La Liga Gameweek 33 Wed, Apr 21 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel378 kmRest days3 · 3Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Real Betis—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 6 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Real Betis. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GetafeReal Betis
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 72
27 AttackIn forecast 79
59 DefenceIn forecast 59
42 Form indexContext 80
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeReal Betis
0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78
1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56
0.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.65
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
56% Scored inContext 100%
22% Clean sheetsContext 44%
10.78 ShotsContext 16.44
2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33
25% On target shareContext 39%
5.44 Shots in the boxContext 9.67
48% Box shareContext 56%
5% ConversionContext 11%
2.17 OffsidesContext 1.33
15.22 Shots allowedContext 15.33
4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22
4.78 BlocksContext 3.78
3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
73% Save rateContext 70%
37% PossessionIn forecast 51%
292 PassesContext 495
217 Accurate passesContext 429
74% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.68 Team ratingContext 7.03
14.00 FoulsContext 9.89
12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67
3.44 Yellow cardsContext 1.56
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
0.58 xGVia Att/Def 1.71
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.39
60% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.30 ShotsContext 16.70
2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20
26% On target shareContext 37%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
48% Box shareContext 58%
6% ConversionContext 13%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.40
14.80 Shots allowedContext 14.60
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
4.50 BlocksContext 3.50
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
76% Save rateContext 67%
38% PossessionIn forecast 52%
289 PassesContext 504
214 Accurate passesContext 438
74% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.98
14.30 FoulsContext 10.70
13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90
3.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km601 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts
Real Betis
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel378 km1,339 km in 14d
Schedule load14%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 8Low · 14
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3La Liga 2026-2027, 18 Apr3La Liga 2026-2027, 18 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km378 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways601 km1,339 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one1111

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats
Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
2-3-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.60
Real Betis · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 13 meetings

2 Getafe wins3 draws5 Real Betis wins
Goals per game0.70 – 1.20 Over 2.530% Both scored40% Clean sheets30% · 40%
  • 17 Sep 2026Real Betis1–0Getafe
  • 8 Mar 2026Getafe2–0Real Betis
  • 21 Dec 2025Real Betis4–0Getafe
  • 23 Feb 2025Getafe1–2Real Betis
  • 18 Sep 2024Real Betis2–1Getafe
  • 4 Feb 2024Real Betis1–1Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Real Betis9 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 2 16-30
7 2 31-45
2 4 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.