Bundesliga Gameweek 26 Sun, Mar 15 2026 · 16:30 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.11 – 0.54
  • 90+2’ W. Jeong
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Jeong’s late goal settles it for Union Berlin

SC Freiburg entered as favourites, but Union Berlin won 1–0 through a Jeong goal. Union Berlin won despite the lower xG; SC Freiburg created the better chances (1.11 vs 0.54). On the chances created, SC Freiburg deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

SC Freiburg55%
Draw24%
Union Berlin ✓21%

Model vs reality

SC Freiburg goals
0
Model 1.80 · xG 1.11
Union Berlin goals
1
Model 1.04 · xG 0.54
Total goals
1
Model 2.84 · xG 1.65
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMatheo RaabUnion Berlin
8.3
  • RefereeSven Jablonski
  • VenueEuropa-Park Stadion
  • Table before kick-offSC Freiburg 8th · Union Berlin 11th

Timeline

  1. D. KöhnYellow card · Tripping
    17’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ Y. SuzukiFor L. Höler
    61’
  4. ⇄ A. KrálFor Ilyas Ansah
    64’
  5. ⇄ W. JeongFor T. Skarke
    64’
  6. ⇄ V. GrifoFor D. Scherhant
    77’
  7. ⇄ J. BesteFor Cyriaque Irié
    77’
  8. ⇄ J. JuranovićFor C. Trimmel
    79’
  9. ⇄ A. KemleinFor J. Haberer
    80’
  10. ⇄ C. GünterFor J. Makengo
    86’
  11. ⇄ T. RotheFor Livan Burcu
    87’
  12. W. Jeong 0–1Assist S. Nsoki
    90+2’
  13. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

SC Freiburg19 shots · 11 in box, 8 outside
Union Berlin9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin
73% Possession 27%
1.11 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
1.81 Expected points (xPts) 0.86
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 7
8 Shots outside the box 2
616 Passes 220
88% Pass accuracy 66%
6 Corners 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.91 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.3 N. Atubolu(G)
337.2 J. Makengo ↓86’ 436.6 B. Ogbus 287.5 M. Ginter 296.7 P. Treu
448.2 J. Manzambi 87.2 M. Eggestein
76.0 D. Scherhant ↓77’ 96.6 L. Höler ↓61’ 226.9 Cyriaque Irié ↓77’
315.9 I. Matanović
  • 1N. Atubolu (G)7.3
  • 33J. Makengo↓86’7.2
  • 43B. Ogbus6.6
  • 28M. Ginter7.5
  • 29P. Treu6.7
  • 44J. Manzambi8.2
  • 8M. Eggestein7.2
  • 7D. Scherhant↓77’6.0
  • 9L. Höler↓61’6.6
  • 22Cyriaque Irié↓77’6.9
  • 31I. Matanović5.9

Substitutes used

  • 14Y. Suzuki↑61’6.3
  • 30C. Günter↑86’6.7
  • 19J. Beste↑77’6.3
  • 32V. Grifo↑77’6.7

Unused: F. Müller, L. Kübler, A. Jung, P. Lienhart, P. Osterhage

Union Berlin 4-3-2-1

318.3★ Matheo Raab(G)
397.0 D. Köhn 346.9 S. Nsoki A 58.2 D. Doekhi 286.9 C. Trimmel ↓79’
96.7 Livan Burcu ↓87’ 86.5 R. Khedira 197.3 J. Haberer ↓80’
106.2 Ilyas Ansah ↓64’ 216.6 T. Skarke ↓64’
236.6 A. Ilić
  • 31Matheo Raab (G) ★8.3
  • 39D. Köhn7.0
  • 34S. NsokiA6.9
  • 5D. Doekhi8.2
  • 28C. Trimmel↓79’6.9
  • 9Livan Burcu↓87’6.7
  • 8R. Khedira6.5
  • 19J. Haberer↓80’7.3
  • 10Ilyas Ansah↓64’6.2
  • 21T. Skarke↓64’6.6
  • 23A. Ilić6.6

Substitutes used

  • 33A. Král↑64’6.3
  • 11W. Jeong↑64’7.5
  • 6A. Kemlein↑80’6.3
  • 18J. Juranović↑79’6.9
  • 15T. Rothe↑87’6.3

Unused: C. Klaus, A. Markgraf, D. Preu, O. Burke

Player stats

Top rated
Matheo RaabUnion Berlin8.3
2nd
J. ManzambiSC Freiburg8.2
3rd
D. DoekhiUnion Berlin8.2

SC Freiburg

Union Berlin

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.