Cremonese vs Verona – 19 Jan 2026

Serie A Gameweek 21 Mon, Jan 19 · 17:30 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

Cremonese 15th · 22 pts · 20 played DLLDL

0–0Full time

Verona 20th · 13 pts · 20 played LLDLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Cremonese were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Absences weigh more on Verona. Cremonese had 6.9 days of rest, Verona 4 and had to travel 83 km.

Away travel83 kmRest days6.9 · 4Matches / 14d2 · 3

Cremonese44%

Draw28%

Verona27%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.04

Cremonese45%

Draw27%

Verona29%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.18

Cremonese43%

Draw29%

Verona28%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.03

Cremonese37%

Draw29%

Verona34%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.17

Cremonese46%

Draw26%

Verona28%

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.20

Over 2.5 44% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Cremona)

No weather data yet

Referee · ItalyAlberto Ruben Arena

Cards per match 3.1
Penalties per match 0.25
Matches 8

Team strength

Cremonese

Verona

22 L90 StrengthIn forecast 21

20 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

16 AttackIn forecast 15

30 DefenceIn forecast 29

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cremonese

Attack—

Defense risk—

Verona

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Cremonese

Verona

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.85

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.07

1.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.23

+0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.22

60% Scored inContext 55%

25% Clean sheetsContext 15%

8.35 ShotsContext 11.50

3.15 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20

38% On target shareContext 37%

5.05 Shots in the boxContext 6.65

57% Box shareContext 57%

12% ConversionContext 7%

2.29 OffsidesContext 2.24

16.40 Shots allowedContext 13.30

5.45 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.47

4.84 BlocksContext 4.15

4.32 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.84

76% Save rateContext 64%

45% PossessionIn forecast 39%

372 PassesContext 318

291 Accurate passesContext 235

78% Pass accuracyContext 74%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.64

12.85 FoulsContext 16.25

12.55 Fouls sufferedContext 8.35

2.05 Yellow cardsContext 2.40

0.05 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 20 and 20 games

0.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.07 xGVia Att/Def 0.97

1.76 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35

-0.27 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

40% Scored inContext 60%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

9.40 ShotsContext 10.30

3.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40

34% On target shareContext 33%

5.70 Shots in the boxContext 5.60

59% Box shareContext 54%

9% ConversionContext 11%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.67

16.90 Shots allowedContext 14.50

5.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.70

5.22 BlocksContext 4.40

4.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

75% Save rateContext 64%

46% PossessionIn forecast 41%

384 PassesContext 330

301 Accurate passesContext 247

78% Pass accuracyContext 75%

6.72 Team ratingContext 6.67

14.40 FoulsContext 16.10

12.50 Fouls sufferedContext 7.90

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cremonese

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km367 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Verona

Rest4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel83 km1,150 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Cremonese	Verona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 15
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.9Serie A 2025-2026, 12 Jan	4Serie A 2025-2026, 15 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	83 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	367 km	1,150 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	5.8	7.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cremonese Confirmed XI

3-5-2

1E. Audero(G)

15M. Bianchetti 6F. Baschirotto 23F. Ceccherini

24F. Terracciano 27J. Vandeputte 33A. Grassi 38W. Bondo 4T. Barbieri

10J. Vardy 90F. Bonazzoli

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Verona Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

34S. Perilli(G)

23E. Ebosse 15V. Nelsson 19T. Slotsager

12D. Bradarić 24A. Bernede 63R. Gagliardini 14Pol Lirola

9A. Sarr 17Giovane

16G. Orban

+9 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Cremonese Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Verona Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.07 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Cremonese+1.2 pp
Draw-0.6 pp
Verona-0.6 pp

Home / Away this season

Cremonese · Home 1.11points per game · 9 home games

W-D-L: 2-4-3
Scored: 1.22
Conceded: 1.44

Verona · Away 0.70points per game · 10 away games

W-D-L: 1-4-5
Scored: 0.70
Conceded: 1.80

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Cremonese	Verona
Juventus	L 0–5 AL 1–2 H	D 1–1 H
Cagliari	D 2–2 H	D 2–2 H
Fiorentina	L 0–1 A	W 2–1 A
Napoli	L 0–2 H	D 2–2 A
Lazio	D 0–0 A	L 0–1 HL 0–4 A
Torino	L 0–1 A	L 0–3 H
Lecce	W 2–0 H	D 0–0 A
Bologna	W 3–1 A	L 2–3 H
AS Roma	L 1–3 H	L 0–2 A
Pisa	L 0–1 A	D 0–0 A
Genoa	W 2–0 A	L 1–2 A
Atalanta	D 1–1 H	W 3–1 H
Udinese	D 1–1 H	D 1–1 A
Inter	L 1–4 A	L 1–2 H
Como	D 1–1 A	L 1–3 A
Parma	D 0–0 H	L 1–2 H
Sassuolo	W 3–2 H	L 0–1 H
AC Milan	W 2–1 A	L 0–3 A
Points	21 of 57 · 1.11 per game	12 of 57 · 0.63 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 3 of 3 meetings

0 Cremonese wins2 draws1 Verona wins

Goals per game0.33 – 1.00 Over 2.50% Both scored33% Clean sheets33% · 67%

15 Sep 2025Verona0–0Cremonese
30 Apr 2023Cremonese1–1Verona
9 Jan 2023Verona2–0Cremonese

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Cremonese	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.85
Conceded per game	1.40	1.70
Match goals	2.40	2.55	2.44
Over 1.5	70%	75%
Over 2.5	40%	60%	44%
Over 3.5	30%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	55%	49%
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Failed to score	40%	45%
Games	20	20

	Cremonese	Verona	Forecast
Scored per game	0.80	1.10
Conceded per game	1.60	1.80
Match goals	2.40	2.90	2.44
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	40%	80%	44%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	30%	60%	49%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	60%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Cremonese	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	3.42	3.55
Corners conceded	6.26	4.65
Match total	9.68	8.20	8.82
Over 8.5	68% 13/19	50% 10/20
Over 9.5	42% 8/19	35% 7/20
Over 10.5	26% 5/19	20% 4/20
Cards
Cards	2.10	2.40
Opponent cards	1.80	1.65
Match total	3.90	4.05	3.94
Over 3.5	55% 11/20	55% 11/20
Over 4.5	30% 6/20	45% 9/20

	Cremonese	Verona	League
Corners
Corners won	4.22	3.20
Corners conceded	6.33	5.30
Match total	10.55	8.50	8.82
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.50
Opponent cards	2.00	1.20
Match total	4.00	3.70	3.94
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Alberto Ruben Arena Italy · 8 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.00league 3.80

Red cards0.13league 0.17

Cards 5+0%league 36%

Fouls22.5league 25.7

Penalties0.25league 0.30

Home wins38%league 37%

Cremonese2 with this referee

Record0-2-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.5 Pens for · against0 · 0

D25 Oct 25H · Atalanta1–13
D15 Sep 25A · Verona0–01

Verona1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.2.0 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D15 Sep 25H · Cremonese0–02

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.