Malaga

20th · La Liga · 4 points · Matches played: 9

23 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-11.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -6.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 40.5-11.2
World Rank 129th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 20th L90 Strength
Last Real SociedadH xG 1.1–2.4 2–5 Next AlavesA 19%

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Upcoming fixtures

Malaga · All competitions

Forecast
AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.81 xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 11% win 0.49 xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home 45% win 1.58 xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Malaga · All competitions

Full time
Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 2–5 1.1–2.4 xG -1.4 Δpts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 0.6–1.1 xG -0.6 Δpts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 0.5–1.0 xG -1.2 Δpts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 0.6–3.3 xG -1.3 Δpts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 0.4–1.9 xG -0.2 Δpts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 1.5–0.8 xG -0.4 Δpts Real MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 0.7–2.6 xG -0.4 Δpts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 2.0–1.1 xG -0.8 Δpts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.2–0.9 xG -0.8 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Malaga first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile5.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load698 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability6 out, 1 key: Diego Murillo · Last match: 18 Oct
12%

Load before the next match, at Alaves, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 19 Aug at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 Aug 24 Aug vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
D
 30 Aug at Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 6 Sep vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
D
 Sep 13 Sep at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 61/100
D
 17 Sep vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100
L
 20 Sep at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 57/100
L
 9 Oct vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100
D
 Oct 18 Oct vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100
L
 23 Oct at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 31 Oct at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 7 Nov vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 Nov 22 Nov at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100 29 Nov vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 6 Dec at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 93/100 20 Dec at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 65/100 3 Jan vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Jan 10 Jan at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 59/100 17 Jan vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100 24 Jan at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 65/100 31 Jan vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 7 Feb at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 54/100 Feb 14 Feb at Levante: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 57/100 21 Feb vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 76/100 28 Feb vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100 7 Mar at Elche: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 21 Mar at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100 4 Apr vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 Apr 11 Apr at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 18 Apr vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 59/100 21 Apr at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 51/100 2 May vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 57/100 May 9 May at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100 16 May vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 23 May at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 93/100 30 May vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5.1 daysbefore ALA
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at AlavesFri 23 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 19%win23%draw57%loss Low load · 5.1 d rest at Real BetisSat 31 Oct, 17:30 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 72 11%win16%draw73%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest vs Racing SantanderSat 7 Nov, 13:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 41 45%win24%draw31%loss Low load · 6.8 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Alaves, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+17%

Baseline 3.17 → Forecast 3.69 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+2%

Baseline 5.84 → Forecast 5.94 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Alaves23 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 +3% −11% 0.96 → 0.99
at Real Betis31 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 −1% +27% 0.97 → 0.96
vs Racing Santander7 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 +41% −14% 1.23 → 1.74

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Malaga

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +3% Expected goals Baseline0.96Forecast0.99
Conceding Risk −11% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.10Forecast1.87
Clean Sheet +3.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline12.2%Forecast15.4%