L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.
+11.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +3.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 18.1+11.4
+11.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.
Base L90 Strength changed +3.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 18.1+11.4
World Rank
417th
Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank
19th
L90 Strength
Short on strength, fighting for points.
Monza are short of quality at both ends, with one of the weaker attack in the league and one of the weaker defence in the league. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. L. Lucchesi is out, and The toughest of the next 4 matches is the trip to Bologna.
Home is where they earn their points: 2.0 per game there against 0.2 away.
- Relegation 51%Likely 18th · 35 projected points
-
Next 4: about 4 of 12 points Toughest at
Bologna · , 19% to win
- 1 key player outL. Lucchesi · 12% of squad weight missing · Last match: 19 Oct
- 7 pts vs 6.5 expected+0.5 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Monza. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Headlines
-
Trend
Monza
86%
Both teams scored
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Trend
Monza
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Monza
2.1
Goals conceded per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Streak
Monza
7
Scoring in a row
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
Attack
-
Trend
Monza
1.9
Goals scored per match
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Monza
86%
Both teams scored
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Monza
7
Scoring in a row
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →
Season
League position and season results.
Overview
2026-2027Serie AView table →
Position
14th/ 20
Points
71.00 PPG
Played
7
League gap
12pts behind leader
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws1
Losses4
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
131.86 / game
xG
10.99
1.01 more goals than expected.
vs 12 goals
Goals Against
152.14 / game
xGA
8.03
5.97 more conceded than expected.
vs 14 conceded
Goal Difference
-2-0.29 / game
xGD
+2.96
Goal difference is 4.96 lower than expected.
vs -2 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games
All competitions7 Played
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws1
Losses4
Expected metrics · 6 of 7 matches covered
Goals For
131.86 / game
xG
10.99
1.01 more goals than expected.
vs 12 goals
Goals Against
152.14 / game
xGA
8.03
5.97 more conceded than expected.
vs 14 conceded
Goal Difference
-2-0.29 / game
xGD
+2.96
Goal difference is 4.96 lower than expected.
vs -2 GD
Clean Sheets
114% of games
Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.
League standings
Serie A · 2026-2027
Swipe to explore the league table →
| # | Club | Rating | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1– |  Inter |
84 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2– |  Lazio |
62 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3– |  AS Roma |
74 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 4▲ |  AC Milan |
66 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 5▲ |  Como |
67 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 6▲ |  Frosinone |
30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW |
| 7▼ |  Cagliari |
33 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 8▼ |  Juventus |
67 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 9▼ |  Napoli |
63 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 10▲ |  Torino |
39 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 11▼ |  Atalanta |
59 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 12▲ |  Lecce |
28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 13▼ |  Sassuolo |
33 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 14▲ | Monza |
18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 15▼ | Bologna |
47 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 16▼ |  Udinese |
32 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17– |  Genoa |
29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 18▲ |  Fiorentina |
39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | LWDLL |
| 19▼ |  Parma |
28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 20– |  Venezia |
15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 | LLLLW |
20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.
League position over time
Position by matchweek
Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.
View position history
| MW | Results through (UTC) | Position | Pts | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 Aug 2026 | 19 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | 31 Aug 2026 | 18 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 Sep 2026 | 17 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 Sep 2026 | 18 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | 20 Sep 2026 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 Oct 2026 | 16 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | 19 Oct 2026 | 14 | 7 | 7 |
Competition standings
There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.
Squad 36 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out
Absences reported for the last match: 19 Oct 2026
Top scorer
Gustavo Varela4 goals (1 pen)
Gustavo Varela4 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
S. Birindelli2 assists
S. Birindelli2 assists
Best rated
Gustavo Varela7.16 avg rating
Gustavo Varela7.16 avg rating
Most minutes
S. Birindelli534 min
S. Birindelli534 min
Key to the model
S. BirindelliStarter · weight 1.70
S. BirindelliStarter · weight 1.70| Player | Age | Apps | Min | G | A | Rating | Model role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeepers | |||||||
 D. Thiam |
28 | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 5.85 | rotation |
 N. Törnqvist |
24 | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | 6.79 | rotation |
 S. Pizzignacco |
25 | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4.20 | — |
 A. Strajnar |
19 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Defenders | |||||||
| S. Birindelli |
27 | 6 (6) | 534 | 0 | 2 | 6.82 | starter |
 E. Kouadio |
20 | 6 (6) | 531 | 0 | 0 | 6.41 | starter |
 L. Lucchesi suspended |
23 | 6 (6) | 509 | 0 | 0 | 6.27 | starter |
 A. Carboni |
25 | 6 (6) | 486 | 0 | 0 | 6.41 | starter |
 Ricardo Mangas |
28 | 6 (6) | 442 | 1 | 2 | 6.73 | starter |
 A. Bakoune |
20 | 5 (1) | 177 | 0 | 0 | 6.37 | rotation |
 S. Goglichidze |
22 | 1 (0) | 54 | 1 | 0 | 7.17 | rotation |
 F. Delli Carri |
27 | 2 (0) | 31 | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | depth |
 V. Antov |
25 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Midfielders | |||||||
 E. Akinsanmiro |
21 | 5 (4) | 356 | 0 | 1 | 6.68 | starter |
 M. Folorunsho |
28 | 5 (4) | 351 | 0 | 0 | 6.62 | starter |
 A. Colpani |
27 | 4 (3) | 254 | 1 | 0 | 6.85 | rotation |
 M. Mout |
— | 5 (2) | 147 | 0 | 1 | 6.41 | rotation |
 F. Ondoa |
— | 2 (2) | 144 | 0 | 0 | — | rotation |
 O. Forson injured |
22 | 4 (1) | 95 | 0 | 0 | 6.55 | rotation |
 M. Foe-Ondoa |
20 | 2 (0) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 6.05 | rotation |
 E. Zeballos |
— | 2 (1) | 71 | 1 | 0 | 6.56 | rotation |
| ?Y. Maye | — | 3 (0) | 54 | 0 | 0 | 6.64 | rotation |
 L. Colombo |
21 | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | 6.08 | depth |
 N. Galazzi |
25 | 1 (0) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6.30 | — |
 N. Ballabio |
— | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 Pedro Obiang |
34 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 M. Pessina injured |
29 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Forwards | |||||||
| Gustavo Varela |
21 | 5 (5) | 428 | 4 | 0 | 7.16 | starter |
 J. Robinson |
19 | 4 (3) | 234 | 1 | 0 | 6.91 | rotation |
 P. Cutrone |
28 | 4 (2) | 192 | 0 | 0 | 6.63 | rotation |
 Dany Mota |
28 | 4 (1) | 147 | 0 | 1 | 6.80 | rotation |
 C. Ngonge |
26 | 1 (1) | 36 | 0 | 0 | 5.87 | rotation |
 K. Baldé |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 P. Ciurria |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 S. Loubao |
20 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
 A. Petagna |
31 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Torino: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.
Performance
Strength, recent form and playing style.
Strength Serie A · 20 clubs
L90 Strength19th of 20
18
Elo 1420 · World #417
Current Strength
18
With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack15th of 20
34
Scores 1.32 per match against an average top-five side
Defence17th of 20
26
Concedes 1.96 per match against an average top-five side
In forecast League average
L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.
Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed
43
DLWLW Form index · 11th of 20 in league
- Points, last 5
- 7
- Median top-5 club
- 7.7
- Own forecasts
- 5.3 +1.8
Table14th
L90 Strength19th
Form11th
Higher in the table than their strength suggests.
Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.
- W19 OctH · Cagliari4–01.4 xPts
- L11 OctA · Lazio1–30.7 xPts
- W18 SepH · Sassuolo2–11.2 xPts
- L13 SepA · Lecce2–31.1 xPts
- D6 SepA · Parma1–11.0 xPts
- L29 AugH · Udinese2–31.1 xPts
- L22 AugA · Inter1–40.2 xPts
Trends last 7, all competitions
Scored
7/7
Clean sheet
1/7
Conceded 2+
4/7
Over 2.5
6/7
Both teams scored
6/7
Playing style vs Serie A average
MONLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.86
1.47
5th
Goals conceded
2.14
1.48
17th
xG
1.83
1.47
4th
xG allowed
1.34
1.48
11th
Scored in
100%
78%
1st
Clean sheets
14%
21%
10th
MONLeagueRank
Shots
13.71
14.36
11th
Shots on target
5.86
4.90
5th
On target share
43%
34%
1st
Box share
74%
64%
1st
Conversion
14%
10%
4th
MONLeagueRank
Shots allowed
13.14
14.48
7th
On target allowed
5.14
4.92
11th
Blocks
2.71
3.76
15th
Save rate
64%
70%
17th
MONLeagueRank
Possession
44%
50%
16th
Passes
376
459
18th
Pass accuracy
81%
85%
17th
MONLeagueRank
Fouls
11.86
10.66
14th
Fouls suffered
11.00
10.73
10th
Yellow cards
1.57
1.64
9th
Red cards
0.14
0.02
18th
MONLeagueRank
Goals scored
1.60
1.45
6th
Goals conceded
2.10
1.50
19th
xG
1.56
1.45
7th
xG allowed
1.37
1.46
9th
Scored in
90%
75%
2nd
Clean sheets
10%
21%
11th
MONLeagueRank
Shots
11.90
13.78
14th
Shots on target
4.90
4.77
10th
On target share
41%
34%
2nd
Box share
68%
64%
7th
Conversion
13%
10%
2nd
MONLeagueRank
Shots allowed
14.30
14.16
11th
On target allowed
5.10
4.83
12th
Blocks
2.90
3.64
14th
Save rate
65%
70%
16th
MONLeagueRank
Possession
46%
50%
16th
Passes
407
453
15th
Pass accuracy
84%
85%
15th
MONLeagueRank
Fouls
10.80
10.85
10th
Fouls suffered
12.10
10.97
4th
Yellow cards
1.50
1.63
9th
Red cards
0.10
0.04
14th
Home and away this league season
Home2.00pts per game2-0-1 · 2.7–1.3 goals · 3 games
Away0.25pts per game0-1-3 · 1.2–2.8 goals · 4 games
Goal timing this league season · 7 games
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
scored conceded, per 15 minutes
In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average
Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.
Team rankings Serie A · 7 games · rank of 20
Attack
GF
13
5th / 20
GF/G
1.86
5th / 20
xG/G
1.83
4th / 20
G − xG
+0.03
11th / 20
Defence
GA
15
17th / 20
GA/G
2.14
17th / 20
xGA/G
1.34
11th / 20
xGA − GA
-0.80
19th / 20
Overall
Pts
7
14th / 20
xPts
6.5
19th / 20
PPG
1.00
14th / 20
TR
6.57
18th / 20
GD
-2
12th / 20
xGD
+3.4
6th / 20
W
2
13th / 20
L
4
12th / 20
Scorelines
- 2–3×2
- 1–4×1
- 1–1×1
- 2–1×1
- 1–3×1
- 4–0×1
Goals per game both teams
0%
0
0%
1
14%
2
14%
3
29%
4
43%
5+
Totals club · league
- Over 1.5
- 100%84%
- Over 2.5
- 86%60%
- Over 3.5
- 71%30%
- Both scored
- 86%57%
- Clean sheet
- 14%22%
- Failed to score
- 0%22%
ClubLeague average
This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.