Juventus
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel136 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Juventus—%
Draw—%
Como—%
Weather (Torino)
Forecast from 6 Mar
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Juventus and Como. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Juventus
+0.89
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.50xG against0.61
-
Trend
Como
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Juventus
4
Clean sheets
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Como
1.5
Goals conceded away per match
Last 6 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Como
2.0
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Juventus
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Attack
-
Insight
Juventus
+0.89
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.50xG against0.61
-
Trend
Como
2.0
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Como
78%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Como
+0.47
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.88xG against1.41
-
Trend
Juventus
1.8
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Defence
-
Insight
Juventus
4
Clean sheets
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Juventus
1.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Como
1.5
Goals conceded away per match
Last 6 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
JuventusComo
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
67
Current StrengthIn forecast
65
57
AttackIn forecast
72
76
DefenceIn forecast
67
74
Form indexContext
50
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisComo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
JuventusComo
1.29
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.71
1.14
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.48
xGVia Att/Def
1.88
0.50
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.61
-0.19
Goals minus xGContext
-0.17
86%
Scored inContext
71%
43%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
16.71
ShotsContext
21.43
5.86
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.86
35%
On target shareContext
32%
8.86
Shots in the boxContext
13.43
53%
Box shareContext
62%
8%
ConversionContext
8%
3.00
OffsidesContext
2.67
7.29
Shots allowedContext
14.71
2.71
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.71
1.83
BlocksContext
2.86
2.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.57
67%
Save rateContext
69%
58%
PossessionIn forecast
61%
547
PassesContext
588
480
Accurate passesContext
527
88%
Pass accuracyContext
90%
6.77
Team ratingContext
7.01
12.57
FoulsContext
8.29
10.00
Fouls sufferedContext
9.57
1.29
Yellow cardsContext
1.29
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.80
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.20
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.20
1.50
xGVia Att/Def
1.88
0.61
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.41
+0.30
Goals minus xGContext
+0.32
90%
Scored inContext
80%
40%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
16.70
ShotsContext
19.00
5.80
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.50
35%
On target shareContext
34%
10.00
Shots in the boxContext
12.10
60%
Box shareContext
63%
11%
ConversionContext
12%
2.75
OffsidesContext
3.20
8.20
Shots allowedContext
13.60
2.90
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.60
1.89
BlocksContext
2.70
2.13
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.67
68%
Save rateContext
69%
57%
PossessionIn forecast
60%
532
PassesContext
571
466
Accurate passesContext
513
88%
Pass accuracyContext
90%
6.85
Team ratingContext
6.97
12.60
FoulsContext
9.70
11.10
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.60
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Juventus
WWDWL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,051 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 74 · 10 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
Como
WLDLW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel136 km1,909 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 50 · 7 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -1.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Juventus |
Como |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 5 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7Serie A 2026-2027, 14 Mar | 7Serie A 2026-2027, 14 Mar |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 136 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,051 km | 1,909 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 14 | 14 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Juventus
Last XI · not confirmed
25G. Vicario(G)
2M. Çelik
26J. Lucumí
3Bremer
15P. Kalulu
29P. Sarr
12Douglas Luiz
17Kerim Alajbegović
22W. McKennie
31N. González
9R. Kolo Muani
Como
Last XI · not confirmed
1J. Butez(G)
3Álex Valle
2M. Kempf
99T. Chalobah
28I. Smolčić
7L. da Cunha
6Luis Milla
8M. Caqueret
10N. Paz
30M. Liberali
9A. Douvikas
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Juventus
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Como
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Juventus · Home
1.75points per game · 4 home games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Scored
- 1.25
- Conceded
- 1.00
Como · Away
2.00points per game · 5 away games
- W-D-L
- 3-1-1
- Scored
- 2.00
- Conceded
- 1.20
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 2 this season
| Opponent | Juventus | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Parma | W 2–0 H | W 2–1 H |
| Frosinone | W 1–0 A | L 0–2 A |
| Points | 6 of 6 · 3.00 per game | 3 of 6 · 1.50 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings
2 Juventus wins0 draws2 Como wins
Goals per game1.25 – 1.25
Over 2.550%
Both scored25%
Clean sheets25% · 50%
- 21 Feb 2026Juventus0–2Como
- 19 Oct 2025Como2–0Juventus
- 7 Feb 2025Como1–2Juventus
- 19 Aug 2024Juventus3–0Como
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Juventus | Como | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.29 | 1.71 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.14 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.43 | 2.71 | |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% | |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% | |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 71% | |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 14% | 29% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Juventus | Como | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.80 | 2.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | |
| Match goals | 2.90 | 3.40 | |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% | |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Juventus | Como | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 8.00 | 7.29 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.14 | 4.57 | |
| Match total | 11.14 | 11.86 | 9.38 |
| Over 8.5 | 86% 6/7 | 86% 6/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 71% 5/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 57% 4/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.29 | 1.29 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.29 | 2.14 | |
| Match total | 3.58 | 3.43 | 3.43 |
| Over 3.5 | 57% 4/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 14% 1/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Juventus | Como | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 7.67 | 5.70 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.22 | 4.40 | |
| Match total | 10.89 | 10.10 | 9.38 |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 3.40 | 4.30 | 3.43 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 10% 1/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Juventus7 games · scored 9 · conceded 8
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
3
61-75
6
3
76-90
Como7 games · scored 12 · conceded 7
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
2
1
76-90
Juventus10 games · scored 18 · conceded 11
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
8
4
76-90
Como10 games · scored 22 · conceded 12
1
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
6
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
61-75
5
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
