Willem II vs ADO Den Haag

Eredivisie Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 13 · 13:30 Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Willem II 18th · 2 pts · 9 played DLLLL

VS— Compare

ADO Den Haag 17th · 6 pts · 9 played LLDDW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days7.9 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Willem II—%

Draw—%

ADO Den Haag—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Tilburg)

Forecast from 28 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Willem II 4 Losses in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Willem II

ADO Den Haag

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

10 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

10 AttackIn forecast 15

9 DefenceIn forecast 18

8 Form indexContext 24

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Willem II

Attack—

Defense risk—

ADO Den Haag

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Willem II

ADO Den Haag

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.22

2.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.22

1.28 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

2.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.20

-0.28 Goals minus xGContext +0.29

78% Scored inContext 78%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.67 ShotsContext 11.22

2.78 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.56

24% On target shareContext 32%

7.78 Shots in the boxContext 7.25

68% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.88

20.33 Shots allowedContext 17.33

7.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.78

4.33 BlocksContext 4.78

4.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.56

61% Save rateContext 67%

40% PossessionIn forecast 48%

356 PassesContext 411

276 Accurate passesContext 334

78% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.47 Team ratingContext 6.65

9.78 FoulsContext 14.00

9.89 Fouls sufferedContext 10.11

1.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.56

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.11

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

2.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10

1.28 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

2.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.20

-0.28 Goals minus xGContext +0.17

80% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.67 ShotsContext 11.60

2.78 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.60

24% On target shareContext 31%

7.78 Shots in the boxContext 7.44

68% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 10%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.78

20.33 Shots allowedContext 16.30

7.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.30

4.33 BlocksContext 4.60

4.44 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20

61% Save rateContext 67%

40% PossessionIn forecast 50%

356 PassesContext 417

276 Accurate passesContext 338

78% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.47 Team ratingContext 6.68

9.78 FoulsContext 13.70

9.89 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Willem II DLLLL

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 8 · 1 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -2.5 vs expected

L17 OctA · Sparta Rotterdam2–30.8 xPts
L11 OctA · Utrecht1–30.7 xPts
L19 SepH · Fortuna Sittard0–11.4 xPts
L15 SepA · Ajax1–50.3 xPts
D11 SepA · AZ Alkmaar1–10.3 xPts

ADO Den Haag LLDDW

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 24 · 5 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

W17 OctH · PSV Eindhoven2–10.4 xPts
D11 OctA · Telstar2–20.9 xPts
D19 SepH · Cambuur1–11.4 xPts
L12 SepA · Twente0–20.4 xPts
L6 SepH · Fortuna Sittard2–31.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Willem II	ADO Den Haag
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 5 Dec	6.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 6 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	5.2	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Willem II Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sparta Rotterdam (A) 2–3, 17 Oct

26M. Delanghe(G)

24N. Tjoe-A-On 23M. Dekker 3F. Stam 5H. ter Avest

52T. Vilhena 18Anass Zarrouk

32Vito van Crooij 19U. van Aalst 7J. Slory

9D. Haen

ADO Den Haag Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs PSV Eindhoven (H) 2–1, 17 Oct

1K. Nikiéma(G)

18S. Sylla 4M. Waem 3P. Mulder 22L. Wilhelm 5J. Jensen-Abbew

11E. Rottier 25J. Kilo 8J. Žambůrek

9J. Bal 46Y. Eduardo

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Willem II Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

ADO Den Haag Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Willem II · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.75
Conceded: 2.50

ADO Den Haag · Away 0.40points per game · 5 away games

W-D-L: 0-2-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.20

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Willem II	ADO Den Haag
Fortuna Sittard	L 0–1 H	L 2–3 H
AZ Alkmaar	D 1–1 A	L 0–2 A
GO Ahead Eagles	L 1–4 A	L 1–3 A
Points	1 of 9 · 0.33 per game	0 of 9 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Willem II	ADO Den Haag
Scored per game	1.00	1.22
Conceded per game	2.89	2.22
Match goals	3.89	3.44
Over 1.5	89%	100%
Over 2.5	78%	67%
Over 3.5	67%	56%
Both teams scored	78%	78%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	22%	22%
Games	9	9

	Willem II	ADO Den Haag
Scored per game	1.00	1.22
Conceded per game	2.89	2.22
Match goals	3.89	3.44
Over 1.5	89%	100%
Over 2.5	78%	67%
Over 3.5	67%	56%
Both teams scored	78%	78%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	22%	22%
Games	9	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Willem II	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	3.78	4.14
Corners conceded	6.56	6.14
Match total	10.34	10.28	10.39
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	57% 4/7
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.33	1.67
Opponent cards	1.11	1.44
Match total	2.44	3.11	2.77
Over 3.5	22% 2/9	44% 4/9
Over 4.5	11% 1/9	11% 1/9

	Willem II	ADO Den Haag	League
Corners
Corners won	3.78	4.25
Corners conceded	6.56	5.63
Match total	10.34	9.88	10.39
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.60
Opponent cards	1.40	1.70
Match total	2.70	3.30	2.77
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.