Premier League Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 23 · 15:00 Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace 14th · 7 pts · 7 played
VS— Compare
Tottenham 16th · 6 pts · 7 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days1.8 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Crystal Palace—%
Draw—%
Tottenham—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (London)

Forecast from 8 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Crystal Palace and Tottenham. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Crystal PalaceTottenham
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
64 Current StrengthIn forecast 62
64 AttackIn forecast 56
54 DefenceIn forecast 74
64 Form indexContext 58
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Crystal Palace

Attack—
Defense risk—

Tottenham

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Crystal PalaceTottenham
1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.86
2.43 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.43
1.35 xGVia Att/Def 1.07
2.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext -0.21
57% Scored inContext 43%
14% Clean sheetsContext 29%
10.14 ShotsContext 14.14
3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50
37% On target shareContext 27%
7.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.57
70% Box shareContext 60%
13% ConversionContext 6%
3.00 OffsidesContext 2.86
17.86 Shots allowedContext 14.14
6.14 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.71
5.29 BlocksContext 4.00
3.71 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
61% Save rateContext 63%
43% PossessionIn forecast 61%
404 PassesContext 535
326 Accurate passesContext 470
81% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.70 Team ratingContext 6.84
10.00 FoulsContext 13.86
10.14 Fouls sufferedContext 13.71
1.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.29
0.14 Red cardsContext 0.14
This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30
1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.16
1.86 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.18
+0.08 Goals minus xGContext -0.26
70% Scored inContext 60%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
11.00 ShotsContext 14.40
3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.89
36% On target shareContext 24%
7.80 Shots in the boxContext 9.60
71% Box shareContext 67%
15% ConversionContext 6%
2.50 OffsidesContext 2.44
16.30 Shots allowedContext 12.90
5.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
4.70 BlocksContext 3.40
3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.33
63% Save rateContext 64%
45% PossessionIn forecast 59%
416 PassesContext 510
341 Accurate passesContext 443
82% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.77 Team ratingContext 6.85
10.50 FoulsContext 14.20
9.70 Fouls sufferedContext 13.20
1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Crystal Palace
Rest1.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km573 km in 14d
Schedule load15%Low
Form 64 · 7 pts vs 5.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Brighton0–50.6 xPts
  • L15 OctA · Lyon2–31.3 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Nottingham Forest3–11.4 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Leeds0–00.9 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Lech Poznan4–01.9 xPts
Tottenham
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 58 · 6 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · -0.0 vs expected
  • W19 OctH · Coventry3–11.8 xPts
  • D10 OctA · Manchester United1–10.7 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Aston Villa2–31.3 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Everton0–01.4 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Nottingham Forest0–00.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Crystal Palace Tottenham
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 15Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match1.8UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan7Premier League 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways573 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 2 / 61 / 1 / 5
Next matchdays after this one5.27

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Crystal Palace Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs Brighton (A) 0–5, 18 Oct
44W. Benítez(G)
21H. Ahanor 26Chris Richards 6J. Canvot
3T. Mitchell 23Q. Timber 20A. Wharton 25A. Khalaili
10Yeremy Pino 18Daichi Kamada
22J. Strand Larsen
Tottenham Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Coventry (H) 3–1, 19 Oct
31A. Kinský(G)
3A. Robertson 37M. van de Ven 4T. Adarabioyo 6J. van Hecke
16S. Tonali 14A. Gray
22O. Marmoush 10J. Maddison 20M. Kudus
19D. Solanke

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Crystal Palace Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Tottenham Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Crystal Palace · Home 1.00points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
2.00
Conceded
2.67
Tottenham · Away 0.67points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored
0.33
Conceded
1.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentCrystal PalaceTottenham
Nottingham Forest W 3–1 H D 0–0 A
Everton L 0–2 A D 0–0 H
Points3 of 6 · 1.50 per game2 of 6 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

4 Crystal Palace wins0 draws6 Tottenham wins
Goals per game1.10 – 1.50 Over 2.560% Both scored30% Clean sheets30% · 40%
  • 5 Mar 2026Tottenham1–3Crystal Palace
  • 28 Dec 2025Crystal Palace0–1Tottenham
  • 11 May 2025Tottenham0–2Crystal Palace
  • 27 Oct 2024Crystal Palace1–0Tottenham
  • 2 Mar 2024Tottenham3–1Crystal Palace
  • 27 Oct 2023Crystal Palace1–2Tottenham

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Crystal PalaceTottenhamForecast
Scored per game 1.290.86
Conceded per game 2.431.43
Match goals 3.712.29
Over 1.5 86%71%
Over 2.5 71%43%
Over 3.5 71%29%
Both teams scored 57%43%
Clean sheets 14%29%
Failed to score 43%57%
Games77
Crystal PalaceTottenhamForecast
Scored per game 1.600.90
Conceded per game 2.201.30
Match goals 3.802.20
Over 1.5 90%70%
Over 2.5 80%40%
Over 3.5 70%20%
Both teams scored 60%50%
Clean sheets 20%30%
Failed to score 30%40%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Crystal PalaceTottenhamLeague
Corners
Corners won3.676.57
Corners conceded6.004.43
Match total9.6711.009.49
Over 8.550% 3/671% 5/7
Over 9.533% 2/671% 5/7
Over 10.533% 2/657% 4/7
Cards
Cards1.431.43
Opponent cards1.572.29
Match total3.003.724.17
Over 3.543% 3/743% 3/7
Over 4.529% 2/714% 1/7
Crystal PalaceTottenhamLeague
Corners
Corners won3.897.10
Corners conceded5.224.30
Match total9.1111.409.49
Over 8.544% 4/970% 7/10
Over 9.533% 3/970% 7/10
Over 10.533% 3/960% 6/10
Cards
Cards1.601.90
Opponent cards2.002.30
Match total3.604.204.17
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.530% 3/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Crystal Palace7 games · scored 9 · conceded 17
1 5 0-15
2 16-30
3 3 31-45
3 4 46-60
1 61-75
1 3 76-90
Tottenham7 games · scored 6 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
16-30
2 31-45
1 2 46-60
4 61-75
4 1 76-90
Crystal Palace10 games · scored 16 · conceded 20
2 6 0-15
1 2 16-30
4 4 31-45
5 4 46-60
1 61-75
3 4 76-90
Tottenham10 games · scored 9 · conceded 13
1 1 0-15
1 16-30
1 2 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 6 61-75
4 1 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Premier League

View all fixtures →
Manchester United Liverpool Jan 2315:00 Fulham Aston Villa Jan 2315:00 Arsenal Newcastle Jan 2315:00 Everton Brentford Jan 2315:00 Brighton Manchester City Jan 2315:00 Crystal Palace Tottenham Jan 2315:00 Ipswich Hull City Jan 2315:00 Leeds Chelsea Jan 2315:00 Nottingham Forest Bournemouth Jan 2315:00 Sunderland Coventry Jan 2315:00