Tottenham

16th · Premier League · 6 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.6 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 62.1+4.2
World Rank 52nd Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 16th L90 Strength
Last CoventryH xG 0.9–0.8 3–1 Next ChelseaA 23%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.
Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Tottenham rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. Pedro Porro and X. Simons are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Chelsea.

Premier League · 7 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are wasteful in front of goal (4% of shots scored). Their results hold up much the same at home and away.

  • Relegation 22%Likely 15th · 42 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Chelsea · , 23% to win
  • 2 key players outPedro Porro, X. Simons · 15% of squad weight missing · Last match: 19 Oct
  • 6 pts vs 8.5 expected-2.5 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Tottenham. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
All competitions7 Played
Premier League6 pts0.86 PPG7 games 16th
14.3%Win %
Wins1
Draws3
Losses3

Expected metrics · 7 of 7 matches covered

Goals For
60.86 / game
xG 7.48 1.48 fewer goals than expected. vs 6 goals
Goals Against
101.43 / game
xGA 9.44 0.56 more conceded than expected. vs 10 conceded
Goal Difference
-4-0.57 / game
xGD -1.96 Goal difference is 2.04 lower than expected. vs -4 GD
Clean Sheets
229% of games

Season totals cover all competitions and stages. Positions and points refer to each competition table.

Competition standings

There is no combined table across competitions. View each competition separately.

Premier League →

Squad 41 players · this season, all competitions · 3 out

Absences reported for the last match: 19 Oct 2026

Top scorer
J. van Hecke1 goals
Most assists
S. Tonali1 assists
Best rated
J. van Hecke7.48 avg rating
Most minutes
A. Kinský540 min
Key to the model
J. van HeckeCore · weight 2.57
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
A. Kinský 23 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.59 rotation
B. Austin 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
M. Dúbravka 37 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
J. van Hecke 26 6 (6) 540 1 0 7.48 core
M. van de Ven 25 5 (4) 376 0 0 6.93 starter
A. Robertson 32 5 (4) 367 0 1 6.76 rotation
Pedro Porro injured 27 3 (3) 199 0 0 6.63 starter
M. Senesi 29 2 (2) 179 0 0 7.34 rotation
I. Udogie 23 4 (2) 161 0 0 6.77 rotation
T. Adarabioyo 29 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.90 depth
K. Danso 28 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
B. Davies 33 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
M. Hardy 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
James Roswell — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Souza 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. Takai 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
S. Tonali 26 6 (6) 519 0 1 7.28 core
A. Gray 20 5 (4) 400 0 0 6.51 starter
R. Bentancur suspended 29 6 (4) 395 0 0 6.58 rotation
Mateus Fernandes 22 6 (3) 251 0 0 6.56 rotation
C. Gallagher 26 4 (3) 209 1 0 6.97 starter
M. Kudus 26 5 (1) 188 0 1 6.73 rotation
L. Bergvall 20 4 (2) 145 0 0 6.55 rotation
J. Maddison 29 4 (0) 75 0 0 6.50 depth
M. Mudryk 25 1 (0) 16 0 0 6.60 depth
Tye Hall — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
T. Hall 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Kyerematen 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
C. Olusesi 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
P. Sarr 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
X. Simons injured 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
O. Marmoush 27 5 (4) 365 0 0 6.62 starter
Savinho 22 4 (4) 331 0 0 6.98 starter
D. Solanke 29 6 (3) 262 1 0 6.62 rotation
M. Tel 21 4 (3) 259 0 0 6.40 rotation
M. Moore 19 2 (1) 90 0 0 6.35 rotation
Richarlison 29 1 (1) 68 0 0 6.20 —
D. Ajayi 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Donley 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
D. Scarlett 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
L. Williams-Barnett 18 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to Chelsea: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength16th of 20
62 Elo 1720 · World #52
Current Strength
62 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack18th of 20
56 Scores 1.63 per match against an average top-five side
Defence10th of 20
74 Concedes 1.20 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 7 listed

58
Form index · 13th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
6
Median top-5 club
5.1
Own forecasts
6.0 -0.0
Table16th L90 Strength16th Form13th

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W19 OctH · Coventry3–11.8 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Manchester United1–10.7 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.3 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Everton0–01.4 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Nottingham Forest0–00.9 xPts
  • L29 AugH · Newcastle0–21.4 xPts
  • L22 AugA · Brentford0–31.1 xPts

Trends last 7, all competitions

Scored 3/7
Clean sheet 2/7
Conceded 2+ 3/7
Over 2.5 3/7
Both teams scored 3/7

Playing style vs Premier League average

TOTLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.50 1.43 20th
Goals conceded 1.50 1.45 12th
xG 1.10 1.49 18th
xG allowed 1.43 1.50 10th
Scored in 33% 72% 19th
Clean sheets 33% 28% 7th
TOTLeagueRank
Shots 13.83 13.71 11th
Shots on target 4.40 4.56 11th
On target share 27% 32% 17th
Box share 60% 64% 16th
Conversion 4% 10% 20th
TOTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.50 13.77 12th
On target allowed 4.17 4.55 7th
Blocks 4.00 4.33 11th
Save rate 65% 66% 14th
TOTLeagueRank
Possession 60% 50% 4th
Passes 531 442 3rd
Pass accuracy 88% 82% 2nd
TOTLeagueRank
Fouls 13.67 11.49 17th
Fouls suffered 13.67 11.49 4th
Yellow cards 1.33 1.96 5th
Red cards 0.17 0.06 19th
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
TOTLeagueRank
Goals scored 0.80 1.54 20th
Goals conceded 1.30 1.34 7th
xG 1.18 1.53 19th
xG allowed 1.13 1.44 2nd
Scored in 60% 76% 18th
Clean sheets 30% 29% 5th
TOTLeagueRank
Shots 13.80 13.96 9th
Shots on target 3.89 4.69 18th
On target share 25% 33% 19th
Box share 66% 65% 8th
Conversion 6% 11% 19th
TOTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.20 13.41 7th
On target allowed 3.50 4.43 2nd
Blocks 3.30 4.19 14th
Save rate 66% 68% 15th
TOTLeagueRank
Possession 58% 50% 3rd
Passes 500 442 6th
Pass accuracy 87% 83% 3rd
TOTLeagueRank
Fouls 13.90 11.35 20th
Fouls suffered 13.00 11.46 4th
Yellow cards 2.20 1.96 14th
Red cards 0.10 0.05 12th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home1.00pts per game1-1-2 · 1.2–1.5 goals · 4 games
Away0.67pts per game0-2-1 · 0.3–1.3 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 7 games

1 1 0-15
16-30
2 31-45
1 2 46-60
4 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 6 17th / 20
GF/G 0.86 17th / 20
xG/G 1.10 18th / 20
G − xG -0.24 15th / 20

Defence

GA 10 10th / 20
GA/G 1.43 10th / 20
xGA/G 1.43 10th / 20
xGA − GA +0.00 12th / 20

Overall

Pts 6 15th / 20
xPts 8.5 15th / 20
PPG 0.86 15th / 20
TR 6.84 9th / 20
GD -4 12th / 20
xGD -2.3 13th / 20
W 1 15th / 20
L 3 11th / 20

Scorelines

  • 0–0×2
  • 0–3×1
  • 0–2×1
  • 2–3×1
  • 1–1×1
  • 3–1×1

Goals per game both teams

29% 0
0% 1
29% 2
14% 3
14% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
71%76%
Over 2.5
43%54%
Over 3.5
29%36%
Both scored
43%53%
Clean sheet
29%27%
Failed to score
57%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.