Rennes vs Lyon – 6 Feb 2027

Ligue 1 Gameweek 19 Sat, Feb 6 · 16:00 Roazhon Park, Rennes

Rennes 6th · 13 pts · 7 played WWLWL

VS— Compare

Lyon 1st · 14 pts · 7 played WDWLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel567 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Rennes—%

Draw—%

Lyon—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Rennes)

Forecast from 22 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Lyon 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Rennes

Lyon

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

52 Current StrengthIn forecast 60

63 AttackIn forecast 55

39 DefenceIn forecast 56

42 Form indexContext 85

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rennes

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lyon

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Rennes

Lyon

2.14 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.86

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.71

2.22 xGVia Att/Def 1.22

2.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.60

-0.08 Goals minus xGContext +0.64

86% Scored inContext 86%

14% Clean sheetsContext 43%

16.29 ShotsContext 12.29

6.29 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.50

39% On target shareContext 38%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.57

65% Box shareContext 71%

13% ConversionContext 15%

1.75 OffsidesContext 2.20

15.29 Shots allowedContext 11.86

5.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.14

4.71 BlocksContext 1.71

3.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.29

63% Save rateContext 79%

51% PossessionIn forecast 52%

472 PassesContext 468

398 Accurate passesContext 400

84% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.97

13.57 FoulsContext 11.00

11.43 Fouls sufferedContext 14.14

2.43 Yellow cardsContext 1.43

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

2.12 xGVia Att/Def 1.32

1.91 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.57

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext +0.58

80% Scored inContext 90%

20% Clean sheetsContext 30%

18.60 ShotsContext 12.70

6.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.89

34% On target shareContext 42%

12.60 Shots in the boxContext 9.10

66% Box shareContext 72%

10% ConversionContext 15%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.57

14.70 Shots allowedContext 12.40

5.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

4.89 BlocksContext 2.30

4.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40

68% Save rateContext 76%

54% PossessionIn forecast 52%

476 PassesContext 457

403 Accurate passesContext 389

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.95

12.40 FoulsContext 10.50

11.30 Fouls sufferedContext 13.80

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rennes DLWWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km2,783 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 42 · 7 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Paris FC3–41.4 xPts
W15 OctH · OFI2–12.2 xPts
W11 OctH · Auxerre4–12.1 xPts
L19 SepA · Lyon0–41.2 xPts
D16 SepA · Sturm Graz0–01.4 xPts

Lyon WWLWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel567 km754 km in 14d

Schedule load21%Moderate

Form 85 · 12 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +4.3 vs expected

W18 OctH · Nice2–12.2 xPts
W15 OctH · Crystal Palace3–21.5 xPts
L9 OctA · Lens1–21.1 xPts
W19 SepH · Rennes4–01.6 xPts
W16 SepA · Anderlecht2–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rennes	Lyon
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 20	Moderate · 21
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 30 Jan	7Ligue 1 2026-2027, 30 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	567 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	2,783 km	754 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 5	1 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rennes Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Paris FC (A) 3–4, 18 Oct

30B. Samba(G)

95P. Frankowski 24A. Rouault 4C. Cresswell 14B. Reynolds

28A. Thomasson 6D. Cissé 17S. Szymański

90I. Soumaré 9E. Lepaul 10L. Blas

Lyon Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Nice (H) 2–1, 18 Oct

40R. Descamps(G)

16Abner 19M. Niakhaté 22Clinton Mata 13Z. Athekame

2M. Bidstrup 6F. Tessmann

24J. Duranville 99N. Nartey 26K. Boudache

10P. Šulc

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rennes Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Lyon Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Rennes · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.50
Conceded: 1.25

Lyon · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.67

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Rennes	Lyon
Paris FC	L 3–4 A	D 0–0 A
Auxerre	W 4–1 H	W 3–1 H
Points	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game	4 of 6 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

5 Rennes wins0 draws5 Lyon wins

Goals per game2.00 – 2.30 Over 2.590% Both scored70% Clean sheets10% · 20%

19 Sep 2026Lyon4–0Rennes
3 May 2026Lyon4–2Rennes
14 Sep 2025Rennes3–1Lyon
26 Apr 2025Lyon4–1Rennes
18 Aug 2024Rennes3–0Lyon
26 Jan 2024Lyon2–3Rennes

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Rennes	Lyon
Scored per game	2.14	1.86
Conceded per game	2.00	0.71
Match goals	4.14	2.57
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	86%	57%
Over 3.5	71%	29%
Both teams scored	71%	57%
Clean sheets	14%	43%
Failed to score	14%	14%
Games	7	7

	Rennes	Lyon
Scored per game	1.80	1.90
Conceded per game	1.80	1.00
Match goals	3.60	2.90
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	80%	70%
Over 3.5	60%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	20%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rennes	Lyon	League
Corners
Corners won	6.83	4.29
Corners conceded	5.67	6.29
Match total	12.50	10.58	9.63
Over 8.5	67% 4/6	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	67% 4/6	86% 6/7
Over 10.5	67% 4/6	57% 4/7
Cards
Cards	2.43	1.57
Opponent cards	2.43	2.14
Match total	4.86	3.71	3.47
Over 3.5	86% 6/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7

	Rennes	Lyon	League
Corners
Corners won	7.56	4.40
Corners conceded	5.11	6.00
Match total	12.67	10.40	9.63
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	67% 6/9	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.50
Opponent cards	2.50	2.10
Match total	4.50	3.60	3.47
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.