Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

La Liga · 94 signals · 20 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
62.4
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Real MadridWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score79/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+3.7
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.7
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.26
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 79/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
84.0
Recency
64.5
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 27; xPts 23.3. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.32; xG against 1.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Real BetisPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score69/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+9.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.08
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
87.3
Recency
46.8
Context
80.0
Quality
51.8

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 25; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
VillarrealChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score68/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−4.6
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.82
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.7
Recency
62.4
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 12; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Real SociedadGoals at both endsInsight Score57/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Both teams scoredLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
80%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.44
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.8
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals94 signals · 20 clubs

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Barcelona xG difference per match +2.60 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG51
Observed xG Barcelona +2.60 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for3.55xG against0.95

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
3.55
xG against
0.95

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Goals conceded away per match 3.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores64
Scores Racing Santander 3.6 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Racing Santander’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23GetafeA0–1L
2026-09-05Rayo VallecanoA2–3L
2026-09-16BarcelonaA2–7L
2026-09-19Celta VigoA0–5L
2026-10-18OsasunaA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Barcelona Wins in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak86
Streak Barcelona 10+ Wins in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 86/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WYes
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WYes
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WYes
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WYes
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WYes
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WYes
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WYes
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Malaga Points below expected −7.2 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast70
Forecast Malaga −7.2 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts11.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-19 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 11.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
11.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Barcelona Goals scored per match 4.3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores86
Scores Barcelona 4.3 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 86/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
98.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0W
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2W
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0W
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1W
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2W
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2W
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1W
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0W
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1W
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Both teams scored 100% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores75
Scores Rayo Vallecano 100% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
75.5
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2LYes
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1DYes
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5LYes
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2WYes
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1DYes
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Real Betis Points above expected +9.6 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast75
Forecast Real Betis +9.6 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points25.0xPts15.4

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 25; xPts 15.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
87.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
25.0
xPts
15.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Wins in a row 6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak72
Streak Atletico Madrid 6 Wins in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 72/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DNo
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LNo
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WYes
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WYes
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Barcelona Unbeaten in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak86
Streak Barcelona 10+ Unbeaten in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 86/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WYes
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WYes
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WYes
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WYes
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WYes
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WYes
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WYes
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Goals conceded per match 2.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Racing Santander 2.8 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Racing Santander’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16VillarrealH2–2D
2026-08-23GetafeA0–1L
2026-08-28ElcheH3–2W
2026-09-05Rayo VallecanoA2–3L
2026-09-12AlavesH2–1W
2026-09-16BarcelonaA2–7L
2026-09-19Celta VigoA0–5L
2026-10-11ValenciaH2–2D
2026-10-18OsasunaA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Barcelona Scoring in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak86
Streak Barcelona 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 86/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WYes
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WYes
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WYes
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WYes
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WYes
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WYes
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WYes
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Points above expected +8.0 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast70
Forecast Atletico Madrid +8.0 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points25.0xPts17.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-19 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 25; xPts 17. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
72.7
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
25.0
xPts
17.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Goals conceded away per match 2.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores55
Scores Rayo Vallecano 2.6 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.4
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2L
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5L
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1D
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Real Betis Scoring in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak86
Streak Real Betis 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 86/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0WYes
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5LYes
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0WYes
2026-09-08LilleA3–2WYes
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1WYes
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2WYes
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2WYes
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid xG difference per match +1.26 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG45
Observed xG Real Madrid +1.26 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.32xG against1.06

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.32; xG against 1.06. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
84.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.32
xG against
1.06

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Barcelona Points above expected +6.3 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast64
Forecast Barcelona +6.3 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points33.0xPts26.7

