Stade Brestois 29

10th · Ligue 1 · 9 points · Matches played: 7

5 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+7.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 33.8+7.4
World Rank 177th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 11th L90 Strength
Last LilleA xG 0.8–1.9 1–1 Next NiceH 53%

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Our take

A solid mid-table side.

Stade Brestois 29 lean on a top-third attack, with a mid-table defence behind it. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. B. Chardonnet is out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the visit of Lyon.

They are among the busiest attacks in the league, with 17 shots a game. Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 1%Likely 11th · 44 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest vs Lyon · , 32% to win
  • 1 key player outB. Chardonnet · 13% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 9.0 expected-0.0 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Stade Brestois 29. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Ligue 19 pts1.29 PPG7 games 10th
28.6%Win %
Wins2
Draws3
Losses2

Expected metrics · 4 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
131.86 / game
xG 10.18 0.18 fewer goals than expected. vs 10 goals
Goals Against
101.43 / game
xGA 5.15 0.85 more conceded than expected. vs 6 conceded
Goal Difference
+3+0.43 / game
xGD +5.03 Goal difference is 1.03 lower than expected. vs +4 GD
Clean Sheets
00% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Ligue 1 →

Squad 27 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
K. Doumbia4 goals (1 pen)
Most assists
J. Chotard2 assists
Best rated
J. Chotard7.34 avg rating
Most minutes
E. Selvik630 min
Key to the model
E. SelvikStarter · weight 2.00
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
E. Selvik 29 7 (7) 630 0 0 6.82 starter
Noe Poillion — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
B. Locko 24 7 (7) 628 0 0 6.86 rotation
K. Lala 35 7 (7) 562 1 0 6.61 starter
G. Lloris 31 6 (6) 521 0 1 6.88 starter
Raphael Marc Le Guen injured 20 5 (5) 450 0 0 6.52 rotation
T. Zogbé 21 1 (0) 68 0 0 6.50 rotation
Justin Bourgault 21 1 (0) 2 0 0 6.40 depth
B. Chardonnet injured 31 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Paul Rivoal — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
J. Chotard 25 7 (7) 603 0 2 7.34 starter
K. Doumbia 23 7 (7) 568 4 1 6.70 starter
H. Magnetti 28 6 (5) 450 0 2 6.86 starter
L. Tousart 29 7 (3) 316 1 0 6.72 rotation
J. Nonge Boende 21 7 (1) 195 0 0 6.46 rotation
R. Del Castillo 30 2 (2) 138 1 0 6.90 starter
M. Diambou 23 4 (1) 121 0 1 6.60 rotation
A. Camblan 23 1 (0) 19 0 0 6.30 depth
?L. C. Laine M. — 3 (0) 12 0 0 6.52 depth
H. Makalou 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
L. Ajorque 32 7 (7) 622 2 1 6.96 starter
P. Mboup 23 7 (7) 559 2 1 6.68 rotation
M. Baldé injured 30 6 (3) 237 2 1 6.97 rotation
G. Versini 22 3 (2) 149 0 0 6.41 rotation
N. Edjouma 21 2 (0) 34 0 0 6.86 depth
D. N'Guessan 18 3 (0) 28 0 0 6.36 depth
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante — 2 (0) 18 0 0 6.76 depth

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Nice: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Ligue 1 · 18 clubs

L90 Strength11th of 18
34 Elo 1545 · World #177
Current Strength
34 With absences before 23 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack6th of 18
47 Scores 1.50 per match against an average top-five side
Defence12th of 18
36 Concedes 1.76 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Lyon: attack 55, defence 56, L90 Strength 60 Paris Saint Germain: attack 91, defence 83, L90 Strength 90 Paris FC: attack 46, defence 38, L90 Strength 34 Lille: attack 42, defence 60, L90 Strength 56 Monaco: attack 45, defence 56, L90 Strength 56 Rennes: attack 63, defence 39, L90 Strength 52 Lorient: attack 28, defence 45, L90 Strength 34 Lens: attack 63, defence 53, L90 Strength 58 Marseille: attack 48, defence 46, L90 Strength 47 Stade Brestois 29: attack 47, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 Toulouse: attack 45, defence 49, L90 Strength 39 Auxerre: attack 39, defence 25, L90 Strength 30 Nice: attack 26, defence 35, L90 Strength 27 Strasbourg: attack 40, defence 37, L90 Strength 45 Angers: attack 22, defence 12, L90 Strength 19 Le Mans: attack 27, defence 21, L90 Strength 26 Estac Troyes: attack 12, defence 19, L90 Strength 12 LE Havre: attack 20, defence 22, L90 Strength 20
Every Ligue 1 club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

