Sassuolo vs Cagliari – 21 Mar 2027

Serie A Gameweek 29 Sun, Mar 21 · 17:30 MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo 13th · 8 pts · 7 played DWLDL

VS— Compare

Cagliari 7th · 13 pts · 7 played WWWDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel621 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Sassuolo—%

Draw—%

Cagliari—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Reggio Emilia)

Forecast from 6 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Sassuolo 7 Scoring in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Sassuolo

Cagliari

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 33

41 AttackIn forecast 31

32 DefenceIn forecast 31

32 Form indexContext 72

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sassuolo

Attack—

Defense risk—

Cagliari

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sassuolo

Cagliari

1.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.86

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.55 xGVia Att/Def 1.00

1.31 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.95

+0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.14

100% Scored inContext 71%

0% Clean sheetsContext 43%

15.86 ShotsContext 10.57

6.43 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

41% On target shareContext 38%

9.57 Shots in the boxContext 6.57

60% Box shareContext 60%

11% ConversionContext 8%

2.17 OffsidesContext 3.00

15.71 Shots allowedContext 19.57

6.57 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.29

4.43 BlocksContext 4.86

4.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29

70% Save rateContext 81%

48% PossessionIn forecast 41%

446 PassesContext 408

387 Accurate passesContext 345

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.80 Team ratingContext 6.98

9.71 FoulsContext 10.43

11.43 Fouls sufferedContext 8.57

1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.29

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.57 xGVia Att/Def 1.31

1.37 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.82

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext -0.31

90% Scored inContext 70%

0% Clean sheetsContext 30%

14.30 ShotsContext 13.40

5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.22

41% On target shareContext 35%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.50

62% Box shareContext 61%

11% ConversionContext 8%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.75

15.20 Shots allowedContext 17.10

5.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.90

3.80 BlocksContext 4.10

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

67% Save rateContext 78%

51% PossessionIn forecast 45%

458 PassesContext 429

397 Accurate passesContext 365

87% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.79 Team ratingContext 6.92

9.80 FoulsContext 10.00

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.30

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sassuolo DWLDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km283 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 32 · 5 pts vs 7.2 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected

L16 OctA · Frosinone2–41.3 xPts
D11 OctH · AC Milan1–11.2 xPts
L18 SepA · Monza1–21.6 xPts
W13 SepH · Juventus3–21.1 xPts
D6 SepA · Bologna2–20.9 xPts

Cagliari WWWDL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel621 km1,386 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 72 · 10 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · +3.8 vs expected

L19 OctA · Monza0–41.4 xPts
D11 OctH · Juventus1–11.1 xPts
W19 SepA · Udinese1–01.2 xPts
W12 SepA · Atalanta2–10.8 xPts
W7 SepH · Lecce1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Sassuolo	Cagliari
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2026-2027, 14 Mar	7Serie A 2026-2027, 14 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	621 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	283 km	1,386 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	14	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sassuolo Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Frosinone (A) 2–4, 16 Oct

49A. Murić(G)

3J. Doig 15D. Ćaleta-Car 26C. Odenthal 20I. Van der Brempt

50D. Bakola 18N. Matić

45A. Laurienté 42K. Thorstvedt 10D. Berardi

94S. Esposito

Cagliari Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-1-2 · vs Monza (A) 0–4, 19 Oct

1E. Caprile(G)

33A. Obert 15J. Rodríguez 26Y. Mina 2Zé Pedro

4Alessandro Romano 6H. Winks 8M. Adopo

70D. Maldini

18M. Nzola 31Paul Mendy

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Sassuolo Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Cagliari Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sassuolo · Home 2.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.33

Cagliari · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Sassuolo	Cagliari
Monza	L 1–2 A	L 0–4 A
Juventus	W 3–2 H	D 1–1 H
Atalanta	L 1–2 A	W 2–1 A
Points	3 of 9 · 1.00 per game	4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

2 Sassuolo wins1 draws3 Cagliari wins

Goals per game1.17 – 1.50 Over 2.567% Both scored67% Clean sheets0% · 33%

4 Apr 2026Sassuolo2–1Cagliari
30 Oct 2025Cagliari1–2Sassuolo
19 May 2024Sassuolo0–2Cagliari
11 Dec 2023Cagliari2–1Sassuolo
16 Apr 2022Cagliari1–0Sassuolo
21 Nov 2021Sassuolo2–2Cagliari

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Sassuolo	Cagliari
Scored per game	1.71	0.86
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	3.71	1.86
Over 1.5	100%	43%
Over 2.5	86%	29%
Over 3.5	43%	14%
Both teams scored	100%	29%
Clean sheets	0%	43%
Failed to score	0%	29%
Games	7	7

	Sassuolo	Cagliari
Scored per game	1.50	1.00
Conceded per game	2.00	1.10
Match goals	3.50	2.10
Over 1.5	90%	60%
Over 2.5	80%	40%
Over 3.5	40%	10%
Both teams scored	90%	40%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	10%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Sassuolo	Cagliari	League
Corners
Corners won	4.29	4.00
Corners conceded	6.14	6.29
Match total	10.43	10.29	9.38
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.29	1.29
Opponent cards	2.00	1.14
Match total	3.29	2.43	3.43
Over 3.5	71% 5/7	14% 1/7
Over 4.5	29% 2/7	0% 0/7

	Sassuolo	Cagliari	League
Corners
Corners won	3.70	4.60
Corners conceded	5.90	5.40
Match total	9.60	10.00	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	1.30
Opponent cards	2.40	1.30
Match total	3.80	2.60	3.43
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	20% 2/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	0% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.