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
33.0
xPts
26.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Deportivo La Coruna Both teams scored 89% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores69
Scores Deportivo La Coruna 89% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
57.5
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Deportivo La Coruna’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17ElcheH1–1DYes
2026-08-24MalagaA1–1DYes
2026-08-30ValenciaH3–1WYes
2026-09-05VillarrealA3–2WYes
2026-09-13GetafeA1–1DYes
2026-09-16SevillaH0–1LNo
2026-09-20Real BetisH1–1DYes
2026-10-11Real SociedadA2–3LYes
2026-10-16LevanteH1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores67
Scores Real Madrid 2.7 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1W
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0W
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1L
2026-09-08InterH2–1W
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1W
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2L
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0W
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3W
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club Clean sheets 4 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Athletic Club 4 Clean sheets Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22SevillaH1–3LNo
2026-08-27BarcelonaA0–2LNo
2026-08-30Celta VigoA2–0WYes
2026-09-05Atletico MadridH3–0WYes
2026-09-12ElcheH1–1DNo
2026-09-19AlavesH0–0DYes
2026-10-17ValenciaA0–0DYes
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak72
Streak Atletico Madrid 6 Unbeaten in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 72/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DYes
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LNo
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WYes
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WYes
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Wins in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak63
Streak Real Madrid 3 Wins in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1WYes
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0WYes
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1LNo
2026-09-08InterH2–1WYes
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1WYes
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2LNo
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0WYes
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3WYes
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals conceded away per match 2.0 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores52
Scores Real Sociedad 2.0 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21Real BetisA0–1L
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Sevilla Scoring in a row 9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Streak81
Streak Sevilla 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 81/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
86.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1WYes
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1WYes
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3LYes
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1DYes
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0WYes
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0WYes
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3LYes
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3DYes
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Valencia Points below expected −5.1 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast62
Forecast Valencia −5.1 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points6.0xPts11.1

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 6; xPts 11.1. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
6.0
xPts
11.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Both teams scored 80% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores67
Scores Real Sociedad 80% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3LNo
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2LYes
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2WYes
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2WYes
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1DYes
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2WYes
Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores47
Scores Sevilla 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Malaga xG difference per match −0.84 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG36
Observed xG Malaga −0.84 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.84xG against1.68

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.84; xG against 1.68. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 36/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.84
xG against
1.68

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores44
Scores Real Madrid 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-14 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.1
Recency
84.7
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22EspanyolA2–1W
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1L
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2L
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3W
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club Unbeaten in a row 5 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Streak61
Streak Athletic Club 5 Unbeaten in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22SevillaH1–3LNo
2026-08-27BarcelonaA0–2LNo
2026-08-30Celta VigoA2–0WYes
2026-09-05Atletico MadridH3–0WYes
2026-09-12ElcheH1–1DYes
2026-09-19AlavesH0–0DYes
2026-10-17ValenciaA0–0DYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Real Betis Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores33
Scores Real Betis 1.8 Goals conceded away per match Last 5 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-09-20 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
7.1
Recency
38.1
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0W
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5L
2026-09-08LilleA3–2W
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1W
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Athletic Club 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Athletic Club’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22SevillaH1–3L
2026-08-27BarcelonaA0–2L
2026-08-30Celta VigoA2–0W
2026-09-05Atletico MadridH3–0W
2026-09-12ElcheH1–1D
2026-09-19AlavesH0–0D
2026-10-17ValenciaA0–0D
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Scoring in a row 8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak75
Streak Rayo Vallecano 8 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2LYes
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1DYes
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5LYes
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2WYes
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1DYes
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1DYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Villarreal Points below expected −4.6 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast59
Forecast Villarreal −4.6 Points below expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points12.0xPts16.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 16.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
16.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Scoring in a row 7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak76
Streak Atletico Madrid 7 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
70.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DYes
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LYes
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WYes
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WYes
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Villarreal xG difference per match +0.82 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG35
Observed xG Villarreal +0.82 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.12xG against1.30

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 35/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.12
xG against
1.30

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals conceded away per match 1.7 Last 6 recorded away matches Scores43
Scores Villarreal 1.7 Goals conceded away per match Last 6 recorded away matches Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-10 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.9
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
75.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16Racing SantanderA2–2D
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Scoring in a row 7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak77
Streak Real Madrid 7 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 77/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
70.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1WYes
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0WYes
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1LNo
2026-09-08InterH2–1WYes
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1WYes
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2LYes
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0WYes
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3WYes
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Sevilla Points above expected +4.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast58
Forecast Sevilla +4.0 Points above expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts10.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
10.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Elche xG difference per match −0.74 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG33
Observed xG Elche −0.74 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.98xG against1.72

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.98; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
49.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.98
xG against
1.72

