Eredivisie Gameweek 24 Sun, Feb 28 · 16:00 711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Telstar 16th · 6 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
GO Ahead Eagles 9th · 11 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel105 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Telstar—%
Draw—%
GO Ahead Eagles—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Velsen-Zuid)

Forecast from 13 Feb

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Telstar and GO Ahead Eagles. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

TelstarGO Ahead Eagles
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
22 Current StrengthIn forecast 24
24 AttackIn forecast 29
13 DefenceIn forecast 17
11 Form indexContext 14
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Telstar

Attack—
Defense risk—

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

TelstarGO Ahead Eagles
1.11 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.22
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.33
1.70 xGVia Att/Def 1.78
2.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
-0.59 Goals minus xGContext +0.44
56% Scored inContext 100%
11% Clean sheetsContext 0%
12.00 ShotsContext 15.78
3.11 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.22
26% On target shareContext 39%
8.14 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
62% Box shareContext 66%
9% ConversionContext 14%
1.86 OffsidesContext 1.33
16.78 Shots allowedContext 16.89
6.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.22
5.25 BlocksContext 5.50
5.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
71% Save rateContext 57%
45% PossessionIn forecast 56%
400 PassesContext 486
323 Accurate passesContext 402
81% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.70 Team ratingContext 6.74
10.44 FoulsContext 7.11
12.89 Fouls sufferedContext 9.78
1.44 Yellow cardsContext 0.78
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
1.65 xGVia Att/Def 1.54
2.16 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25
-0.45 Goals minus xGContext +0.56
60% Scored inContext 100%
10% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.50 ShotsContext 14.50
3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.70
26% On target shareContext 39%
7.75 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
63% Box shareContext 66%
10% ConversionContext 15%
1.75 OffsidesContext 1.33
16.60 Shots allowedContext 18.80
6.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90
5.33 BlocksContext 6.44
5.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00
73% Save rateContext 62%
46% PossessionIn forecast 55%
394 PassesContext 467
314 Accurate passesContext 385
80% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.72 Team ratingContext 6.75
11.20 FoulsContext 7.20
12.90 Fouls sufferedContext 9.90
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 0.90
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Telstar
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km122 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 11 · 2 pts vs 7.8 for an average club · -2.7 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Feyenoord3–40.7 xPts
  • D11 OctH · ADO Den Haag2–21.9 xPts
  • L20 SepA · AZ Alkmaar0–10.5 xPts
  • D13 SepA · Heerenveen0–01.1 xPts
  • L9 SepA · Twente0–10.6 xPts
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel105 km175 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–41.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Sparta Rotterdam3–31.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · NEC Nijmegen1–11.1 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Groningen1–11.6 xPts
  • D8 SepA · Utrecht3–31.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Telstar GO Ahead Eagles
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 21 Feb7Eredivisie 2026-2027, 21 Feb
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km105 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways122 km175 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 21 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Telstar Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Feyenoord (H) 3–4, 17 Oct
1R. Koeman(G)
43M. Peersman 4A. Soualhia 16S. Valk 3G. Alders
17N. Rossen 10T. Owusu 23N. Shenkman
27P. Brouwer 11N. Þórisson 42A. Martha
GO Ahead Eagles Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs PEC Zwolle (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 25G. van Zwam 2A. Sampsted
8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray 10S. Tengstedt 16V. Edvardsen
9S. Sigurðarson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Telstar Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
GO Ahead Eagles Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Telstar · Home 0.40points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
0-2-3
Scored
1.60
Conceded
3.00
GO Ahead Eagles · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-3-2
Scored
1.80
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentTelstarGO Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord L 3–4 H D 2–2 A
ADO Den Haag D 2–2 H W 3–1 H
AZ Alkmaar L 0–1 A L 2–5 A
Sparta Rotterdam L 1–3 H D 3–3 H
NEC Nijmegen W 2–1 A D 1–1 A
Points4 of 15 · 0.80 per game6 of 15 · 1.20 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Telstar wins1 draws0 GO Ahead Eagles wins
Goals per game2.50 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 8 Feb 2026GO Ahead Eagles1–1Telstar
  • 28 Sep 2025Telstar4–2GO Ahead Eagles

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

TelstarGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 1.112.22
Conceded per game 2.002.33
Match goals 3.114.56
Over 1.5 67%100%
Over 2.5 67%78%
Over 3.5 56%78%
Both teams scored 56%100%
Clean sheets 11%0%
Failed to score 44%0%
Games99
TelstarGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 1.202.10
Conceded per game 1.902.30
Match goals 3.104.40
Over 1.5 70%100%
Over 2.5 70%80%
Over 3.5 50%70%
Both teams scored 60%100%
Clean sheets 10%0%
Failed to score 40%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

TelstarGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won4.136.33
Corners conceded6.754.78
Match total10.8811.1110.39
Over 8.563% 5/878% 7/9
Over 9.563% 5/878% 7/9
Over 10.563% 5/867% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.560.78
Opponent cards1.780.89
Match total3.341.672.77
Over 3.544% 4/90% 0/9
Over 4.522% 2/90% 0/9
TelstarGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won4.136.10
Corners conceded6.755.60
Match total10.8811.7010.39
Over 8.563% 5/880% 8/10
Over 9.563% 5/880% 8/10
Over 10.563% 5/870% 7/10
Cards
Cards1.600.90
Opponent cards1.800.90
Match total3.401.802.77
Over 3.550% 5/100% 0/10
Over 4.520% 2/100% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Telstar9 games · scored 10 · conceded 18
2 2 0-15
2 4 16-30
2 2 31-45
6 46-60
2 1 61-75
2 3 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 20 · conceded 21
1 3 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
4 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
Telstar10 games · scored 12 · conceded 19
2 3 0-15
2 4 16-30
3 2 31-45
6 46-60
2 1 61-75
3 3 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 23
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 4 31-45
5 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Ajax Feyenoord Feb 2816:00 Willem II Groningen Feb 2816:00 Excelsior Heerenveen Feb 2816:00 ADO Den Haag Twente Feb 2816:00 Fortuna Sittard Utrecht Feb 2816:00 NEC Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar Feb 2816:00 Cambuur PEC Zwolle Feb 2816:00 Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven Feb 2816:00 Telstar GO Ahead Eagles Feb 2816:00