Barcelona

1st · La Liga · 27 points · Matches played: 9

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
93.4+2.5
World Rank 3rd Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 1st L90 Strength

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Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Our take

A top side, and in form.

Barcelona have the best attack and the best defence in La Liga. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 6 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Paris Saint Germain.

La Liga · 9 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They dominate the ball, with 70% possession, 1st in the league, and turn it into 21 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (20% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (7 shots a game against). They have won every league game so far, home and away.

  • Title 94% · Top 4 >99%Likely 1st · 97 projected points
  • Next 5: about 11 of 15 points Toughest at Paris Saint Germain · , 51% to win
  • 3 out, none key3% of squad weight missing
  • 27 pts vs 21.5 expected+5.5 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Barcelona. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions11 Played
100.0%Win %
Wins11
Draws0
Losses0

Expected metrics · 10 of 11 matches covered

Goals For
484.36 / game
xG 36.31 6.69 more goals than expected. vs 43 goals
Goals Against
111.00 / game
xGA 9.25 0.75 more conceded than expected. vs 10 conceded
Goal Difference
+37+3.36 / game
xGD +27.06 Goal difference is 5.94 higher than expected. vs +33 GD
Clean Sheets
436% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Top scorer
Raphinha14 goals (3 pen)
Most assists
Lamine Yamal10 assists
Best rated
Raphinha8.70 avg rating
Most minutes
Lamine Yamal921 min
Key to the model
Lamine YamalCore · weight 2.41

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Paris Saint Germain: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength1st of 20
93 Elo 2044 · World #3
Current Strength
93 With absences before 20 Oct: -3 Elo
Attack1st of 20
97 Scores 3.60 per match against an average top-five side
Defence1st of 20
92 Concedes 0.85 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

96
Form index · 2nd of 20 in league
Points, last 5
15
Median top-5 club
6.1
Own forecasts
12.0 +3.0
Table1st L90 Strength1st Form2nd

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Real Betis5–22.1 xPts
  • W13 OctA · Galatasaray4–12.1 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Getafe3–02.7 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Sevilla3–12.3 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Racing Santander7–22.7 xPts
  • W13 SepA · Levante4–22.3 xPts
  • W9 SepH · Feyenoord5–12.6 xPts
  • W6 SepA · Valencia5–02.2 xPts
  • W31 AugH · Rayo Vallecano5–22.6 xPts
  • W27 AugH · Athletic Club2–02.5 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 10/10
Clean sheet 3/10
Conceded 2+ 4/10
Over 2.5 9/10
Both teams scored 7/10

Playing style vs La Liga average

BARLeagueRank
Goals scored 4.33 1.54 1st
Goals conceded 1.00 1.55 3rd
xG 3.73 1.45 1st
xG allowed 0.98 1.46 1st
Scored in 100% 75% 1st
Clean sheets 44% 25% 2nd
BARLeagueRank
Shots 21.11 13.43 1st
Shots on target 8.44 4.90 1st
On target share 40% 35% 3rd
Box share 70% 59% 1st
Conversion 21% 11% 1st
BARLeagueRank
Shots allowed 6.78 13.36 1st
On target allowed 3.50 4.92 3rd
Blocks 1.60 3.56 20th
Save rate 68% 69% 13th
BARLeagueRank
Possession 70% 50% 1st
Passes 697 456 1st
Pass accuracy 91% 84% 1st
BARLeagueRank
Fouls 9.67 12.30 2nd
Fouls suffered 10.22 12.30 19th
Yellow cards 1.33 2.17 2nd
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BARLeagueRank
Goals scored 4.30 1.56 1st
Goals conceded 1.10 1.55 3rd
xG 3.55 1.44 1st
xG allowed 0.95 1.43 1st
Scored in 100% 76% 1st
Clean sheets 30% 22% 2nd
BARLeagueRank
Shots 22.40 13.43 1st
Shots on target 8.90 4.92 1st
On target share 40% 35% 4th
Box share 67% 60% 3rd
Conversion 19% 11% 1st
BARLeagueRank
Shots allowed 6.30 13.15 1st
On target allowed 3.44 4.91 1st
Blocks 1.43 3.45 20th
Save rate 64% 68% 16th
BARLeagueRank
Possession 72% 50% 1st
Passes 712 450 1st
Pass accuracy 91% 84% 1st
BARLeagueRank
Fouls 9.50 12.32 2nd
Fouls suffered 10.20 12.28 19th
Yellow cards 1.30 2.11 1st
Red cards 0.00 0.11 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game4-0-0 · 4.2–1.0 goals · 4 games
Away3.00pts per game5-0-0 · 4.4–1.0 goals · 5 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

6 1 0-15
7 3 16-30
5 31-45
5 2 46-60
7 1 61-75
9 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 39 1st / 20
GF/G 4.33 1st / 20
xG/G 3.73 1st / 20
G − xG +0.60 1st / 20

Defence

GA 9 4th / 20
GA/G 1.00 4th / 20
xGA/G 0.98 1st / 20
xGA − GA -0.02 9th / 20

Overall

Pts 27 1st / 20
xPts 21.5 1st / 20
PPG 3.00 1st / 20
TR 7.42 1st / 20
GD +30 1st / 20
xGD +24.8 1st / 20
W 9 1st / 20
L 0 1st / 20

Scorelines

  • 5–0×2
  • 5–2×2
  • 2–0×1
  • 4–2×1
  • 7–2×1
  • 3–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
11% 2
11% 3
11% 4
67% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%76%
Over 2.5
89%56%
Over 3.5
78%39%
Both scored
56%59%
Clean sheet
44%25%
Failed to score
0%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.