La Liga Gameweek 34 Sun, May 2 · 16:00 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
Levante 17th · 7 pts · 8 played
VS— Compare
Real Madrid 3rd · 21 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel302 kmRest days11 · 11Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Levante—%
Draw—%
Real Madrid—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Valencia)

Forecast from 17 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Levante and Real Madrid. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

LevanteReal Madrid
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 89
55 AttackIn forecast 89
41 DefenceIn forecast 85
29 Form indexContext 91
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Levante

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Madrid

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

LevanteReal Madrid
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.56
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.35 xGVia Att/Def 2.41
2.01 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.01
+0.15 Goals minus xGContext +0.15
63% Scored inContext 89%
25% Clean sheetsContext 22%
11.88 ShotsContext 17.56
4.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.22
36% On target shareContext 41%
7.71 Shots in the boxContext 12.33
58% Box shareContext 69%
13% ConversionContext 15%
2.25 OffsidesContext 2.13
15.25 Shots allowedContext 12.78
5.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.44
3.38 BlocksContext 3.44
3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22
62% Save rateContext 73%
44% PossessionIn forecast 53%
381 PassesContext 528
309 Accurate passesContext 476
81% Pass accuracyContext 90%
6.75 Team ratingContext 7.17
9.88 FoulsContext 8.44
12.75 Fouls sufferedContext 14.11
1.25 Yellow cardsContext 2.11
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.22
This league season, per match · 8 and 9 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.70
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
1.43 xGVia Att/Def 2.32
1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.06
+0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.38
70% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 20%
12.20 ShotsContext 16.90
4.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.30
36% On target shareContext 43%
8.22 Shots in the boxContext 12.20
62% Box shareContext 71%
12% ConversionContext 16%
1.83 OffsidesContext 2.00
14.90 Shots allowedContext 14.20
5.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.10
3.56 BlocksContext 3.80
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80
66% Save rateContext 75%
42% PossessionIn forecast 50%
359 PassesContext 501
291 Accurate passesContext 446
81% Pass accuracyContext 89%
6.80 Team ratingContext 7.13
9.60 FoulsContext 8.90
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 13.30
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Levante
Rest11 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,079 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 29 · 3 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected
  • D16 OctA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.2 xPts
  • D12 OctH · Sevilla3–31.6 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Villarreal1–30.9 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Barcelona2–40.5 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Malaga0–01.3 xPts
Real Madrid
Rest11 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel302 km25 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 91 · 12 pts vs 5.6 for an average club · +1.9 vs expected
  • W18 OctH · Sevilla4–12.4 xPts
  • W14 OctA · AS Roma4–31.5 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Villarreal1–02.1 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Atletico Madrid1–21.7 xPts
  • W15 SepA · Elche3–22.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Levante Real Madrid
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match11La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Apr11La Liga 2026-2027, 21 Apr
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km302 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,079 km25 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 2 / 40 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Levante Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Deportivo La Coruna (A) 1–1, 16 Oct
13M. Ryan(G)
23Manu Sánchez 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe 4Adrián de la Fuente 29Nacho Pérez
6Reque 20Oriol Rey 18E. Bardeli
24T. Fernandez 9Iván Romero 7Roger Brugué
Real Madrid Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Sevilla (H) 4–1, 18 Oct
1T. Courtois(G)
17Marc Cucurella 4D. Huijsen 16I. Konaté 8F. Valverde
14A. Tchouaméni 15A. Güler
25Y. Diomande 5J. Bellingham 9Endrick
10K. Mbappé

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Levante Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Madrid Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Levante · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
3.33
Conceded
3.00
Real Madrid · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentLevanteReal Madrid
Sevilla D 3–3 H W 4–1 H
Villarreal L 1–3 A W 1–0 H
Malaga D 0–0 A W 4–0 H
Real Betis W 5–2 H L 0–1 A
Espanyol L 0–3 A W 2–1 A
Points5 of 15 · 1.00 per game12 of 15 · 2.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Levante wins1 draws4 Real Madrid wins
Goals per game1.00 – 3.00 Over 2.567% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%
  • 17 Jan 2026Real Madrid2–0Levante
  • 23 Sep 2025Levante1–4Real Madrid
  • 12 May 2022Real Madrid6–0Levante
  • 22 Aug 2021Levante3–3Real Madrid
  • 30 Jan 2021Real Madrid1–2Levante
  • 4 Oct 2020Levante0–2Real Madrid

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

LevanteReal MadridForecast
Scored per game 1.502.56
Conceded per game 2.001.00
Match goals 3.503.56
Over 1.5 75%78%
Over 2.5 63%78%
Over 3.5 50%56%
Both teams scored 63%67%
Clean sheets 25%22%
Failed to score 38%11%
Games89
LevanteReal MadridForecast
Scored per game 1.502.70
Conceded per game 1.801.20
Match goals 3.303.90
Over 1.5 80%80%
Over 2.5 60%80%
Over 3.5 40%60%
Both teams scored 60%70%
Clean sheets 30%20%
Failed to score 30%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

LevanteReal MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won3.866.25
Corners conceded5.714.25
Match total9.5710.509.91
Over 8.543% 3/763% 5/8
Over 9.543% 3/763% 5/8
Over 10.529% 2/763% 5/8
Cards
Cards1.252.33
Opponent cards2.502.67
Match total3.755.004.73
Over 3.538% 3/878% 7/9
Over 4.525% 2/867% 6/9
LevanteReal MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won4.336.30
Corners conceded5.565.00
Match total9.8911.309.91
Over 8.556% 5/970% 7/10
Over 9.556% 5/970% 7/10
Over 10.533% 3/970% 7/10
Cards
Cards1.502.20
Opponent cards2.202.50
Match total3.704.704.73
Over 3.540% 4/1080% 8/10
Over 4.520% 2/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Levante8 games · scored 12 · conceded 16
3 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
6 4 76-90
Real Madrid9 games · scored 23 · conceded 9
2 0-15
6 1 16-30
4 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 1 61-75
7 3 76-90
Levante10 games · scored 15 · conceded 18
4 0-15
1 1 16-30
4 4 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
7 4 76-90
Real Madrid10 games · scored 27 · conceded 12
2 0-15
8 1 16-30
4 1 31-45
1 5 46-60
3 1 61-75
9 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Barcelona Osasuna May 216:00 Atletico Madrid Alaves May 216:00 Malaga Getafe May 216:00 Celta Vigo Sevilla May 216:00 Levante Real Madrid May 216:00 Real Betis Valencia May 216:00 Deportivo La Coruna Racing Santander May 216:00 Real Sociedad Athletic Club May 216:00 Rayo Vallecano Villarreal May 216:00 Elche Espanyol May 216:00