Bundesliga Gameweek 20 Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 14:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.62 – 0.70
SC Freiburg
  • E. Demirović 90’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Demirović’s late goal settles it for VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Demirović goal. VfB Stuttgart finished with the higher xG (1.62 vs 0.70).

VfB Stuttgart ✓57%
Draw22%
SC Freiburg21%

Model vs reality

VfB Stuttgart goals
1
Model 2.07 · xG 1.62
SC Freiburg goals
0
Model 1.18 · xG 0.70
Total goals
1
Model 3.25 · xG 2.32
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 63%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. AtuboluSC Freiburg
7.9
  • RefereeFlorian Badstubner
  • VenueMHPArena
  • Table before kick-offVfB Stuttgart 5th · SC Freiburg 7th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. A. KarazorYellow card · Roughing
    52’
  3. J. BesteYellow card · Roughing
    53’
  4. ⇄ M. MittelstädtFor R. Hendriks
    59’
  5. ⇄ C. FührichFor N. Nartey
    59’
  6. ⇄ P. OsterhageFor J. Manzambi
    68’
  7. ⇄ Cyriaque IriéFor J. Beste
    68’
  8. ⇄ V. GrifoFor D. Scherhant
    76’
  9. ⇄ L. HölerFor Y. Suzuki
    76’
  10. ⇄ E. DemirovićFor B. El Khannouss
    77’
  11. ⇄ Chema AndrésFor A. Karazor
    77’
  12. ⇄ B. OgbusFor P. Treu
    78’
  13. E. Demirović 1–0Assist D. Undav
    90’
  14. ⇄ L. JaquezFor D. Undav
    90+2’
  15. E. DemirovićYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+3’
  16. M. MittelstädtYellow card
    90+5’
  17. J. SchusterYellow card
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

VfB Stuttgart18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
SC Freiburg11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
71% Possession 29%
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 0.70
2.03 Expected points (xPts) 0.72
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
13 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 5
509 Passes 212
85% Pass accuracy 69%
6 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.89 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1

336.9 A. Nübel(G)
36.7 R. Hendriks ↓59’ 247.2 J. Chabot 296.9 Finn Jeltsch 46.9 J. Vagnoman
67.2 A. Stiller 166.7 A. Karazor ↓77’
186.5 J. Leweling 287.2 N. Nartey ↓59’ 117.2 B. El Khannouss ↓77’
266.3 D. Undav A↓90’
  • 33A. Nübel (G)6.9
  • 3R. Hendriks↓59’6.7
  • 24J. Chabot7.2
  • 29Finn Jeltsch6.9
  • 4J. Vagnoman6.9
  • 6A. Stiller7.2
  • 16A. Karazor↓77’6.7
  • 18J. Leweling6.5
  • 28N. Nartey↓59’7.2
  • 11B. El Khannouss↓77’7.2
  • 26D. UndavA↓90’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 7M. Mittelstädt↑59’7.0
  • 10C. Führich↑59’7.0
  • 30Chema Andrés↑77’6.7
  • 9E. Demirović↑77’7.3
  • 14L. Jaquez↑90’

Unused: S. Drljača, A. Al Dakhil, L. Assignon, B. Bouanani

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1

17.9★ N. Atubolu(G)
336.6 J. Makengo 376.3 M. Rosenfelder 287.7 M. Ginter 297.0 P. Treu ↓78’
446.9 J. Manzambi ↓68’ 86.9 M. Eggestein
76.3 D. Scherhant ↓76’ 147.0 Y. Suzuki ↓76’ 196.9 J. Beste ↓68’
317.2 I. Matanović
  • 1N. Atubolu (G) ★7.9
  • 33J. Makengo6.6
  • 37M. Rosenfelder6.3
  • 28M. Ginter7.7
  • 29P. Treu↓78’7.0
  • 44J. Manzambi↓68’6.9
  • 8M. Eggestein6.9
  • 7D. Scherhant↓76’6.3
  • 14Y. Suzuki↓76’7.0
  • 19J. Beste↓68’6.9
  • 31I. Matanović7.2

Substitutes used

  • 22Cyriaque Irié↑68’6.5
  • 6P. Osterhage↑68’6.5
  • 32V. Grifo↑76’6.7
  • 9L. Höler↑76’6.7
  • 43B. Ogbus↑78’6.3

Unused: F. Müller, C. Günter, A. Jung, N. Höfler

Player stats

Top rated
N. AtuboluSC Freiburg7.9
2nd
M. GinterSC Freiburg7.7
3rd
J. ChabotVfB Stuttgart7.2

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Nübel G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Hendriks D 59 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 23 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
J. Chabot D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 79 1 1 0/0 1/3 7.2
Finn Jeltsch D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 62 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
J. Vagnoman D 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 88% 34 2 0 0/1 0/3 6.9
A. Stiller M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 88 1 1 0/1 1/1 7.2
A. Karazor M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 36 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Leweling F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 24 1 0 2/3 2/0 6.5
N. Nartey M 59 0 0 2 (1) 3 75% 24 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
B. El Khannouss M 77 0 0 1 (1) 3 83% 46 0 1 2/4 2/2 7.2
D. Undav F 90 0 1 8 (3) 2 67% 15 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Mittelstädt D 31 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 18 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
C. Führich M 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
Chema Andrés M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
E. Demirović F 13 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.3
L. Jaquez D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Atubolu G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 43% 44 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
J. Makengo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 2 0 2/2 1/0 6.6
M. Rosenfelder D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 22 3 2 0/0 1/2 6.3
M. Ginter D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 11 0 2 0/0 1/1 7.7
P. Treu D 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 81% 16 1 1 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. Manzambi M 68 0 0 1 (0) 0 68% 19 0 1 1/2 2/2 6.9
M. Eggestein M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 21 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. Scherhant F 76 0 0 1 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.3
Y. Suzuki M 76 0 0 2 (1) 0 79% 14 0 1 3/4 0/0 7.0
J. Beste D 68 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 14 1 1 0/0 1/2 6.9
I. Matanović F 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 63% 19 2 2 0/0 6/2 7.2
Cyriaque Irié F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.5
P. Osterhage M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
V. Grifo M 14 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Höler F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. Ogbus D 12 0 0 1 (1) 0 0% 1 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.