+2.1 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed -2.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 11.9+2.1
Up against it.
Estac Troyes are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. A. Ouzenadji is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Paris Saint Germain.
They are comfortable without the ball, with only 39% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They are wasteful in front of goal (5% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.
- Relegation 82%Likely 18th · 24 projected points
-
Next 3: about 2 of 9 points Toughest at
Paris Saint Germain · , 1% to win
- 1 key player outA. Ouzenadji · 9% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
- 4 pts vs 5.8 expected-1.8 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Estac Troyes. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Insight
Estac Troyes
−1.7
Points below expected
7/7 covered matches · current leagues
Points4.0xPts5.7
-
Insight
Estac Troyes
−0.41
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.03xG against1.44
-
Alert
Estac Troyes
2.3
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Estac Troyes
5
Losses in a row
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row
Attack
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Defence
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered
Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Ligue 1 · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  Lyon |
60 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 2▲ | Paris Saint Germain |
90 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | LWWWW |
| 3▲ |  Paris FC |
34 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 4▼ |  Lille |
56 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLWD |
| 5▼ |  Monaco |
56 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 6▼ |  Rennes |
52 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | WWLWL |
| 7▲ |  Lorient |
34 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | WDLWW |
| 8▲ |  Lens |
58 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LDLWW |
| 9▲ |  Marseille |
47 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 | LLLWW |
| 10▼ |  Stade Brestois 29 |
34 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 11▲ |  Toulouse |
39 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | LDWDW |
| 12▲ |  Auxerre |
30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 | LWWLW |
| 13▼ |  Nice |
27 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | DLWWL |
| 14▼ |  Strasbourg |
45 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 15▼ |  Angers |
19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 16▼ |  Le Mans |
26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 17– | Estac Troyes |
12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18– |  LE Havre |
20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 | LDLLL |
18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 Aug 2026 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | 30 Aug 2026 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 Sep 2026 | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 Sep 2026 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | 20 Sep 2026 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 Oct 2026 | 17 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | 18 Oct 2026 | 17 | 4 | 7 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 30 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out
Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026
A. Mille1 goalsA. Mille1 assists
A. Monfray6.80 avg rating
P. Beach630 minP. BeachStarter · weight 2.00| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
| P. Beach |
23 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 6.40 | starter |
 Z. Boucher |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 H. Konaté |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Marc Nkoumouck |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
 M. Diaz |
23 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 6.39 | starter |
| A. Monfray |
35 | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 6.80 | starter |
 A. Ouzenadji injured |
19 | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | 6.55 | starter |
 L. Maronnier |
26 | 6 (5) | 407 | 1 | 0 | 6.49 | starter |
 Noah Donkor |
— | 5 (1) | 177 | 0 | 0 | 6.19 | rotation |
 P. Gozzi |
25 | 2 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | 6.43 | rotation |
 Y. Titi injured |
20 | 1 (1) | 55 | 0 | 0 | 6.60 | — |
 I. Boura injured |
26 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 P. Zenga |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
 M. Diop |
26 | 7 (7) | 569 | 0 | 0 | 6.37 | starter |
| A. Mille |
29 | 7 (6) | 533 | 1 | 1 | 6.63 | starter |
 D. Karim |
22 | 6 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 6.47 | starter |
 I. Gomis |
26 | 7 (4) | 344 | 0 | 0 | 6.16 | rotation |
 M. Ifnaoui |
27 | 4 (4) | 326 | 0 | 0 | 6.52 | rotation |
 A. Phliponeau |
26 | 3 (0) | 32 | 0 | 0 | 6.47 | depth |
| ?Y. Kone | — | 4 (0) | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6.32 | depth |
 R. Murcy |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Idrissa Soukouna |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 E. Odede |
19 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
 R. Ripart |
33 | 7 (4) | 394 | 1 | 0 | 6.39 | starter |
 H. Picard |
23 | 6 (4) | 337 | 0 | 0 | 6.55 | rotation |
 K. Diawara |
26 | 7 (3) | 318 | 0 | 0 | 6.44 | rotation |
 J. Le Douaron |
28 | 5 (3) | 285 | 1 | 0 | 6.65 | starter |
 T. Nkada |
27 | 5 (2) | 174 | 1 | 0 | 6.72 | rotation |
 C. Batola |
— | 1 (0) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6.26 | depth |
 I. Traoré |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Toulouse: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Ligue 1 · 18 clubs
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed
- Points, last 5
- 0
- Median top-5 club
- 7.5
- Own forecasts
- 4.0 -4.0
Table position in line with their strength.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- L17 OctH · Lens1–30.6 xPts
- L11 OctH · Marseille0–20.9 xPts
- L19 SepA · Angers0–20.9 xPts
- L13 SepA · Lille0–20.4 xPts
- L6 SepH · Strasbourg2–61.1 xPts
- W29 AugA · Lorient2–10.7 xPts
- D22 AugH · Paris FC0–01.1 xPts
Trends last 7, all competitions
Playing style vs Ligue 1 average
Home and away this league season
Goal timing this league season · 7 games
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Ligue 1 · 7 games · rank of 18
Attack
Defence
Overall
Scorelines
- 0–2×3
- 0–0×1
- 2–1×1
- 2–6×1
- 1–3×1
Goals per game both teams
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 86%79%
- Over 2.5
- 43%63%
- Over 3.5
- 29%38%
- Both scored
- 43%63%
- Clean sheet
- 14%21%
- Failed to score
- 57%21%
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.