Brighton

3rd · Premier League · 16 points · Matches played: 7

5 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +6.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 83.0+4.2
World Rank 11th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 5th L90 Strength
Last Crystal PalaceH xG 2.0–0.8 5–0 Next LiverpoolA 37%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

Mid-table strength, top-table form.

Brighton build on a top-three attack and back it with a top-three defence. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Manchester City.

Premier League · 7 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They dominate the ball, with 60% possession, 3rd in the league, and turn it into 18 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (18% of shots scored), and allow very few chances (11 shots a game against). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Top 4 76% · Relegation 0%Likely 3rd · 69 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Manchester City · , 27% to win
  • 9 out, none key10% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 16 pts vs 11.2 expected+4.8 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Brighton. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Premier League16 pts2.29 PPG7 games 3rd
71.4%Win %
Wins5
Draws1
Losses1

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
233.29 / game
xG 14.65 8.35 more goals than expected. vs 23 goals
Goals Against
50.71 / game
xGA 10.12 5.12 fewer conceded than expected. vs 5 conceded
Goal Difference
+18+2.57 / game
xGD +4.53 Goal difference is 13.47 higher than expected. vs +18 GD
Clean Sheets
571% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Premier League →

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions · 6 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Top scorer
P. Groß3 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
P. Groß4 assists
Best rated
L. Dunk7.65 avg rating
Most minutes
B. Verbruggen630 min
Key to the model
L. VuškovićCore · weight 2.94
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
B. Verbruggen 24 7 (7) 630 0 0 7.43 starter
T. McGill 26 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Steele 36 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
L. Vušković 19 7 (7) 618 1 0 7.53 core
O. Boscagli 28 7 (7) 587 0 1 7.31 starter
M. De Cuyper 25 7 (7) 583 2 2 7.27 rotation
L. Dunk 34 6 (5) 480 1 0 7.65 starter
P. Struijk injured 27 4 (2) 188 0 0 6.73 rotation
Costinha 26 6 (0) 90 0 0 6.79 rotation
J. Hadjam 23 2 (0) 11 1 0 7.39 depth
M. Svoboda 28 2 (0) 4 0 0 6.90 depth
E. Cashin 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Igor Julio 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Charlie Tasker 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
D. Gómez 23 7 (7) 614 1 2 7.03 starter
P. Groß 35 7 (7) 611 3 4 7.43 starter
F. Kadıoğlu 27 6 (6) 514 0 0 6.72 starter
Y. Ayari 23 6 (6) 503 2 0 7.06 rotation
Chema Andrés 21 4 (3) 290 1 1 6.78 starter
M. Yalcouyé 20 7 (3) 269 2 0 7.08 starter
M. Wieffer injured 26 2 (2) 158 0 0 7.40 rotation
J. Hinshelwood 21 2 (1) 83 3 0 ★ 8.32 rotation
M. O'Riley 25 2 (0) 10 0 0 6.65 depth
A. Cozier-Duberry 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Middleton — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. Mitoma injured 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
C. Kostoulas 19 7 (6) 487 3 2 7.14 rotation
G. Rutter 24 4 (1) 125 0 2 7.01 rotation
I. Osman injured 21 3 (0) 40 0 0 6.43 depth
P. David 25 2 (0) 23 0 0 6.25 depth
Z. Yohanna injured 19 1 (0) 12 0 0 6.70 —
Y. Minteh injured 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. O’Mahony 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Nehemiah Oriola — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Liverpool: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength5th of 20
83 Elo 1884 · World #11
Current Strength
83 With absences before 25 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack2nd of 20
87 Scores 2.43 per match against an average top-five side
Defence2nd of 20
85 Concedes 1.01 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

94
Form index · 1st of 20 in league
Points, last 5
13
Median top-5 club
5.2
Own forecasts
8.4 +4.6
Table3rd L90 Strength5th Form1st

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Crystal Palace5–02.2 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Sunderland2–01.6 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Arsenal3–01.0 xPts
  • W13 SepA · Coventry5–01.7 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Leeds1–11.9 xPts
  • L30 AugA · Chelsea3–41.4 xPts
  • W23 AugH · Aston Villa4–01.4 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 7/7
Clean sheet 5/7
Conceded 2+ 1/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Both teams scored 2/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

BRILeagueRank
Goals scored 3.29 1.43 1st
Goals conceded 0.71 1.45 1st
xG 2.09 1.49 2nd
xG allowed 1.45 1.50 11th
Scored in 100% 72% 1st
Clean sheets 71% 28% 1st
BRILeagueRank
Shots 17.86 13.71 2nd
Shots on target 6.00 4.56 1st
On target share 34% 32% 10th
Box share 61% 64% 14th
Conversion 18% 10% 2nd
BRILeagueRank
Shots allowed 10.71 13.77 3rd
On target allowed 3.83 4.55 3rd
Blocks 3.67 4.33 14th
Save rate 70% 66% 9th
BRILeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 3rd
Passes 509 442 6th
Pass accuracy 85% 82% 6th
BRILeagueRank
Fouls 12.86 11.49 15th
Fouls suffered 10.29 11.49 14th
Yellow cards 2.14 1.96 14th
Red cards 0.14 0.06 13th
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BRILeagueRank
Goals scored 2.60 1.54 1st
Goals conceded 0.90 1.34 3rd
xG 2.01 1.53 2nd
xG allowed 1.27 1.44 4th
Scored in 80% 76% 6th
Clean sheets 60% 29% 1st
BRILeagueRank
Shots 17.10 13.96 3rd
Shots on target 5.80 4.69 3rd
On target share 34% 33% 9th
Box share 65% 65% 10th
Conversion 15% 11% 3rd
BRILeagueRank
Shots allowed 9.80 13.41 1st
On target allowed 3.56 4.43 4th
Blocks 3.25 4.19 16th
Save rate 72% 68% 7th
BRILeagueRank
Possession 61% 50% 2nd
Passes 518 442 3rd
Pass accuracy 85% 83% 7th
BRILeagueRank
Fouls 11.70 11.35 12th
Fouls suffered 10.00 11.46 16th
Yellow cards 1.60 1.96 5th
Red cards 0.10 0.05 12th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.50pts per game3-1-0 · 3.2–0.2 goals · 4 games
Away2.00pts per game2-0-1 · 3.3–1.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

4 3 0-15
2 16-30
5 1 31-45
4 46-60
3 1 61-75
5 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 23 1st / 20
GF/G 3.29 1st / 20
xG/G 2.09 2nd / 20
G − xG +1.20 1st / 20

Defence

GA 5 1st / 20
GA/G 0.71 1st / 20
xGA/G 1.45 11th / 20
xGA − GA +0.74 1st / 20

Overall

Pts 16 3rd / 20
xPts 11.2 4th / 20
PPG 2.29 3rd / 20
TR 7.25 1st / 20
GD +18 1st / 20
xGD +4.5 3rd / 20
W 5 3rd / 20
L 1 2nd / 20

Scorelines

  • 5–0×2
  • 4–0×1
  • 3–4×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 3–0×1
  • 2–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
29% 2
14% 3
14% 4
43% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%76%
Over 2.5
71%54%
Over 3.5
57%36%
Both scored
29%53%
Clean sheet
71%27%
Failed to score
0%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.