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Explore competitions →League insights
Primeira Liga · 6 signals · 6 clubs in this view
Academico ViseuPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score62/100
Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +4.8
- Observed xG difference / match8-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.76
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 49.3
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 50.7
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 14; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
AlvercaA winning run, a limited chance advantageInsight Score48/100
Consecutive wins stand out, while the separate observed xG profile shows little or no positive balance. That contrast invites a closer look, without predicting when the run will end.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.05
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 39.5
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
Streaks6 signals · 6 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Sporting CP
Unbeaten in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak83
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 81.7
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | EstrelaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | GuimaraesH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | AlvercaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Rio AveA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NacionalH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | GalatasarayH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | FamalicaoA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AroucaH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | SC BragaA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | LensA | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Nacional
Losses in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak62
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 76.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Nacional’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Santa ClaraA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-16 | EstorilH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-23 | GuimaraesA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | EstrelaH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Sporting CPA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AlvercaH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | FamalicaoH | 0–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Rio AveA | 2–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Santa Clara
Unbeaten in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 73.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | NacionalH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | Academico ViseuA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | FamalicaoH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | AlvercaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | Rio AveH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | AroucaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | SC BragaH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Casa PiaA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Academico Viseu
Wins in a row
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak55
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 36.9
- Recency
- 73.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Academico Viseu’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | BenficaA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Santa ClaraH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-22 | MaritimoA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-29 | FC PortoH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | GIL VicenteA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GuimaraesH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | EstrelaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | EstorilH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Estoril
Losses in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak52
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 73.9
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | FamalicaoH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-16 | NacionalA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Rio AveH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | BenficaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | AroucaH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-14 | SC BragaA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Casa PiaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Academico ViseuA | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Alverca
Wins in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak53
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 79.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FC PortoA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | EstrelaH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | Santa ClaraH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | SC BragaH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | NacionalA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Rio AveH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | FamalicaoA | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →