Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, May 15 · 16:00 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel72 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Cercle Brugge—%
Draw—%
SK Beveren—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Brugge)

Forecast from 30 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Cercle Brugge and SK Beveren. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Cercle BruggeSK Beveren
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
21 Current StrengthIn forecast 25
24 AttackIn forecast 18
28 DefenceIn forecast 20
6 Form indexContext 25
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cercle Brugge

Attack—
Defense risk—

SK Beveren

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Cercle BruggeSK Beveren
1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.74 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.68 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
-0.61 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
63% Scored inContext 63%
0% Clean sheetsContext 38%
14.13 ShotsContext 10.25
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
28% On target shareContext 32%
10.71 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
70% Box shareContext 69%
8% ConversionContext 10%
1.50 OffsidesContext 1.88
12.63 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.38 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.88 BlocksContext 3.50
2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
54% Save rateContext 71%
45% PossessionIn forecast 51%
370 PassesContext 469
291 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.61 Team ratingContext 6.83
12.38 FoulsContext 8.75
10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.25 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.75
1.63 xGVia Att/Def 0.73
1.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.09
-0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
70% Scored inContext 63%
0% Clean sheetsContext 38%
13.80 ShotsContext 10.25
4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.25
30% On target shareContext 32%
10.11 Shots in the boxContext 7.00
69% Box shareContext 69%
9% ConversionContext 10%
1.90 OffsidesContext 1.88
12.80 Shots allowedContext 15.50
4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.90 BlocksContext 3.50
2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.29
52% Save rateContext 71%
46% PossessionIn forecast 51%
370 PassesContext 469
292 Accurate passesContext 382
79% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.64 Team ratingContext 6.83
12.30 FoulsContext 8.75
9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 10.88
1.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.88
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cercle Brugge
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km323 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 6 · 1 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -5.5 vs expected
  • L10 OctH · Anderlecht1–21.2 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Charleroi2–30.8 xPts
  • D12 SepA · OH Leuven1–11.5 xPts
  • L6 SepH · Gent0–31.3 xPts
  • L29 AugH · Lommel United0–11.6 xPts
SK Beveren
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel72 km147 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 25 · 6 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · -0.4 vs expected
  • L9 OctH · Lommel United1–31.4 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Kortrijk0–11.6 xPts
  • W12 SepH · St. Truiden2–01.1 xPts
  • W6 SepH · OH Leuven3–01.7 xPts
  • L28 AugA · Genk0–40.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Cercle Brugge SK Beveren
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 May7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 8 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km72 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways323 km147 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cercle Brugge Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Anderlecht (H) 1–2, 10 Oct
1G. Coucke(G)
12Valy Konaté 24Geoffrey Kondo 5Emmanuel Kakou 15G. Magnée
28H. Van der Bruggen 18L. Le Roux
30B. Akinsola 20A. Manneh 11C. Herrmann
9S. Ngoura
SK Beveren Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Lommel United (H) 1–3, 9 Oct
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens 31B. Godeau 35Y. Gomis 25C. Konaté
44C. Conde 18S. Dewaele
17J. Margaritha 22C. Brüls 5C. Lokesa
9M. Kaboré

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Cercle Brugge Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
SK Beveren Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Cercle Brugge · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
0-1-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.25
SK Beveren · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.25
Conceded
2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goal timing

Cercle Brugge8 games · scored 9 · conceded 16
1 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 3 31-45
2 46-60
1 2 61-75
4 4 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90
Cercle Brugge10 games · scored 12 · conceded 23
1 2 0-15
3 3 16-30
2 3 31-45
5 46-60
2 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
SK Beveren8 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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