Zulte Waregem vs Kortrijk

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Mar 20 · 16:00 Elindus Arena, Waregem

Zulte Waregem 8th · 11 pts · 8 played DWLLL

First leg2–0 VS— Compare

Kortrijk 18th · 3 pts · 8 played LLLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel13 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Zulte Waregem—%

Draw—%

Kortrijk—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Waregem)

Forecast from 5 Mar

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Streak Zulte Waregem 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Zulte Waregem

Kortrijk

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

30 Current StrengthIn forecast 12

27 AttackIn forecast 10

31 DefenceIn forecast 16

17 Form indexContext 13

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Zulte Waregem

Attack—

Defense risk—

Kortrijk

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Zulte Waregem

Kortrijk

1.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.25

1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.25

1.25 xGVia Att/Def 0.81

1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.15

+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.56

50% Scored inContext 25%

38% Clean sheetsContext 13%

12.63 ShotsContext 11.25

4.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.63

34% On target shareContext 23%

8.13 Shots in the boxContext 6.88

65% Box shareContext 59%

10% ConversionContext 2%

2.80 OffsidesContext 3.00

12.00 Shots allowedContext 14.25

4.88 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.25

3.13 BlocksContext 3.00

3.63 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25

74% Save rateContext 62%

43% PossessionIn forecast 44%

376 PassesContext 396

304 Accurate passesContext 314

81% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.47

11.50 FoulsContext 12.00

12.88 Fouls sufferedContext 9.88

0.88 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.30

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.34 xGVia Att/Def 0.81

1.29 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.15

+0.16 Goals minus xGContext -0.51

60% Scored inContext 30%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.10 ShotsContext 10.40

4.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.60

35% On target shareContext 25%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 6.30

64% Box shareContext 60%

12% ConversionContext 3%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.86

11.90 Shots allowedContext 14.60

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.20

3.11 BlocksContext 3.20

3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

72% Save rateContext 67%

45% PossessionIn forecast 43%

385 PassesContext 383

308 Accurate passesContext 297

80% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.84 Team ratingContext 6.57

11.00 FoulsContext 11.80

12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60

0.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.60

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Zulte Waregem DWLLL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km54 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 17 · 4 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -3.5 vs expected

L10 OctH · Gent0–21.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Anderlecht0–31.1 xPts
L13 SepH · Charleroi0–11.6 xPts
W6 SepA · Kortrijk2–01.8 xPts
D30 AugA · KVC Westerlo2–21.7 xPts

Kortrijk LLLWL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel13 km176 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 13 · 3 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected

L10 OctA · Genk0–30.5 xPts
W20 SepH · SK Beveren1–01.2 xPts
L13 SepA · RAAL La Louvière0–31.0 xPts
L6 SepH · Zulte Waregem0–21.0 xPts
L3 SepA · Anderlecht0–10.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 13 Mar	7Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 13 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	13 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	54 km	176 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	14	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Zulte Waregem Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Gent (H) 0–2, 10 Oct

13B. Gabriël(G)

55Y. Cappelle 5Jakob Kiilerich 4L. Lemoine 23S. Diakité

11M. Aké 6E. Lofolomo 8T. Claes

20T. Hedl 18A. Ementa 10M. Mbaye

Kortrijk Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Genk (A) 0–3, 10 Oct

1P. Gunnarsson(G)

3M. Anderson 4H. Murray-Campbell 21A. Drouhin 36R. Kohon

70A. Phillips 35B. Lambert 19B. Dejaegere

68T. Ambrose 10G. Koyalipou 11S. Campbell

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Zulte Waregem Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Kortrijk Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Zulte Waregem · Home 1.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-0-2
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.00

Kortrijk · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-4
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk
Anderlecht	L 0–3 A	L 0–1 A
Charleroi	L 0–1 H	L 1–3 H
SK Beveren	W 4–0 H	W 1–0 H
Genk	W 2–1 H	L 0–3 A
Points	6 of 12 · 1.50 per game	3 of 12 · 0.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

1 Zulte Waregem wins0 draws0 Kortrijk wins

Goals per game2.00 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 0%

6 Sep 2026Kortrijk0–2Zulte Waregem

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk
Scored per game	1.25	0.25
Conceded per game	1.13	2.25
Match goals	2.38	2.50
Over 1.5	75%	75%
Over 2.5	50%	63%
Over 3.5	25%	13%
Both teams scored	25%	13%
Clean sheets	38%	13%
Failed to score	50%	75%
Games	8	8

	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk
Scored per game	1.10	0.25
Conceded per game	1.10	2.25
Match goals	2.20	2.50
Over 1.5	70%	75%
Over 2.5	40%	63%
Over 3.5	20%	13%
Both teams scored	20%	13%
Clean sheets	40%	13%
Failed to score	50%	75%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	3.43
Corners conceded	5.25	6.29
Match total	9.75	9.72	10.01
Over 8.5	75% 6/8	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	50% 4/8	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.00	2.00
Opponent cards	2.25	1.63
Match total	3.25	3.63	3.36
Over 3.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	25% 2/8

	Zulte Waregem	Kortrijk	League
Corners
Corners won	5.20	3.67
Corners conceded	4.80	6.56
Match total	10.00	10.23	10.01
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.80
Opponent cards	2.30	1.50
Match total	3.30	3.30	3.36
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.