Stade Brestois 29

10th · Ligue 1 · 9 points · Matches played: 7

5 points behind Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+7.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +2.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 33.8+7.4
World Rank 177th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 11th L90 Strength
Last LilleA xG 0.8–1.9 1–1 Next NiceH 53%

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Upcoming fixtures

Stade Brestois 29 · All competitions

Forecast
NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 53% win 1.82 xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 33% win 1.24 xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 32% win 1.20 xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris FCLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Stade Brestois 29 · All competitions

Full time
LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 1–1 0.8–1.9 xG +0.0 Δpts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 5–1 3.9–1.5 xG +1.2 Δpts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG -1.5 Δpts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 — xG -0.6 Δpts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 — xG +1.6 Δpts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 2.7–1.1 xG -0.5 Δpts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 2.7–0.7 xG -0.2 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Stade Brestois 29 first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile6 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 1,197 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: B. Chardonnet · Last match: 17 Oct
13%

Load before the next match, vs Nice, 23 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 Aug 29 Aug vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100
D
 5 Sep at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 Sep 13 Sep vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100
L
 20 Sep at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100
L
 10 Oct vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100
W
 Oct 17 Oct at Lille: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 68/100
D
 23 Oct vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 31 Oct at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 8 Nov vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 Nov 21 Nov at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 60/100 27 Nov vs Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 5 Dec at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 66/100 Dec 12 Dec vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 2 Jan vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 Jan 16 Jan at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 69/100 23 Jan at Lens: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 70/100 30 Jan vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 60/100 6 Feb at Nice: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 43/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 66/100 20 Feb at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 52/100; match difficulty 92/100 27 Feb vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 6 Mar at Paris FC: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 20 Mar at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100 3 Apr vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 Apr 10 Apr at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 62/100 17 Apr vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 24 Apr at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 72/100 1 May at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 24/100 May 8 May vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 46/100 16 May vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 22 May at Angers: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 34/100 29 May vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6 daysbefore NIC
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d1,197 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs NiceFri 23 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 27 53%win23%draw24%loss Low load · 6 d rest at LorientSat 31 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 34 33%win26%draw42%loss Low load · 8 d rest vs LyonSun 8 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 60 32%win24%draw44%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Nice, 23 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing+1%

Baseline 3.23 → Forecast 3.26 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−14%

Baseline 3.25 → Forecast 2.78 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Nice23 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 +5% −15% 1.81 → 1.90
at Lorient31 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −4% −14% 1.42 → 1.36
vs Lyon8 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Stade Brestois 29

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Uplift +5% Expected goals Baseline1.81Forecast1.90
Conceding Risk −15% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.44Forecast1.22
Clean Sheet +5.9 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline23.7%Forecast29.6%