Alverca

8th · Primeira Liga · 11 points · Matches played: 8

13 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+8.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +5.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
30.4+8.8
World Rank 214th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 10th L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Alverca lean on a top-third attack, with a mid-table defence behind it. Across the 8 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The squad is fully fit, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Benfica.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 43% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation <1%Likely 8th · 47 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Benfica · , 9% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing
  • 11 pts vs 9.3 expected+1.7 vs pre-match expectations · 8 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Alverca. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions8 Played
37.5%Win %
Wins3
Draws2
Losses3

Expected metrics · 5 of 8 matches covered

Goals For
131.63 / game
xG 7.22 0.78 more goals than expected. vs 8 goals
Goals Against
121.50 / game
xGA 7.85 1.15 more conceded than expected. vs 9 conceded
Goal Difference
+1+0.12 / game
xGD -0.63 Goal difference is 0.37 lower than expected. vs -1 GD
Clean Sheets
113% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 38 players · this season, all competitions

Top scorer
Vivaldo Semedo3 goals
Most assists
Diogo Spencer3 assists
Best rated
Chiquinho7.28 avg rating
Most minutes
Matheus Mendes720 min
Key to the model
ZoubdiStarter · weight 1.66

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Arouca: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Primeira Liga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength10th of 18
30 Elo 1522 · World #214
Current Strength
30 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack5th of 18
38 Scores 1.37 per match against an average top-five side
Defence7th of 18
42 Concedes 1.65 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → FC Porto: attack 74, defence 79, L90 Strength 80 Benfica: attack 81, defence 81, L90 Strength 82 Sporting CP: attack 75, defence 81, L90 Strength 84 Santa Clara: attack 29, defence 53, L90 Strength 34 Arouca: attack 28, defence 37, L90 Strength 34 GIL Vicente: attack 32, defence 50, L90 Strength 34 Academico Viseu: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 32 Alverca: attack 38, defence 42, L90 Strength 30 SC Braga: attack 41, defence 59, L90 Strength 56 Estrela: attack 24, defence 27, L90 Strength 20 Maritimo: attack 15, defence 20, L90 Strength 16 Moreirense: attack 17, defence 27, L90 Strength 25 Famalicao: attack 24, defence 36, L90 Strength 38 Rio Ave: attack 18, defence 21, L90 Strength 21 Guimaraes: attack 28, defence 39, L90 Strength 27 Nacional: attack 15, defence 13, L90 Strength 17 Casa Pia: attack 13, defence 25, L90 Strength 18 Estoril: attack 21, defence 29, L90 Strength 22
Every Primeira Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 8 listed

64
Form index · 6th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
8.5
Own forecasts
6.5 +3.5
Table8th L90 Strength10th Form6th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W12 OctA · Famalicao4–10.9 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Rio Ave1–01.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Nacional3–11.3 xPts
  • L5 SepH · SC Braga1–21.0 xPts
  • D29 AugH · Santa Clara1–11.5 xPts
  • L22 AugA · Sporting CP1–30.5 xPts
  • D15 AugH · Estrela2–21.8 xPts
  • L9 AugA · FC Porto0–20.5 xPts

Trends last 8, all competitions

Scored 7/8
Clean sheet 1/8
Conceded 2+ 4/8
Over 2.5 5/8
Both teams scored 6/8

Playing style vs Primeira Liga average

AlvercaLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.63 1.37 5th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.37 11th
xG 1.44 1.26 6th
xG allowed 1.57 1.23 15th
Scored in 88% 73% 4th
Clean sheets 13% 28% 11th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Shots 12.00 12.17 10th
Shots on target 4.13 4.15 7th
On target share 34% 33% 9th
Box share 59% 61% 13th
Conversion 14% 11% 6th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.13 12.12 10th
On target allowed 4.25 4.11 9th
Blocks 3.29 3.19 8th
Save rate 71% 67% 7th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Possession 43% 50% 17th
Passes 343 426 16th
Pass accuracy 80% 83% 15th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Fouls 14.63 12.61 16th
Fouls suffered 11.00 12.59 15th
Yellow cards 2.25 2.13 10th
Red cards 0.13 0.05 12th
This league season, per match · 8 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
AlvercaLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.40 1.31 6th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.35 10th
xG 1.28 1.15 5th
xG allowed 1.33 1.30 10th
Scored in 80% 71% 6th
Clean sheets 10% 28% 15th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Shots 11.00 11.88 12th
Shots on target 3.50 3.99 10th
On target share 32% 33% 12th
Box share 60% 60% 9th
Conversion 13% 11% 7th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.80 12.49 9th
On target allowed 3.90 4.13 8th
Blocks 3.00 3.33 11th
Save rate 69% 69% 10th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Possession 43% 50% 16th
Passes 350 417 17th
Pass accuracy 80% 83% 15th
AlvercaLeagueRank
Fouls 14.40 12.49 16th
Fouls suffered 11.00 12.54 17th
Yellow cards 2.30 2.18 10th
Red cards 0.10 0.06 10th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 1.2–1.2 goals · 4 games
Away1.50pts per game2-0-2 · 2.0–1.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 8 games

2 2 0-15
1 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 5 46-60
2 1 61-75
3 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Primeira Liga · 8 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 13 5th / 18
GF/G 1.63 5th / 18
xG/G 1.44 6th / 18
G − xG +0.19 11th / 18

Defence

GA 12 11th / 18
GA/G 1.50 11th / 18
xGA/G 1.57 15th / 18
xGA − GA +0.07 5th / 18

Overall

Pts 11 8th / 18
xPts 9.3 10th / 18
PPG 1.38 8th / 18
TR 6.73 9th / 18
GD +1 7th / 18
xGD -1.0 9th / 18
W 3 8th / 18
L 3 9th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–2×1
  • 2–2×1
  • 1–3×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 3–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
13% 1
25% 2
13% 3
38% 4
13% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
88%75%
Over 2.5
63%56%
Over 3.5
50%36%
Both scored
75%51%
Clean sheet
13%27%
Failed to score
13%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.