NEC Nijmegen

12th · Eredivisie · 10 points · Matches played: 9

13 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -2.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 32.4+2.3
World Rank 195th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 7th L90 Strength
Last Fortuna SittardH xG 2.5–0.5 2–2 Next Dinamo ZagrebA 28%

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Upcoming fixtures

NEC Nijmegen · All competitions

Forecast
Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 28% win 1.08 xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 52% win 1.77 xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 29% win 1.10 xPts Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 45% win 1.59 xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 36% win 1.31 xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CeljeUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

NEC Nijmegen · All competitions

Full time
Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 2.5–0.5 xG -1.0 Δpts Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home D 1–1 2.1–1.3 xG -0.8 Δpts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 1.1–1.9 xG +0.3 Δpts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG -0.7 Δpts JuventusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 0–5 — xG -0.6 Δpts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 — xG -1.7 Δpts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 — xG -0.8 Δpts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–3 — xG -1.3 Δpts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 2.0–2.0 xG +1.3 Δpts Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round · Away L 0–3 — xG — Δpts Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round · Home L 1–3 — xG — Δpts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 3.0–1.4 xG +1.0 Δpts Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG — Δpts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 2.2–1.7 xG -2.0 Δpts Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 — xG — Δpts

Score and actual xG show NEC Nijmegen first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 27

Rest profile3.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load998 km to venue, 177 km in 14 days
40%
Squad availability5 out, 2 key: D. Tadić, P. Sandler · Last match: 18 Oct
18%

Load before the next match, at Dinamo Zagreb, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 4 Aug at Olympiakos Piraeus: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 75/100
D
 Aug 8 Aug vs Telstar: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 38/100
L
 11 Aug vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 75/100
W
 15 Aug at Willem II: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 19 Aug vs Bodo/Glimt: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 25 Aug at Bodo/Glimt: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 29 Aug at PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
 5 Sep vs Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 Sep 8 Sep vs Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 38/100
D
 12 Sep at Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 39/100
L
 17 Sep at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 77/100
L
 20 Sep vs GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 41/100
D
 10 Oct at Ajax: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100
D
 Oct 15 Oct vs Levski Sofia: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100
D
 18 Oct vs Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 38/100
D
 22 Oct at Dinamo Zagreb: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 60/100 25 Oct vs Groningen: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 48/100 31 Oct at Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 48/100 5 Nov vs Omonia Nicosia: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 Nov 8 Nov at Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 52/100 21 Nov vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 26 Nov vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 29 Nov vs Twente: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 61/100 5 Dec at Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 Dec 10 Dec at Ararat-Armenia: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 16/100 13 Dec at AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 63/100 20 Dec vs ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 29/100 10 Jan vs Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 Jan 16 Jan at Telstar: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 21 Jan vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 24 Jan vs Willem II: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 22/100 28 Jan at Celje: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 34/100 31 Jan at Groningen: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 48/100 14 Feb at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Feb 21 Feb vs Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 28 Feb vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 7 Mar at Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 Mar 14 Mar at Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 21 Mar vs Ajax: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 4 Apr at GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 25 Apr at Twente: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 2 May vs PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 May 9 May at ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 16 May at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 23 May vs Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3.9 daysbefore ZAG
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d177 kmaway trips
Schedule load27%Moderate
at Dinamo ZagrebThu 22 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 43 28%win24%draw48%loss Moderate load · 3.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs GroningenSun 25 Oct, 13:30 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 52%win21%draw27%loss Moderate load · 2.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d at HeerenveenSat 31 Oct, 17:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 31 29%win23%draw48%loss Moderate load · 6.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs Omonia NicosiaThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 33 45%win24%draw31%loss Low load · 5 d rest at UtrechtSun 8 Nov, 19:00 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 32 36%win24%draw40%loss Low load · 3.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Dinamo Zagreb, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−4%

Baseline 5.24 → Forecast 5.01 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+4%

Baseline 5.06 → Forecast 5.28 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Dinamo Zagreb22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase −15% +1% 1.60 → 1.35
vs Groningen25 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 +9% +8% 2.03 → 2.21
at Heerenveen31 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −10% +4% 1.61 → 1.45

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

NEC Nijmegen

Baseline: average Eredivisie opponent

Attack Downlift −15% Expected goals Baseline1.60Forecast1.35
Conceding Risk +1% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.79Forecast1.82
Clean Sheet −0.4 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline16.6%Forecast16.2%