Ipswich

10th · Premier League · 9 points · Matches played: 7

12 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+5.7 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 48.9+5.7
World Rank 83rd Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 19th L90 Strength
Last Manchester CityA xG 1.7–3.6 2–3 Next Nottingham ForestH 34%

Compare clubs

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Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Ipswich are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Bournemouth.

Premier League · 7 games. Their chance balance is better than the scorelines suggest. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 43% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. Home is where they earn their points: 2.0 per game there against 0.8 away.

  • Relegation 40%Likely 17th · 39 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs Bournemouth · , 28% to win
  • Full squadNobody reported missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 6.1 expected+2.9 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Ipswich. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
Premier LeagueView table →
Position
10th/ 20
Points
91.29 PPG
Played
7
League gap
12pts behind leader
42.9%Win %
Wins3
Draws0
Losses4

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
111.57 / game
xG 10.61 0.39 more goals than expected. vs 11 goals
Goals Against
152.14 / game
xGA 14.19 0.81 more conceded than expected. vs 15 conceded
Goal Difference
-4-0.57 / game
xGD -3.58 Goal difference is 0.42 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

League standings

Premier League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Premier League table, Ipswich highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Manchester City 91 7700 +12 21
2– Arsenal 94 7601 +6 18
3– Brighton 83 7511 +18 16
4▲ Chelsea 77 7412 +4 13
5▲ Liverpool 84 7331 +1 12
6▼ Brentford 75 7241 +5 10
7– Leeds 73 7241 +3 10
8▼ Everton 67 7241 +1 10
9▼ Hull City 37 7232 +1 9
10– Ipswich 49 7304 -4 9
11– Newcastle 71 7223 -4 8
12▲ Aston Villa 84 7223 -4 8
13– Manchester United 79 7142 +0 7
14▼ Crystal Palace 64 7214 -8 7
15▲ Bournemouth 77 7133 -4 6
16▲ Tottenham 62 7133 -4 6
17▼ Coventry 51 7205 -8 6
18▲ Fulham 65 7124 -3 5
19▼ Nottingham Forest 70 7124 -4 5
20▼ Sunderland 57 7115 -8 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Ipswich league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
124 Aug 2026731
231 Aug 20261232
36 Sep 20261433
414 Sep 20261064
520 Sep 20261165
612 Oct 20261096
719 Oct 20261097

Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 1 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
L. Davis2 goals
Most assists
J. Enciso2 assists
Best rated
K. Scherpen6.95 avg rating
Most minutes
L. Davis630 min
Key to the model
I. DiopStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
K. Scherpen 26 4 (4) 360 0 0 6.95 rotation
C. Walton 30 3 (3) 270 0 0 6.68 starter
D. Button 37 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Palmer 30 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. van Oevelen 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
L. Davis 26 7 (7) 630 2 1 6.55 starter
I. Diop 29 7 (7) 630 0 0 6.77 starter
D. O'Shea 27 7 (7) 630 1 0 6.47 starter
J. Greaves 26 5 (5) 448 0 0 6.16 rotation
D. Furlong 30 1 (0) 17 0 0 6.00 starter
C. Kipré 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — starter
Midfielders
J. Enciso 22 7 (7) 564 0 2 6.69 starter
S. Lukić 30 6 (6) 493 0 1 6.68 starter
E. Palacios 28 6 (4) 394 0 0 6.91 starter
Florentino 27 4 (2) 164 0 0 6.36 rotation
M. Núñez 26 2 (2) 142 0 0 6.95 rotation
Z. Flemming 28 5 (0) 91 2 0 6.73 rotation
K. McAteer 24 3 (0) 42 0 0 6.43 rotation
A. Matusiwa 28 1 (0) 19 0 0 5.90 starter
S. Egeli 20 2 (0) 19 0 0 6.48 rotation
C. Compton — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Humphreys 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Taylor injured 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Mehmeti 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
Emersonn 22 7 (7) 471 2 1 6.74 starter
D. Maeda 28 7 (5) 414 1 0 6.39 starter
I. Fatawu 22 6 (5) 399 0 1 6.70 starter
A. Ouattara 20 7 (3) 311 1 1 6.81 rotation
J. Clarke 25 6 (2) 199 1 1 6.82 starter
J. Philogene 24 3 (1) 115 0 0 6.43 rotation
C. Akpom 31 5 (0) 108 1 0 6.61 rotation
C. Ogbene 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Nottingham Forest: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength19th of 20
49 Elo 1640 · World #83
Current Strength
49 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack17th of 20
59 Scores 1.68 per match against an average top-five side
Defence19th of 20
50 Concedes 1.54 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

