Tottenham vs Fulham – 29 Nov 2025

Premier League Gameweek 13 Sat, Nov 29 · 20:00 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Tottenham 10th · 18 pts · 12 played LWLDL

1–2Full time

Fulham 15th · 14 pts · 12 played LLWLW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Tottenham were slight favourites.

Tottenham were the stronger side on L90 Strength (71 vs 64). Tottenham had 6.1 days of rest, Fulham 7.2 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days6.1 · 7.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Tottenham49%

Draw25%

Fulham26%

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.20

Tottenham49%

Draw26%

Fulham25%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.11

Tottenham49%

Draw25%

Fulham26%

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.18

Tottenham42%

Draw26%

Fulham33%

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.35

Tottenham49%

Draw26%

Fulham26%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.13

Over 2.5 56% Both score 58% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (London)

No weather data yet

RefereeStuart Attwell

Cards per match 4.1
Penalties per match 0.19
Matches 125

Team strength

Tottenham

Fulham

71 L90 StrengthIn forecast 64

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

56 AttackIn forecast 66

74 DefenceIn forecast 68

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Tottenham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Fulham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Tottenham

Fulham

1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.08

1.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.33

0.92 xGVia Att/Def 1.09

1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.25

+0.75 Goals minus xGContext -0.01

83% Scored inContext 75%

33% Clean sheetsContext 25%

9.17 ShotsContext 12.08

3.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

36% On target shareContext 30%

6.82 Shots in the boxContext 8.00

69% Box shareContext 66%

18% ConversionContext 9%

2.18 OffsidesContext 1.82

12.08 Shots allowedContext 10.67

4.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.17

2.36 BlocksContext 2.92

3.80 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.92

79% Save rateContext 70%

53% PossessionIn forecast 51%

426 PassesContext 438

354 Accurate passesContext 364

83% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.90 Team ratingContext 6.79

11.83 FoulsContext 13.25

9.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.33

2.42 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 12 and 12 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.09 xGVia Att/Def 1.06

1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18

+0.71 Goals minus xGContext +0.04

80% Scored inContext 70%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

8.60 ShotsContext 12.50

3.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.22

38% On target shareContext 30%

6.33 Shots in the boxContext 8.10

68% Box shareContext 64%

21% ConversionContext 9%

1.90 OffsidesContext 1.78

14.00 Shots allowedContext 10.80

4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30

3.40 BlocksContext 3.30

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.90

71% Save rateContext 67%

47% PossessionIn forecast 51%

392 PassesContext 441

321 Accurate passesContext 367

82% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.84 Team ratingContext 6.80

11.11 FoulsContext 13.20

11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 11.00

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Tottenham

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Fulham

Rest7.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Tottenham	Fulham
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.1Premier League 2025-2026, 23 Nov	7.2Premier League 2025-2026, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	3	3

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Tottenham Confirmed XI

4-2-2-2

1G. Vicario(G)

13I. Udogie 37M. van de Ven 4K. Danso 23Pedro Porro

6João Palhinha 14A. Gray

15L. Bergvall 20M. Kudus

9Richarlison 39R. Kolo Muani

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Fulham Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1B. Leno(G)

30K. Sessegnon 3C. Bassey 5J. Andersen 2K. Tete

17A. Iwobi 16S. Berge

19S. Chukwueze 24J. King 8H. Wilson

7R. Jiménez

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Tottenham Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Fulham Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Tottenham+0.1 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Fulham+0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Tottenham · Home 0.83points per game · 6 home games

W-D-L: 1-2-3
Scored: 1.17
Conceded: 1.17

Fulham · Away 0.17points per game · 6 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-5
Scored: 0.67
Conceded: 2.17

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 9 this season

Opponent	Tottenham	Fulham
Arsenal	L 1–4 A	L 0–1 H
Manchester United	D 2–2 H	D 1–1 H
Chelsea	L 0–1 H	L 0–2 A
Everton	W 3–0 A	L 0–2 A
Aston Villa	L 1–2 H	L 1–3 A
Leeds	W 2–1 A	W 1–0 H
Wolves	D 1–1 H	W 3–0 H
Brighton	D 2–2 A	D 1–1 A
Bournemouth	L 0–1 H	L 1–3 A
Points	9 of 27 · 1.00 per game	8 of 27 · 0.89 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

4 Tottenham wins2 draws2 Fulham wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.00 Over 2.525% Both scored38% Clean sheets38% · 25%

16 Mar 2025Fulham2–0Tottenham
1 Dec 2024Tottenham1–1Fulham
16 Mar 2024Fulham3–0Tottenham
23 Oct 2023Tottenham2–0Fulham
23 Jan 2023Fulham0–1Tottenham
3 Sep 2022Tottenham2–1Fulham

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Tottenham	Fulham	Forecast
Scored per game	1.67	1.08
Conceded per game	1.17	1.33
Match goals	2.83	2.42	2.94
Over 1.5	83%	75%
Over 2.5	67%	42%	56%
Over 3.5	25%	25%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	58%
Clean sheets	33%	25%
Failed to score	17%	25%
Games	12	12

	Tottenham	Fulham	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.10
Conceded per game	1.40	1.40
Match goals	2.90	2.50	2.94
Over 1.5	80%	70%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	56%
Over 3.5	30%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	40%	58%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	20%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Tottenham	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	6.18	5.25
Corners conceded	5.09	5.08
Match total	11.27	10.33	9.93
Over 8.5	73% 8/11	67% 8/12
Over 9.5	64% 7/11	67% 8/12
Over 10.5	64% 7/11	50% 6/12
Cards
Cards	2.42	2.00
Opponent cards	1.42	1.58
Match total	3.84	3.58	3.82
Over 3.5	58% 7/12	58% 7/12
Over 4.5	50% 6/12	42% 5/12

	Tottenham	Fulham	League
Corners
Corners won	4.30	5.10
Corners conceded	5.10	5.10
Match total	9.40	10.20	9.93
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.30	2.00
Opponent cards	1.40	1.50
Match total	3.70	3.50	3.82
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Stuart Attwell 125 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.94league 3.71

Red cards0.13league 0.11

Cards 5+43%league 41%

Fouls21.1league 21.9

Penalties0.19league 0.20

Home wins51%league 52%

Tottenham9 with this referee

Record8-0-1 Cards · opp.2.2 · 2.3 Pens for · against1 · 0

W23 Dec 23H · Everton2–11
W8 Apr 23H · Brighton2–13
W26 Feb 23H · Chelsea2–02
W3 Sep 22H · Fulham2–13
W7 Mar 22H · Everton5–02

Fulham9 with this referee

Record3-2-4 Cards · opp.2.2 · 1.2 Pens for · against0 · 1

W4 Nov 24H · Brentford2–12
D27 Apr 24H · Crystal Palace1–10
W14 Apr 24A · West Ham2–02
L3 Dec 23A · Liverpool3–40
W12 Aug 23A · Everton1–02

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.