+2.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +1.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 93.4+2.5
A top side, and in form.
Barcelona have the best attack and the best defence in La Liga. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 6 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Paris Saint Germain.
La Liga · 9 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.
They dominate the ball, with 70% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 21 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (20% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (7 shots a game against). They have won every league game so far, home and away.
- Title 94% · Top 4 >99%Likely 1st · 97 projected points
-
Next 5: about 11 of 15 points Toughest at
Paris Saint Germain · , 51% to win
- 3 out, none key3% of squad weight missing
- 27 pts vs 21.5 expected+5.5 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Barcelona. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Insight
Barcelona
+2.60
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for3.55xG against0.95
-
Trend
Barcelona
70%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Barcelona
3
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Insight
Barcelona
+5.2
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points27.0xPts21.8
-
Streak
Barcelona
10+
Wins in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row -
Trend
Barcelona
4.3
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Attack
-
Insight
Barcelona
+2.60
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for3.55xG against0.95
-
Trend
Barcelona
4.3
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Barcelona
70%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Barcelona
10+
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Insight
Barcelona
+5.2
Points above expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points27.0xPts21.8
Streaks
-
Streak
Barcelona
10+
Wins in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row -
Streak
Barcelona
10+
Unbeaten in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row -
Streak
Barcelona
10+
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered
Expected metrics · 1 of 2 matches covered
Expected metrics · 10 of 11 matches covered
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
La Liga · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– | 93 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW | |
| 2– | 81 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 22 | WWWWW | |
| 3▲ | 89 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW | |
| 4▼ | 72 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 19 | WWDWL | |
| 5▲ | 58 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 16 | WLWWW | |
| 6▼ | 50 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | WWLDL | |
| 7– | 48 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 | LLDLL | |
| 8▲ | 54 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 11 | DDWDW | |
| 9▼ | 45 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLDLD | |
| 10▲ | 46 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 | LLDLW | |
| 11▼ | 55 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | WWDDD | |
| 12▼ | 67 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 9 | LWWLD | |
| 13– | 58 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 | WLWDD | |
| 14– | 48 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD | |
| 15▼ | 44 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 | WLLDL | |
| 16▼ | 41 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 | WLLDL | |
| 17– | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 | DLLDD | |
| 18– | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | DLWDD | |
| 19– | 51 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | LWLDD | |
| 20– | 41 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 4 | DLLDL |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27 Aug 2026 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | 31 Aug 2026 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| 6 · Partial | 17 Sep 2026 | 1 | 18 | 6 |
| 7 | 20 Sep 2026 | 1 | 21 | 7 |
| 8 · Partial | 12 Oct 2026 | 1 | 24 | 8 |
| 9 | 19 Oct 2026 | 1 | 27 | 9 |
League phase standings
UEFA Champions League · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW | |
| 2▲ | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW | |
| 3– | 93 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 | WW | |
| 4▲ | 68 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | WW | |
| 5▲ | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW | |
| 6– | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW | |
| 7▲ | 94 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | WW | |
| 8▲ | 72 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW | |
| 9▲ | 89 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | WW | |
| 10▼ | 94 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 | WD | |
| 11▲ | 58 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | DW | |
| 12▼ | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | WL | |
| 13▼ | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | WL | |
| 14▲ | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW | |
| 15▲ | 81 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW | |
| 16▲ | 76 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | LW | |
| 17▼ | 91 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | WL | |
| 18▼ | 81 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 | WL | |
| 19▼ | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL | |
| 20▼ | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL | |
| 21▲ | 68 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW | |
| 22▲ | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | LW | |
| 23▲ | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 | LW | |
| 24▲ | 60 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 | LW | |
| 25▼ | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL | |
| 26▼ | 74 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | DL | |
| 27▲ | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD | |
| 28▼ | 64 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 | DL | |
| 29▼ | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL | |
| 30▲ | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL | |
| 31▼ | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL | |
| 32▼ | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL | |
| 33▼ | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL | |
| 34▼ | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | LL | |
| 35▼ | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 | LL | |
| 36▼ | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 | LL |
36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.
League position over time
Position by matchday
Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MD | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 Sep 2026 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 Oct 2026 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out
| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| 25 | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | 6.98 | starter | |
| 31 | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | rotation | |
| 36 | 1 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | 5.90 | rotation | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| Defenders | |||||||
| 19 | 8 (8) | 692 | 0 | 2 | 7.35 | starter | |
| 25 | 9 (8) | 677 | 1 | 0 | 7.10 | starter | |
| 24 | 9 (8) | 662 | 0 | 0 | 7.22 | starter | |
| — | 7 (7) | 620 | 1 | 2 | 7.09 | rotation | |
| 30 | 7 (5) | 491 | 0 | 1 | 6.91 | rotation | |
| 27 | 8 (4) | 458 | 1 | 1 | 6.89 | starter | |
| 32 | 8 (4) | 386 | 2 | 1 | 6.93 | rotation | |
| 23 | 1 (0) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | rotation | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| Midfielders | |||||||
| 23 | 11 (9) | 756 | 1 | 2 | 7.21 | core | |
| 30 | 10 (8) | 690 | 1 | 0 | 7.48 | core | |
| 23 | 10 (7) | 639 | 5 | 3 | 7.44 | starter | |
| 28 | 11 (5) | 489 | 1 | 4 | 7.15 | rotation | |
| 19 | 10 (3) | 355 | 0 | 2 | 6.76 | rotation | |
| 22 | 6 (2) | 161 | 0 | 0 | 6.52 | rotation | |
| 19 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| — | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
| 29 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation | |
| 20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation | |
| Forwards | |||||||
| 19 | 11 (11) | 921 | 9 | 10 | ★ 8.38 | core | |
| 29 | 9 (8) | 645 | 14 | 3 | ★ 8.70 | core | |
| 25 | 10 (7) | 582 | 2 | 4 | 7.23 | core | |
| 24 | 11 (4) | 418 | 4 | 2 | 7.11 | starter | |
| 29 | 7 (2) | 234 | 4 | 0 | 7.28 | rotation | |
| — | 2 (0) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | depth | |
| 18 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Paris Saint Germain: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength La Liga · 20 clubs
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed
- Points, last 5
- 15
- Median top-5 club
- 6.1
- Own forecasts
- 12.0 +3.0
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- W17 OctA · Real Betis5–22.1 xPts
- W13 OctA · Galatasaray4–12.1 xPts
- W10 OctH · Getafe3–02.7 xPts
- W19 SepA · Sevilla3–12.3 xPts
- W16 SepH · Racing Santander7–22.7 xPts
- W13 SepA · Levante4–22.3 xPts
- W9 SepH · Feyenoord5–12.6 xPts
- W6 SepA · Valencia5–02.2 xPts
- W31 AugH · Rayo Vallecano5–22.6 xPts
- W27 AugH · Athletic Club2–02.5 xPts
Trends last 10, all competitions
Playing style vs La Liga average
Home and away this league season
Goal timing this league season · 9 games
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20
Attack
Defence
Overall
Scorelines
- 5–0×2
- 5–2×2
- 2–0×1
- 4–2×1
- 7–2×1
- 3–1×1
Goals per game both teams
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 100%76%
- Over 2.5
- 89%56%
- Over 3.5
- 78%39%
- Both scored
- 56%59%
- Clean sheet
- 44%25%
- Failed to score
- 0%25%
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.