Real Betis · Home
2.33points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-0
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Feyenoord · Away
0.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-3
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 2.33
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Real Betis | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.57 | 1.43 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.86 | 1.86 | |
| Match goals | 2.43 | 3.29 | 3.14 |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 43% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 43% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Real Betis | Feyenoord | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.70 | 2.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.60 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.30 | 4.50 | 3.14 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Real Betis | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.43 | 4.71 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.86 | 2.71 | |
| Match total | 7.29 | 7.42 | 9.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 43% 3/7 | 29% 2/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 14% 1/7 | 0% 0/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 14% 1/7 | 0% 0/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.43 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.71 | |
| Match total | 4.43 | 4.71 | 4.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 86% 6/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Real Betis | Feyenoord | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.60 | 6.44 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 3.78 | |
| Match total | 9.60 | 10.22 | 9.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 80% 8/10 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.40 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 4.40 | 2.90 | 4.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 0% 0/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Nikola Dabanovic Montenegro · 8 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.13league 4.13
Red cards0.13league 0.21
Cards 5+38%league 42%
Fouls20.6league 24.2
Penalties0.13league 0.36
Home wins75%league 51%
Real BetisNo previous matches with this referee.
Feyenoord1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L24 Sep 25A · SC Braga0–12
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Real Betis7 games · scored 11 · conceded 6
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
6
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
Feyenoord7 games · scored 10 · conceded 13
2
1
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
7
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 17 · conceded 16
1
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
4
76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 25 · conceded 20
3
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
6
9
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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