Toulouse
Attack+30%
Defense risk−35%
Match Statistics
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes · Ligue 1
Team strength
Toulouse
Estac Troyes
39
L90 Strength
12
39
Current Strength
11
45
Attack
12
49
Defence
19
54
Form index
7
Scale 0–100 · League avg. Current ratings; hover over each marker for its value.
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. The Form index describes recent results; see Recent form on Overview.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisEstac Troyes
Attack−7%
Defense risk+2%
Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.
Playing style
ToulouseEstac Troyes
1.71
Goals scored
0.71
1.57
Goals conceded
2.29
1.80
xG
1.03
1.39
xG allowed
1.44
-0.09
Goals minus xG
-0.32
71%
Scored in
43%
14%
Clean sheets
14%
ToulouseEstac Troyes
13.57
Shots
14.29
4.57
Shots on target
3.00
34%
On target share
21%
9.00
Shots in the box
10.43
65%
Box share
73%
13%
Conversion
5%
4.14
Corners
6.50
ToulouseEstac Troyes
14%
Clean sheets
14%
14.43
Shots allowed
12.43
4.43
On target allowed
4.71
4.00
Blocks
3.00
2.86
Goalkeeper saves
2.83
65%
Save rate
55%
ToulouseEstac Troyes
50%
Possession
39%
500
Passes
359
430
Accurate passes
287
86%
Pass accuracy
80%
6.88
Team rating
6.52
ToulouseEstac Troyes
2.17
Offsides
2.33
15.43
Fouls
12.29
13.00
Fouls suffered
12.71
1.57
Yellow cards
1.57
0.00
Red cards
0.00
This league season, before kick-off · 7 / 7 matches; individual metric coverage may vary.
ToulouseEstac Troyes
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
1.39
xG
1.03
1.06
xG allowed
1.44
+0.21
Goals minus xG
-0.23
70%
Scored in
60%
20%
Clean sheets
10%
ToulouseEstac Troyes
12.70
Shots
12.10
4.50
Shots on target
3.00
35%
On target share
25%
8.11
Shots in the box
8.67
62%
Box share
64%
13%
Conversion
7%
4.10
Corners
5.33
ToulouseEstac Troyes
20%
Clean sheets
10%
12.80
Shots allowed
13.90
3.90
On target allowed
5.00
4.33
Blocks
3.10
2.60
Goalkeeper saves
3.33
67%
Save rate
63%
ToulouseEstac Troyes
48%
Possession
39%
428
Passes
351
366
Accurate passes
279
86%
Pass accuracy
79%
6.87
Team rating
6.61
ToulouseEstac Troyes
2.29
Offsides
2.56
14.60
Fouls
11.10
11.00
Fouls suffered
13.30
1.90
Yellow cards
1.30
0.00
Red cards
0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off · 10 / 10 matches; individual metric coverage may vary.
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
Data notes
These are observed match statistics. Fouls are not a measure of pressing. The possession values here are descriptive averages; the forecast uses its separately weighted possession input. No new style adjustment is applied.
Home & Away this season
Toulouse · Home
1.00points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.67
Estac Troyes · Away
1.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 0.67
- Conceded
- 1.67
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Goals & Trends
Scoring patterns and when goals arrive.
Scoring patterns
ToulouseEstac Troyes
3.29
Match goals
3.00
86%
Over 1.5
86%
71%
Over 2.5
43%
57%
Over 3.5
29%
57%
Both teams scored
43%
14%
Clean sheets
14%
29%
Failed to score
57%
This league season, before kick-off · 7 / 7 matches
ToulouseEstac Troyes
2.90
Match goals
3.00
80%
Over 1.5
86%
70%
Over 2.5
43%
40%
Over 3.5
29%
60%
Both teams scored
43%
20%
Clean sheets
14%
30%
Failed to score
57%
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off · 10 / 7 matches
Compare with match forecast
Projected total xG3.18Over 2.562%BTTS52%
Goal timing
Toulouse7 games · scored 12 · conceded 11
1
0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
3
76-90
Estac Troyes7 games · scored 5 · conceded 16
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
46-60
61-75
1
5
76-90
Toulouse9 games · scored 16 · conceded 13
2
0-15
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
7
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
3
76-90
Estac Troyes10 games · scored 8 · conceded 20
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
5
31-45
6
46-60
2
61-75
1
6
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Additional Statistics
Corners and cards.
Corners
| Toulouse | Estac Troyes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 4.14 | 6.50 | — |
| Corners conceded | 4.43 | 2.50 | — |
| Match total | 8.57 | 9.00 | 9.59 |
| Over 8.5 | 43% 3/7 | 50% 3/6 | — |
| Over 9.5 | 29% 2/7 | 33% 2/6 | — |
| Over 10.5 | 29% 2/7 | 17% 1/6 | — |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
This league season, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
| Toulouse | Estac Troyes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners won | 4.10 | 5.33 | — |
| Corners conceded | 4.90 | 4.78 | — |
| Match total | 9.00 | 10.11 | 9.59 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 67% 6/9 | — |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 56% 5/9 | — |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 22% 2/9 | — |
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
Cards
| Toulouse | Estac Troyes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 1.57 | 1.57 | — |
| Opponent cards | 1.43 | 1.29 | — |
| Match total | 3.00 | 2.86 | 3.59 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% 3/7 | 43% 3/7 | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14% 1/7 | 29% 2/7 | — |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
This league season, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
| Toulouse | Estac Troyes | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.40 | — |
| Opponent cards | 1.30 | 1.60 | — |
| Match total | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.59 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20% 2/10 | 20% 2/10 | — |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, before kick-off. Actual figures per match, not forecast markets.
Referee · Geoffrey Kubler 2 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.00league 4.00
Red cards0.00league 0.00
Cards 5+50%league 50%
Fouls27.0league 27.0
Penalties0.00league 0.00
Home wins50%league 50%
ToulouseNo previous matches with this referee.
Estac TroyesNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.