49
Form index · 9th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
7
Median top-5 club
7.2
Own forecasts
6.4 +0.6
Table10th L90 Strength11th Form9th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • D17 OctA · Lille1–11.0 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Angers5–11.9 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Auxerre1–21.5 xPts
  • L13 SepH · Paris Saint Germain0–10.7 xPts
  • W5 SepA · LE Havre2–11.4 xPts
  • D29 AugH · Toulouse2–21.5 xPts
  • D22 AugA · Le Mans2–21.2 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 6/7
Clean sheet 0/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 5/7
Both teams scored 6/7

Playing style vs Ligue 1 average

BRELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.86 1.52 5th
Goals conceded 1.43 1.52 8th
xG 2.55 1.66 3rd
xG allowed 1.29 1.66 6th
Scored in 86% 79% 4th
Clean sheets 0% 21% 15th
BRELeagueRank
Shots 17.14 13.60 2nd
Shots on target 5.86 4.85 4th
On target share 34% 36% 13th
Box share 63% 64% 12th
Conversion 11% 11% 12th
BRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 11.71 13.60 4th
On target allowed 4.43 4.83 7th
Blocks 2.57 3.55 16th
Save rate 76% 71% 5th
BRELeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 14th
Passes 408 479 15th
Pass accuracy 82% 85% 15th
BRELeagueRank
Fouls 14.14 11.99 14th
Fouls suffered 13.29 11.99 5th
Yellow cards 1.29 1.66 3rd
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
BRELeagueRank
Goals scored 1.50 1.56 11th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.51 10th
xG 2.02 1.52 4th
xG allowed 1.29 1.54 7th
Scored in 80% 79% 6th
Clean sheets 0% 19% 16th
BRELeagueRank
Shots 16.10 13.51 4th
Shots on target 5.30 4.85 7th
On target share 33% 35% 14th
Box share 64% 64% 9th
Conversion 9% 12% 15th
BRELeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.30 13.69 3rd
On target allowed 4.40 4.78 8th
Blocks 3.30 3.75 14th
Save rate 71% 70% 6th
BRELeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 14th
Passes 414 464 13th
Pass accuracy 82% 85% 14th
BRELeagueRank
Fouls 12.80 11.61 14th
Fouls suffered 11.70 11.61 8th
Yellow cards 1.00 1.65 1st
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.33pts per game1-1-1 · 2.3–1.3 goals · 3 games
Away1.25pts per game1-2-1 · 1.5–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

3 2 0-15
4 16-30
2 1 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Ligue 1 · 7 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 13 5th / 18
GF/G 1.86 5th / 18
xG/G 2.55 3rd / 18
G − xG -0.69 18th / 18

Defence

GA 10 8th / 18
GA/G 1.43 8th / 18
xGA/G 1.29 6th / 18
xGA − GA -0.14 14th / 18

Overall

Pts 9 9th / 18
xPts 9.0 10th / 18
PPG 1.29 9th / 18
TR 6.83 10th / 18
GD +3 7th / 18
xGD +8.8 2nd / 18
W 2 11th / 18
L 2 6th / 18

Scorelines

  • 2–2×2
  • 2–1×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 5–1×1
  • 1–1×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
14% 1
14% 2
29% 3
29% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
86%79%
Over 2.5
71%63%
Over 3.5
43%38%
Both scored
86%63%
Clean sheet
0%21%
Failed to score
14%21%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.