Real Betis vs Valencia

La Liga Gameweek 34 Sun, May 2 · 16:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla

Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played WWDWL

VS— Compare

Valencia 19th · 6 pts · 9 played LWLDD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel540 kmRest days11 · 11Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Real Betis—%

Draw—%

Valencia—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Sevilla)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Betis 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Real Betis

Valencia

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

72 Current StrengthIn forecast 51

79 AttackIn forecast 39

59 DefenceIn forecast 52

80 Form indexContext 36

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—

Defense risk—

Valencia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real Betis

Valencia

1.78 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.67

1.56 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.67

1.65 xGVia Att/Def 1.04

1.96 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

+0.13 Goals minus xGContext -0.37

100% Scored inContext 44%

44% Clean sheetsContext 33%

16.44 ShotsContext 11.11

6.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

39% On target shareContext 24%

9.67 Shots in the boxContext 7.50

56% Box shareContext 58%

11% ConversionContext 6%

1.33 OffsidesContext 2.11

15.33 Shots allowedContext 15.11

6.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.11

3.78 BlocksContext 4.00

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56

70% Save rateContext 70%

51% PossessionIn forecast 46%

495 PassesContext 422

429 Accurate passesContext 346

87% Pass accuracyContext 82%

7.03 Team ratingContext 6.70

9.89 FoulsContext 10.89

11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 11.44

1.56 Yellow cardsContext 2.22

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.08

1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.50

+0.39 Goals minus xGContext -0.18

100% Scored inContext 50%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

16.70 ShotsContext 11.90

6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.33

37% On target shareContext 25%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

58% Box shareContext 59%

13% ConversionContext 8%

1.40 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.60 Shots allowedContext 14.70

6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.50 BlocksContext 3.78

4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

67% Save rateContext 70%

52% PossessionIn forecast 44%

504 PassesContext 400

438 Accurate passesContext 326

87% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.98 Team ratingContext 6.73

10.70 FoulsContext 10.90

11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 11.10

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis WDWWL

Rest11 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km757 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected

L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Valencia LWLDD

Rest11 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel540 km935 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 36 · 5 pts vs 6.7 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected

D17 OctH · Athletic Club0–01.4 xPts
D11 OctA · Racing Santander2–21.2 xPts
L20 SepH · Real Sociedad2–31.6 xPts
W15 SepA · Alaves1–00.9 xPts
L11 SepA · Sevilla0–11.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Real Betis	Valencia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	11La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Apr	11La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	540 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	757 km	935 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 4	0 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct

1Álvaro Vallés(G)

11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín

25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal

10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso

9C. Hernández

Valencia Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Athletic Club (H) 0–0, 17 Oct

1S. Dimitrievski(G)

14José Gayà 12J. de Haas 5César Tárrega 24Pablo Maffeo

2G. Rodríguez 18Pepelu

7A. Danjuma 8Javi Guerra 19Dani Raba

9Hugo Duro

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Valencia Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 2.40points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.40

Valencia · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Real Betis	Valencia
Barcelona	L 2–5 H	L 0–5 H
Deportivo La Coruna	D 1–1 A	L 1–3 A
Real Sociedad	W 1–0 H	L 2–3 H
Points	4 of 9 · 1.33 per game	0 of 9 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 13 meetings

5 Real Betis wins3 draws2 Valencia wins

Goals per game1.60 – 1.20 Over 2.560% Both scored60% Clean sheets30% · 10%

25 Aug 2026Valencia0–1Real Betis
1 Feb 2026Real Betis2–1Valencia
9 Nov 2025Valencia1–1Real Betis
23 May 2025Real Betis1–1Valencia
23 Nov 2024Valencia4–2Real Betis
20 Apr 2024Valencia1–2Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Real Betis	Valencia
Scored per game	1.78	0.67
Conceded per game	1.56	1.67
Match goals	3.33	2.33
Over 1.5	56%	44%
Over 2.5	44%	44%
Over 3.5	33%	44%
Both teams scored	56%	33%
Clean sheets	44%	33%
Failed to score	0%	56%
Games	9	9

	Real Betis	Valencia
Scored per game	2.10	0.90
Conceded per game	1.80	1.60
Match goals	3.90	2.50
Over 1.5	70%	50%
Over 2.5	60%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Real Betis	Valencia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.78	4.00
Corners conceded	6.44	4.44
Match total	11.22	8.44	9.91
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	22% 2/9
Cards
Cards	1.67	2.22
Opponent cards	2.67	2.22
Match total	4.34	4.44	4.73
Over 3.5	56% 5/9	67% 6/9
Over 4.5	56% 5/9	56% 5/9

	Real Betis	Valencia	League
Corners
Corners won	4.90	4.30
Corners conceded	5.90	4.80
Match total	10.80	9.10	9.91
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	2.20
Opponent cards	2.60	2.20
Match total	4.50	4.40	4.73
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.