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Atletico Madrid 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2D
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1W
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3L
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2L
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0W
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0W
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1W
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1W
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0W
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Celta Vigo 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-27OsasunaH1–2L
2026-08-30Athletic ClubH0–2L
2026-09-03Real SociedadA0–0D
2026-09-07GetafeA1–1D
2026-09-13MalagaH1–1D
2026-09-16Omonia NicosiaA0–1L
2026-09-19Racing SantanderH5–0W
2026-10-11ElcheA0–0D
2026-10-15JuventusH1–2L
2026-10-18AlavesH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Points above expected +3.7 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast Real Madrid +3.7 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points27.0xPts23.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 27; xPts 23.3. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
27.0
xPts
23.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Sevilla Both teams scored 78% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores63
Scores Sevilla 78% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1WYes
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1WYes
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3LYes
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1DYes
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0WNo
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0WNo
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3LYes
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3DYes
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo Points below expected −3.8 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast Celta Vigo −3.8 Points below expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts14.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 14.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
14.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Rayo Vallecano 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.4
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2L
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1D
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5L
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2W
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1D
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Points above expected +3.5 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Real Sociedad +3.5 Points above expected 11/11 covered matches · current leagues Points17.0xPts13.5

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
63.6

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

11/11 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
13.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Real Betis Goals scored per match 2.1 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Real Betis 2.1 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0W
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5L
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0W
2026-09-08LilleA3–2W
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1W
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0W
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2W
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2W
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Racing Santander xG difference per match −0.70 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Racing Santander −0.70 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.47xG against2.17

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.47; xG against 2.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.47
xG against
2.17

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Getafe xG difference per match −0.68 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Getafe −0.68 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.53xG against1.21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.53; xG against 1.21. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
45.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.53
xG against
1.21

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62
Scores Atletico Madrid 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2DNo
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1WNo
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3LNo
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2LNo
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0WYes
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0WYes
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1WNo
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1WNo
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0WYes
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Points below expected −2.7 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast53
Forecast Racing Santander −2.7 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts10.7

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.7. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
10.7

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid Goals scored per match 2.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Atletico Madrid 2.0 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Atletico Madrid’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23VillarrealH2–2D
2026-08-29SevillaA3–1W
2026-09-05Athletic ClubA0–3L
2026-09-09LiverpoolA1–2L
2026-09-13Real SociedadA3–0W
2026-09-16OsasunaH4–0W
2026-09-20Real MadridH2–1W
2026-10-10AlavesA2–1W
2026-10-13Manchester UnitedH2–0W
2026-10-17EspanyolA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Barcelona Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Barcelona 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WNo
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WYes
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WNo
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WYes
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WYes
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WYes
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WYes
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WNo
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WYes
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WYes
Full club analysis →
Osasuna Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Osasuna 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Osasuna’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-24LevanteH0–0D
2026-08-27Celta VigoA2–1W
2026-08-31GetafeH1–0W
2026-09-06AlavesA2–5L
2026-09-12EspanyolH0–2L
2026-09-16Atletico MadridA0–4L
2026-09-19Rayo VallecanoH1–1D
2026-10-11Real BetisA2–5L
2026-10-18Racing SantanderH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Atletico Madrid xG difference per match +0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29
Observed xG Atletico Madrid +0.57 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.70xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.7; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.70
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Villarreal Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Villarreal 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2DYes
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1LNo
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3LYes
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3LYes
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2LYes
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1WYes
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1WYes
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1LNo
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1WYes
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0DNo
Full club analysis →
Espanyol Points below expected −2.5 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52
Forecast Espanyol −2.5 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts10.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
10.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Real Madrid Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60
Scores Real Madrid 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Madrid’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real SociedadH4–1WYes
2026-08-30MalagaH4–0WNo
2026-09-04Real BetisA0–1LNo
2026-09-08InterH2–1WYes
2026-09-12Rayo VallecanoH4–1WYes
2026-09-15ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-20Atletico MadridA1–2LYes
2026-10-10VillarrealH1–0WNo
2026-10-14AS RomaA4–3WYes
2026-10-18SevillaH4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Real Betis Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Real Betis 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0WNo
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5LYes
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0WNo
2026-09-08LilleA3–2WYes
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1WYes
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2WYes
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2WYes
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5LYes
Full club analysis →
Malaga Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Malaga 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-19 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Malaga’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-19Atletico MadridA0–2L
2026-08-24Deportivo La CorunaH1–1D
2026-08-30Real MadridA0–4L
2026-09-06LevanteH0–0D
2026-09-13Celta VigoA1–1D
2026-09-17VillarrealH1–3L
2026-09-20GetafeA0–1L
2026-10-09EspanyolH1–1D
2026-10-18Real SociedadH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Scoring in a row 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak70
Streak Real Sociedad 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4LYes
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1WYes
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2WYes
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3LNo
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2LYes
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2WYes
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2WYes
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1DYes
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Levante Points below expected −2.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Levante −2.2 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts9.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.4
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
50.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 6.

Full club analysis →
Levante Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Levante 2.0 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3L
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0D
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2W
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0D
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4L
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3D
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano xG difference per match −0.53 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28
Observed xG Rayo Vallecano −0.53 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.23xG against1.76

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.23; xG against 1.76. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.23
xG against
1.76

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Elche Points below expected −2.0 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50
Forecast Elche −2.0 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts9.0

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 7; xPts 9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
9.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Real Sociedad 1.9 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores Real Sociedad 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-26Real MadridA1–4L
2026-08-29EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-03Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-09-07ElcheA3–2W
2026-09-13Atletico MadridH0–3L
2026-09-17BournemouthH1–2L
2026-09-20ValenciaA3–2W
2026-10-11Deportivo La CorunaH3–2W
2026-10-15Union St. GilloiseA1–1D
2026-10-18MalagaA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Athletic Club xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Athletic Club +0.33 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.46xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.46; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.46
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Espanyol Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Espanyol 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Espanyol’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16LevanteH3–0WNo
2026-08-22Real MadridH1–2LYes
2026-08-29Real SociedadA1–2LYes
2026-09-06SevillaH1–1DYes
2026-09-12OsasunaA2–0WNo
2026-09-15Rayo VallecanoA1–2LYes
2026-09-18ElcheH1–3LYes
2026-10-09MalagaA1–1DYes
2026-10-17Atletico MadridH0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Alaves Points below expected −1.6 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Alaves −1.6 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.6

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Sevilla xG difference per match −0.45 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG27
Observed xG Sevilla −0.45 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.03xG against1.48

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.03; xG against 1.48. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 27/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.03
xG against
1.48

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Elche Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Elche 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Elche’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
2026-08-23BarcelonaH0–5L
2026-08-28Racing SantanderA2–3L
2026-09-07Real SociedadH2–3L
2026-09-12Athletic ClubA1–1D
2026-09-15Real MadridH2–3L
2026-09-18EspanyolA3–1W
2026-10-11Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-10-17VillarrealA0–0D
Full club analysis →
Elche Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Elche 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Elche’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
2026-08-23BarcelonaH0–5LNo
2026-08-28Racing SantanderA2–3LYes
2026-09-07Real SociedadH2–3LYes
2026-09-12Athletic ClubA1–1DYes
2026-09-15Real MadridH2–3LYes
2026-09-18EspanyolA3–1WYes
2026-10-11Celta VigoH0–0DNo
2026-10-17VillarrealA0–0DNo
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad xG difference per match −0.44 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Real Sociedad −0.44 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.28xG against1.72

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
29.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.28
xG against
1.72

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Valencia Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Valencia 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Valencia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22Celta VigoH0–0DYes
2026-08-25Real BetisH0–1LNo
2026-08-30Deportivo La CorunaA1–3LNo
2026-09-06BarcelonaH0–5LNo
2026-09-11SevillaA0–1LNo
2026-09-15AlavesA1–0WYes
2026-09-20Real SociedadH2–3LNo
2026-10-11Racing SantanderA2–2DNo
2026-10-17Athletic ClubH0–0DYes
Full club analysis →
Valencia xG difference per match −0.42 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Valencia −0.42 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.08xG against1.50

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.08; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.08
xG against
1.50

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Racing Santander Both teams scored 67% Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Racing Santander 67% Both teams scored Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.6
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Racing Santander’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16VillarrealH2–2DYes
2026-08-23GetafeA0–1LNo
2026-08-28ElcheH3–2WYes
2026-09-05Rayo VallecanoA2–3LYes
2026-09-12AlavesH2–1WYes
2026-09-16BarcelonaA2–7LYes
2026-09-19Celta VigoA0–5LNo
2026-10-11ValenciaH2–2DYes
2026-10-18OsasunaA0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Alaves Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Alaves 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alaves’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-08-20Rayo VallecanoA1–1DNo
2026-08-28VillarrealH1–0WYes
2026-09-06OsasunaH5–2WNo
2026-09-12Racing SantanderA1–2LNo
2026-09-15ValenciaH0–1LNo
2026-09-19Athletic ClubA0–0DYes
2026-10-10Atletico MadridH1–2LNo
2026-10-18Celta VigoA1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Osasuna Clean sheets 3 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Osasuna 3 Clean sheets Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Osasuna’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-24LevanteH0–0DYes
2026-08-27Celta VigoA2–1WNo
2026-08-31GetafeH1–0WYes
2026-09-06AlavesA2–5LNo
2026-09-12EspanyolH0–2LNo
2026-09-16Atletico MadridA0–4LNo
2026-09-19Rayo VallecanoH1–1DNo
2026-10-11Real BetisA2–5LNo
2026-10-18Racing SantanderH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Getafe Points below expected −1.3 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Getafe −1.3 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points9.0xPts10.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.3. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.9
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Real Betis Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Real Betis 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0W
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5L
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0W
2026-09-08LilleA3–2W
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1W
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0W
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2W
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2W
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5L
Full club analysis →
Barcelona Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Barcelona 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Barcelona’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27Athletic ClubH2–0WYes
2026-08-31Rayo VallecanoH5–2WNo
2026-09-06ValenciaA5–0WYes
2026-09-09FeyenoordH5–1WNo
2026-09-13LevanteA4–2WNo
2026-09-16Racing SantanderH7–2WNo
2026-09-19SevillaA3–1WNo
2026-10-10GetafeH3–0WYes
2026-10-13GalatasarayA4–1WNo
2026-10-17Real BetisA5–2WNo
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Celta Vigo 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-27OsasunaH1–2LNo
2026-08-30Athletic ClubH0–2LNo
2026-09-03Real SociedadA0–0DYes
2026-09-07GetafeA1–1DNo
2026-09-13MalagaH1–1DNo
2026-09-16Omonia NicosiaA0–1LNo
2026-09-19Racing SantanderH5–0WYes
2026-10-11ElcheA0–0DYes
2026-10-15JuventusH1–2LNo
2026-10-18AlavesH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Real Betis Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Real Betis 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
10.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Real Betis’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-25ValenciaA1–0WYes
2026-08-29LevanteA2–5LNo
2026-09-04Real MadridH1–0WYes
2026-09-08LilleA3–2WNo
2026-09-14VillarrealA2–1WNo
2026-09-17GetafeH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DNo
2026-10-11OsasunaH5–2WNo
2026-10-14FC PortoH3–2WNo
2026-10-17BarcelonaH2–5LNo
Full club analysis →
Levante xG difference per match −0.36 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Levante −0.36 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.43xG against1.79

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.43; xG against 1.79. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.43
xG against
1.79

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Osasuna Points below expected −1.2 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48
Forecast Osasuna −1.2 Points below expected 9/9 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts12.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/9 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Sevilla 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1W
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3L
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0W
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3L
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Levante Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Levante 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3LNo
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0DNo
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2WYes
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0DNo
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4LYes
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3LYes
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3DYes
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1DYes
Full club analysis →
Valencia Goals conceded per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Valencia 1.7 Goals conceded per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Valencia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Celta VigoH0–0D
2026-08-25Real BetisH0–1L
2026-08-30Deportivo La CorunaA1–3L
2026-09-06BarcelonaH0–5L
2026-09-11SevillaA0–1L
2026-09-15AlavesA1–0W
2026-09-20Real SociedadH2–3L
2026-10-11Racing SantanderA2–2D
2026-10-17Athletic ClubH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Villarreal 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1W
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Sevilla 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1W
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3L
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0W
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3L
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Rayo Vallecano 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2L
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1D
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5L
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2W
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1D
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Levante Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Levante 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3L
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0D
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2W
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0D
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4L
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3D
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Villarreal 1.5 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1W
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0D
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–94 of 94 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →