NEC Nijmegen

12th · Eredivisie · 10 points · Matches played: 9

13 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number.
32.4+2.3
World Rank 195th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 7th L90 Strength

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Our take

An average side on a poor run.

NEC Nijmegen are a mid-table side at both ends, without a clear strength to lean on. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 5 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. D. Tadić and P. Sandler are out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Dinamo Zagreb.

They dominate the ball, with 60% possession, 3rd in the league. Unusually, they travel better than they host: 1.8 points per game away against 0.6 at home.

  • Relegation <1%Likely 9th · 45 projected points
  • Next 5: about 7 of 15 points Toughest at Dinamo Zagreb · , 28% to win
  • 2 key players outD. Tadić, P. Sandler · 18% of squad weight missing · Last match: 18 Oct
  • 10 pts vs 14.7 expected-4.7 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for NEC Nijmegen. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
UEFA Europa League · League phaseView table →
Position
27th/ 36
Points
10.50 PPG
Played
2
League gap
5pts behind leader
0.0%Win %
Wins0
Draws1
Losses1

Expected metrics · 1 of 2 matches covered

Goals For
10.50 / game
xG 2.10 1.10 fewer goals than expected. vs 1 goals
Goals Against
63.00 / game
xGA 1.28 0.28 fewer conceded than expected. vs 1 conceded
Goal Difference
-5-2.50 / game
xGD +0.82 Goal difference is 0.82 lower than expected. vs +0 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

League phase standings

UEFA Europa League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full UEFA Europa League table, NEC Nijmegen highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Juventus 67 2200 +6 6
2▲ Bayer Leverkusen 79 2200 +6 6
3▲ Benfica 82 2200 +5 6
4▼ Besiktas 50 2200 +4 6
5▲ Bournemouth 77 2200 +4 6
6▲ Omonia Nicosia 33 2200 +4 6
7▼ Ferencvarosi TC 57 2200 +3 6
8▲ Lyon 60 2200 +2 6
9▲ Olympiakos Piraeus 63 2200 +2 6
10▲ Sunderland 57 2200 +2 6
11▼ Sparta Praha 34 2110 +3 4
12▼ Union St. Gilloise 70 2110 +3 4
13▲ Rennes 52 2110 +1 4
14▲ Dinamo Zagreb 43 2110 +1 4
15▼ Crystal Palace 64 2101 +3 3
16▲ AC Milan 66 2101 +2 3
17▲ Jagiellonia 31 2101 +1 3
18▼ OFI 21 2101 +1 3
19▼ Torreense 26 2101 +0 3
20▲ AZ Alkmaar 47 2101 +0 3
21▼ Red Bull Salzburg 39 2101 -3 3
22▲ Lillestrom 27 2011 -1 1
23▲ Real Sociedad 58 2011 -1 1
24▼ Hapoel Beer Sheva 28 2011 -1 1
25▲ Levski Sofia 26 2011 -1 1
26▼ Sturm Graz 38 2011 -3 1
27▲ NEC Nijmegen 32 2011 -5 1
28▼ Anderlecht 43 2002 -2 0
29▼ Celta Vigo 54 2002 -2 0
30▼ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 2002 -3 0
31▲ Marseille 47 2002 -4 0
32▲ Plzen 49 2002 -4 0
33▼ Ararat-Armenia 7 2002 -5 0
34▼ Celtic 52 2002 -5 0
35▼ Celje 18 2002 -5 0
36▼ Lech Poznan 34 2002 -8 0

36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.

League position over time

Position by matchday

Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
NEC Nijmegen league position by matchweek
MDResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
117 Sep 20263601
215 Oct 20262712

Squad 34 players · this season, all competitions · 4 out

Absences reported for the last match: 18 Oct 2026

Most minutes
G. Crettaz0 min
Key to the model
D. NejašmićCore · weight 2.63

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Dinamo Zagreb: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Eredivisie · 18 clubs

L90 Strength7th of 18
32 Elo 1535 · World #195
Current Strength
32 With absences before 22 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack7th of 18
37 Scores 1.36 per match against an average top-five side
Defence7th of 18
33 Concedes 1.81 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Feyenoord: attack 76, defence 61, L90 Strength 61 AZ Alkmaar: attack 52, defence 49, L90 Strength 47 PSV Eindhoven: attack 60, defence 64, L90 Strength 74 Ajax: attack 66, defence 55, L90 Strength 53 Twente: attack 41, defence 49, L90 Strength 45 Fortuna Sittard: attack 19, defence 19, L90 Strength 21 Groningen: attack 41, defence 21, L90 Strength 30 Heerenveen: attack 36, defence 40, L90 Strength 31 GO Ahead Eagles: attack 29, defence 17, L90 Strength 24 Excelsior: attack 21, defence 18, L90 Strength 21 Utrecht: attack 32, defence 31, L90 Strength 34 NEC Nijmegen: attack 37, defence 33, L90 Strength 32 Sparta Rotterdam: attack 32, defence 17, L90 Strength 18 Cambuur: attack 22, defence 23, L90 Strength 23 PEC Zwolle: attack 17, defence 14, L90 Strength 16 Telstar: attack 24, defence 13, L90 Strength 22 ADO Den Haag: attack 15, defence 18, L90 Strength 15 Willem II: attack 10, defence 9, L90 Strength 10
Every Eredivisie club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

18
Form index · 13th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
4
Median top-5 club
8.2
Own forecasts
6.7 -2.7
Table12th L90 Strength7th Form13th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D18 OctH · Fortuna Sittard2–21.9 xPts
  • D15 OctH · Levski Sofia1–11.8 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Ajax1–10.7 xPts
  • D20 SepH · GO Ahead Eagles1–11.7 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Juventus0–50.6 xPts
  • L12 SepA · Cambuur0–31.7 xPts
  • D8 SepH · Excelsior2–21.8 xPts
  • L5 SepH · Feyenoord1–31.4 xPts
  • W29 AugA · PEC Zwolle3–11.7 xPts
  • W15 AugA · Willem II4–12.0 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 8/10
Clean sheet 0/10
Conceded 2+ 5/10
Over 2.5 7/10
Both teams scored 8/10

Playing style vs Eredivisie average

NIJLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.67 1.92 12th
Goals conceded 1.78 1.92 7th
xG 2.16 1.71 4th
xG allowed 1.48 1.70 6th
Scored in 89% 85% 6th
Clean sheets 0% 15% 13th
NIJLeagueRank
Shots 15.11 14.96 7th
Shots on target 4.22 5.36 13th
On target share 28% 35% 16th
Box share 64% 66% 14th
Conversion 11% 13% 12th
NIJLeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.56 14.96 6th
On target allowed 4.44 5.33 6th
Blocks 3.11 4.25 16th
Save rate 58% 65% 16th
NIJLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 3rd
Passes 488 443 7th
Pass accuracy 82% 82% 8th
NIJLeagueRank
Fouls 11.33 10.67 12th
Fouls suffered 12.11 10.67 4th
Yellow cards 1.33 1.37 8th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
NIJLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.10 1.82 15th
Goals conceded 2.20 1.94 12th
xG 1.94 1.61 6th
xG allowed 1.39 1.71 5th
Scored in 70% 82% 14th
Clean sheets 0% 13% 14th
NIJLeagueRank
Shots 12.00 14.49 12th
Shots on target 3.80 5.15 14th
On target share 32% 35% 15th
Box share 59% 65% 15th
Conversion 9% 12% 15th
NIJLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.70 15.14 6th
On target allowed 5.30 5.39 8th
Blocks 2.80 4.29 17th
Save rate 59% 65% 17th
NIJLeagueRank
Possession 52% 50% 7th
Passes 442 438 8th
Pass accuracy 81% 82% 9th
NIJLeagueRank
Fouls 11.70 10.90 13th
Fouls suffered 11.80 10.88 5th
Yellow cards 1.40 1.44 9th
Red cards 0.10 0.03 14th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.60pts per game0-3-2 · 1.4–2.0 goals · 5 games
Away1.75pts per game2-1-1 · 2.0–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

3 3 0-15
3 3 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Eredivisie · 9 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 15 12th / 18
GF/G 1.67 12th / 18
xG/G 2.16 4th / 18
G − xG -0.49 17th / 18

Defence

GA 16 7th / 18
GA/G 1.78 7th / 18
xGA/G 1.48 6th / 18
xGA − GA -0.30 10th / 18

Overall

Pts 10 12th / 18
xPts 14.7 6th / 18
PPG 1.11 12th / 18
TR 6.59 15th / 18
GD -1 8th / 18
xGD +6.1 6th / 18
W 2 11th / 18
L 3 8th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 1–1×2
  • 1–2×1
  • 4–1×1
  • 3–1×1
  • 1–3×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
0% 1
22% 2
22% 3
44% 4
11% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
100%91%
Over 2.5
78%75%
Over 3.5
56%63%
Both scored
89%72%
Clean sheet
0%15%
Failed to score
11%15%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.