Lecce

12th · Serie A · 9 points · Matches played: 7

10 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 28.0+4.8
World Rank 243rd Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 17th L90 Strength
Last UdineseA xG 3.3–0.3 3–0 Next JuventusH 26%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Upcoming fixtures

Lecce · All competitions

Forecast
JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 26% win 1.03 xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 30% win 1.15 xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 43% win 1.56 xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 25% win 1.00 xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Lecce · All competitions

Full time
UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 3.3–0.3 xG +2.1 Δpts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 1.0–1.6 xG -1.1 Δpts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.2–1.9 xG -0.5 Δpts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 1.1–2.7 xG +1.3 Δpts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 — xG -1.0 Δpts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 0–4 0.7–3.3 xG -0.7 Δpts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 2.7–2.1 xG +1.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Lecce first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 5

Rest profile7.3 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 1,501 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability3 out, 1 key: I. Ilić · Last match: 18 Oct
10%

Load before the next match, vs Juventus, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 23 Aug at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 33/100
W
 Aug 31 Aug vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100
L
 7 Sep at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100
L
 Sep 13 Sep vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 20 Sep at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 80/100
L
 11 Oct vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100
W
 25 Oct vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 80/100 29 Oct at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 52/100 1 Nov vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 51/100 Nov 7 Nov at Torino: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 61/100 21 Nov at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 78/100 29 Nov vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 6 Dec at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 20 Dec vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100 3 Jan at Como: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 81/100 Jan 6 Jan vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 50/100 10 Jan at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 60/100 17 Jan vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 54/100 24 Jan vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 31 Jan at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 51/100 7 Feb vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 Feb 14 Feb at Monza: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 38/100 21 Feb vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 28 Feb at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 67/100 7 Mar vs Como: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 Mar 14 Mar at Parma: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 50/100 21 Mar at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 85/100 4 Apr vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 Apr 11 Apr at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 80/100 18 Apr at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 55/100 25 Apr vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 80/100 2 May vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 55/100 May 9 May at Inter: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 90/100 16 May vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100 23 May at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 76/100 30 May vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 33/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.3 daysbefore JUV
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d1,501 kmaway trips
Schedule load5%Low
vs JuventusSun 25 Oct, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 67 26%win26%draw48%loss Low load · 7.3 d rest at FrosinoneThu 29 Oct, 17:30 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 30%win25%draw45%loss Low load · 4 d rest vs GenoaSun 1 Nov, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 29 43%win28%draw29%loss Low load · 3 d rest at TorinoSat 7 Nov, 14:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 36 25%win26%draw49%loss Moderate load · 5.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Juventus, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−1%

Baseline 3.90 → Forecast 3.87 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−7%

Baseline 4.76 → Forecast 4.42 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Juventus25 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −21% +9% 1.40 → 1.10
at Frosinone29 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +21% −8% 1.11 → 1.34
vs Genoa1 Nov · Serie A 2026-2027 +3% −22% 1.39 → 1.43

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Lecce

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Downlift −21% Expected goals Baseline1.40Forecast1.10
Conceding Risk +9% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.46Forecast1.59
Clean Sheet −2.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline23.2%Forecast20.3%