West Ham vs Wolves – 10 Apr 2026

Premier League Gameweek 32 Fri, Apr 10 · 20:00 London Stadium, London

West Ham 18th · 29 pts · 31 played DLWDL

4–0Full time

Wolves 20th · 17 pts · 31 played DLWWD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

West Ham were slight favourites.

West Ham were the stronger side on L90 Strength (58 vs 50). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for West Ham. West Ham had 19.2 days of rest, Wolves 25 and had to travel 182 km.

Away travel182 kmRest days19.2 · 25Matches / 14d0 · 0

West Ham50%

Draw25%

Wolves25%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.13

West Ham48%

Draw26%

Wolves26%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.11

West Ham50%

Draw25%

Wolves25%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11

West Ham42%

Draw26%

Wolves31%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.27

West Ham50%

Draw26%

Wolves25%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.12

Over 2.5 54% Both score 56% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (London)

No weather data yet

RefereeJarred Gillett

Cards per match 3.8
Penalties per match 0.22
Matches 104

Team strength

West Ham

Wolves

58 L90 StrengthIn forecast 50

64 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

68 AttackIn forecast 41

64 DefenceIn forecast 46

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

West Ham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Wolves

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

West Ham

Wolves

1.16 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.77

1.84 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.74

1.18 xGVia Att/Def 0.90

1.63 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.54

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext -0.13

68% Scored inContext 52%

13% Clean sheetsContext 13%

10.13 ShotsContext 9.19

3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.37

33% On target shareContext 35%

7.30 Shots in the boxContext 5.93

69% Box shareContext 61%

12% ConversionContext 8%

2.22 OffsidesContext 1.87

15.32 Shots allowedContext 13.84

5.42 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.77

4.72 BlocksContext 4.54

3.68 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.07

68% Save rateContext 64%

42% PossessionIn forecast 43%

371 PassesContext 372

294 Accurate passesContext 297

79% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.72

11.00 FoulsContext 13.19

10.71 Fouls sufferedContext 10.97

1.71 Yellow cardsContext 2.19

0.06 Red cardsContext 0.03

This league season, per match · 31 and 31 games

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

1.51 xGVia Att/Def 0.84

1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.82

-0.11 Goals minus xGContext +0.06

80% Scored inContext 50%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.40 ShotsContext 9.50

3.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

33% On target shareContext 36%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 5.67

68% Box shareContext 57%

14% ConversionContext 10%

2.44 OffsidesContext 1.89

15.70 Shots allowedContext 14.90

5.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.80

4.80 BlocksContext 4.38

3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30

71% Save rateContext 69%

40% PossessionIn forecast 40%

350 PassesContext 347

270 Accurate passesContext 274

77% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.93 Team ratingContext 6.81

11.30 FoulsContext 11.20

9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 13.20

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

West Ham

Rest19.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Wolves

Rest25 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel182 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	West Ham	Wolves
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	19.2Premier League 2025-2026, 22 Mar	25Premier League 2025-2026, 16 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	182 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 2	0 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	10	7.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

West Ham Confirmed XI

4-4-1-1

1M. Hermansen(G)

12E. Diouf 4A. Disasi 15K. Mavropanos 2K. Walker-Peters

7C. Summerville 28T. Souček 18Mateus Fernandes 20J. Bowen

19Pablo

11V. Castellanos

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Wolves Confirmed XI

3-5-1-1

1José Sá(G)

37L. Krejčí 4S. Bueno 15Y. Mosquera

3Hugo Bueno 8João Gomes 7André 27J. Bellegarde 38J. Tchatchoua

47A. Gomes

9A. Armstrong

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

West Ham Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Wolves Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