64
Form index · 10th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
4.4
Own forecasts
4.2 +1.8
Table10th L90 Strength19th Form10th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • L17 OctA · Manchester City2–30.4 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Fulham2–11.3 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Everton0–10.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Crystal Palace3–20.8 xPts
  • L4 SepH · Liverpool0–20.9 xPts
  • L30 AugA · Manchester United2–50.6 xPts
  • W22 AugH · Sunderland2–11.3 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 5/7
Clean sheet 0/7
Conceded 2+ 4/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Both teams scored 5/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

IPSLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.57 1.43 5th
Goals conceded 2.14 1.45 19th
xG 1.52 1.49 10th
xG allowed 2.03 1.50 18th
Scored in 71% 72% 9th
Clean sheets 0% 28% 19th
IPSLeagueRank
Shots 11.00 13.71 17th
Shots on target 4.43 4.56 10th
On target share 40% 32% 1st
Box share 66% 64% 7th
Conversion 14% 10% 4th
IPSLeagueRank
Shots allowed 16.86 13.77 17th
On target allowed 5.57 4.55 18th
Blocks 5.00 4.33 5th
Save rate 59% 66% 17th
IPSLeagueRank
Possession 43% 50% 18th
Passes 401 442 14th
Pass accuracy 83% 82% 12th
IPSLeagueRank
Fouls 11.71 11.49 12th
Fouls suffered 9.14 11.49 18th
Yellow cards 1.71 1.96 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
IPSLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.60 1.54 8th
Goals conceded 1.70 1.34 17th
xG 1.56 1.53 7th
xG allowed 1.71 1.44 18th
Scored in 70% 76% 10th
Clean sheets 20% 29% 12th
IPSLeagueRank
Shots 12.10 13.96 16th
Shots on target 4.90 4.69 8th
On target share 41% 33% 1st
Box share 67% 65% 7th
Conversion 13% 11% 6th
IPSLeagueRank
Shots allowed 16.00 13.41 17th
On target allowed 5.30 4.43 16th
Blocks 5.10 4.19 5th
Save rate 66% 68% 14th
IPSLeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 17th
Passes 396 442 15th
Pass accuracy 82% 83% 13th
IPSLeagueRank
Fouls 11.70 11.35 12th
Fouls suffered 10.40 11.46 15th
Yellow cards 1.90 1.96 9th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.00pts per game2-0-1 · 1.3–1.3 goals · 3 games
Away0.75pts per game1-0-3 · 1.8–2.8 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

4 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 3 31-45
2 46-60
4 61-75
6 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 11 5th / 20
GF/G 1.57 5th / 20
xG/G 1.52 10th / 20
G − xG +0.05 7th / 20

Defence

GA 15 19th / 20
GA/G 2.14 19th / 20
xGA/G 2.03 18th / 20
xGA − GA -0.11 15th / 20

Overall

Pts 9 9th / 20
xPts 6.1 19th / 20
PPG 1.29 9th / 20
TR 6.65 19th / 20
GD -4 12th / 20
xGD -3.6 14th / 20
W 3 5th / 20
L 4 15th / 20

Scorelines

  • 2–1×2
  • 2–5×1
  • 0–2×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 2–3×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
14% 1
14% 2
29% 3
0% 4
43% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
86%76%
Over 2.5
71%54%
Over 3.5
43%36%
Both scored
71%53%
Clean sheet
0%27%
Failed to score
29%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.