SC Freiburg

3rd · Bundesliga · 13 points · Matches played: 6

1 point behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 64.3+4.5
World Rank 41st Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 6th L90 Strength
Last Bayer LeverkusenA xG 0.9–1.6 1–2 Next Bayern MünchenH 16%

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Upcoming fixtures

SC Freiburg · All competitions

Forecast
Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 16% win 0.64 xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 46% win 1.60 xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 61% win 2.04 xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hamburger SVBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

SC Freiburg · All competitions

Full time
Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.9–1.6 xG -0.7 Δpts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.1–0.3 xG +1.0 Δpts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 3.1–2.2 xG -0.5 Δpts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 5–0 2.6–0.2 xG +0.9 Δpts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 1.2–0.8 xG +1.5 Δpts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 2.4–0.5 xG +1.1 Δpts

Score and actual xG show SC Freiburg first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 686 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability3 out, 2 key: Y. Suzuki, J. Beste · Last match: 18 Oct
12%

Load before the next match, vs Bayern München, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 30 Aug vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
 Aug 5 Sep at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
 19 Sep at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100
D
 11 Oct vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100
W
 Oct 18 Oct at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 65/100
L
 25 Oct vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 86/100 31 Oct at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 8 Nov vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 29/100 Nov 21 Nov at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 29 Nov vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 5 Dec vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 Dec 12 Dec at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 19 Dec vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 9 Jan at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 25/100 Jan 12 Jan vs Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 30/100 16 Jan at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 67/100 23 Jan at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 32/100 30 Jan vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 28/100 6 Feb at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 27/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 20 Feb at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 34/100 27 Feb vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 65/100 2 Mar at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 86/100 Mar 6 Mar vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 37/100 13 Mar at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 29/100 20 Mar vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 3 Apr at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 Apr 10 Apr at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100 17 Apr vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 24 Apr at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 8 May vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 25/100 May 15 May at Hamburger SV: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 30/100 22 May vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.1 daysbefore BAY
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d686 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs Bayern MünchenSun 25 Oct, 16:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 94 16%win17%draw67%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest at FC AugsburgSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 50 46%win22%draw32%loss Low load · 5.9 d rest vs Union BerlinSun 8 Nov, 16:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 39 61%win21%draw18%loss Low load · 8.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Bayern München, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−9%

Baseline 3.78 → Forecast 3.42 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+53%

Baseline 2.94 → Forecast 4.50 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Bayern München25 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 −38% +110% 2.11 → 1.30
at FC Augsburg31 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +27% +8% 1.67 → 2.12
vs Union Berlin8 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

SC Freiburg

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Downlift −38% Expected goals Baseline2.11Forecast1.30
Conceding Risk +110% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.30Forecast2.73
Clean Sheet −20.7 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline27.3%Forecast6.5%