West Ham-0.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Wolves+0.4 pp

Home / Away this season

West Ham · Home 0.87points per game · 15 home games

W-D-L: 3-4-8
Scored: 1.20
Conceded: 1.87

Wolves · Away 0.33points per game · 15 away games

W-D-L: 0-5-10
Scored: 0.47
Conceded: 1.53

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	West Ham	Wolves
Aston Villa	L 0–2 AL 2–3 H	W 2–0 HL 0–1 A
Manchester City	D 1–1 HL 0–3 A	L 0–2 AL 0–4 H
Fulham	W 1–0 AL 0–1 H	L 0–3 A
Liverpool	L 2–5 AL 0–2 H	W 2–1 HL 1–2 A
Bournemouth	D 0–0 HD 2–2 A	L 0–2 HL 0–1 A
Manchester United	D 1–1 HD 1–1 A	D 1–1 AL 1–4 H
Burnley	W 2–0 AW 3–2 H	L 2–3 H
Chelsea	L 2–3 AL 1–5 H	L 1–3 HL 0–3 A
Sunderland	W 3–1 HL 0–3 A	L 0–2 A
Tottenham	W 2–1 AL 0–3 H	D 1–1 A
Nottingham Forest	L 1–2 HW 3–0 A	D 0–0 AL 0–1 H
Brighton	D 2–2 HD 1–1 A	D 1–1 H
Newcastle	W 3–1 H	D 0–0 HL 0–1 A
Leeds	L 1–2 A	L 1–3 H
Brentford	L 0–2 H	D 2–2 AL 0–2 H
Arsenal	L 0–2 A	D 2–2 HL 1–2 A
Everton	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 AL 2–3 H
Crystal Palace	L 1–2 H	L 0–1 AL 0–2 H
Points	29 of 90 · 0.97 per game	14 of 90 · 0.47 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 11 meetings

6 West Ham wins0 draws4 Wolves wins

Goals per game1.30 – 1.00 Over 2.550% Both scored30% Clean sheets30% · 40%

3 Jan 2026Wolves3–0West Ham
1 Apr 2025Wolves1–0West Ham
9 Dec 2024West Ham2–1Wolves
6 Apr 2024Wolves1–2West Ham
17 Dec 2023West Ham3–0Wolves
14 Jan 2023Wolves1–0West Ham

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	West Ham	Wolves	Forecast
Scored per game	1.16	0.77
Conceded per game	1.84	1.74
Match goals	3.00	2.52	2.82
Over 1.5	90%	77%
Over 2.5	58%	45%	54%
Over 3.5	29%	26%
Both teams scored	58%	45%	56%
Clean sheets	13%	13%
Failed to score	32%	48%
Games	31	31

	West Ham	Wolves	Forecast
Scored per game	1.40	0.90
Conceded per game	1.40	1.30
Match goals	2.80	2.20	2.82
Over 1.5	80%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	40%	54%
Over 3.5	30%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	40%	56%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	20%	50%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	West Ham	Wolves	League
Corners
Corners won	5.20	3.39
Corners conceded	6.57	6.21
Match total	11.77	9.60	10.06
Over 8.5	80% 24/30	71% 20/28
Over 9.5	73% 22/30	64% 18/28
Over 10.5	70% 21/30	39% 11/28
Cards
Cards	1.81	2.29
Opponent cards	1.87	1.61
Match total	3.68	3.90	3.92
Over 3.5	52% 16/31	58% 18/31
Over 4.5	29% 9/31	42% 13/31

	West Ham	Wolves	League
Corners
Corners won	4.40	3.44
Corners conceded	7.30	5.67
Match total	11.70	9.11	10.06
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	70% 7/10	33% 3/9
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.50
Opponent cards	2.30	1.90
Match total	4.30	4.40	3.92
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Jarred Gillett 104 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.66league 3.78

Red cards0.10league 0.13

Cards 5+38%league 40%

Fouls20.1league 21.4

Penalties0.22league 0.21

Home wins37%league 42%

West Ham8 with this referee

Record5-1-2 Cards · opp.1.6 · 1.4 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

W17 Jan 26A · Tottenham2–13
L13 Sep 25H · Tottenham0–31
W11 May 25A · Manchester United2–01
D17 Mar 24H · Aston Villa1–13
W8 Apr 23A · Fulham1–01

Wolves8 with this referee

Record2-2-4 Cards · opp.2.1 · 2.6 Pens for · against1 · 2 Reds1

L7 Feb 26H · Chelsea1–31
D5 Oct 25H · Brighton1–12
L16 Aug 25H · Manchester City0–41
L17 Aug 24A · Arsenal0–22
L1 Feb 24H · Manchester United3–42

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.