Crystal Palace
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,033 kmRest days5.2 · 42Matches / 14d1 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Crystal Palace—%
Draw—%
Sparta Praha—%
Weather (London)
Forecast from 6 Jan
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Crystal Palace and Sparta Praha. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.4
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Crystal Palace
1.7
Goals scored per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Crystal Palace
−0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.52xG against1.86
-
Insight
Sparta Praha
−0.21
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.15xG against1.36
Defence
-
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.4
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Crystal Palace
2.2
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Insight
Crystal Palace
−0.34
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.52xG against1.86
-
Insight
Sparta Praha
−0.21
xG difference per match
Underlying performance · 10-match window
xG for1.15xG against1.36
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Crystal PalaceSparta Praha
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
64
Current StrengthIn forecast
34
64
AttackIn forecast
33
54
DefenceIn forecast
34
64
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSparta Praha
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Crystal PalaceSparta Praha
3.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.50
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
—
xGVia Att/Def
1.67
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.37
—
Goals minus xGContext
+0.83
100%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
14.00
ShotsContext
19.00
5.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
8.00
36%
On target shareContext
42%
10.50
Shots in the boxContext
10.50
76%
Box shareContext
54%
21%
ConversionContext
13%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.50
14.00
Shots allowedContext
9.50
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
2.00
4.50
BlocksContext
2.50
3.50
Goalkeeper savesContext
1.00
70%
Save rateContext
50%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
515
PassesContext
433
447
Accurate passesContext
377
87%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.90
Team ratingContext
7.00
9.50
FoulsContext
14.50
5.50
Fouls sufferedContext
12.00
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.40
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.30
1.52
xGVia Att/Def
1.15
1.86
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.36
+0.08
Goals minus xGContext
+0.25
70%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
11.00
ShotsContext
11.70
3.90
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
36%
On target shareContext
34%
7.80
Shots in the boxContext
7.89
71%
Box shareContext
65%
15%
ConversionContext
12%
2.50
OffsidesContext
2.11
16.30
Shots allowedContext
11.50
5.40
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.33
4.70
BlocksContext
3.44
3.40
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.38
63%
Save rateContext
77%
45%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
416
PassesContext
449
341
Accurate passesContext
380
82%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.83
10.50
FoulsContext
11.90
9.70
Fouls sufferedContext
11.20
1.50
Yellow cardsContext
1.50
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Crystal Palace
WDWLL
Rest5.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km573 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 64 · 7 pts vs 5.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Crystal Palace |
Sparta Praha |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.2Premier League 2026-2027, 16 Jan | 42UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 10 Dec |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,033 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 573 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 5 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 1.8 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Crystal Palace
Last XI · not confirmed
44W. Benítez(G)
21H. Ahanor
26Chris Richards
6J. Canvot
3T. Mitchell
23Q. Timber
20A. Wharton
25A. Khalaili
10Yeremy Pino
18Daichi Kamada
22J. Strand Larsen
Sparta Praha
Last XI · not confirmed
44J. Surovčík(G)
15V. Vitályos
6T. Guddal
19A. Ševínský
2M. Suchomel
20S. Mannsverk
18A. Irving
27E. Singhateh
38Hugo Sochurek
31M. Jurásek
14J. Braut Brunes
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Crystal Palace
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Sparta Praha
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Crystal Palace · Home
3.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 4.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Sparta Praha · Away
3.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 4.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Crystal Palace | Sparta Praha | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 3.00 | 2.50 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 4.50 | 3.50 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Crystal Palace | Sparta Praha | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.60 | 1.75 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.20 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 3.80 | 3.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 75% | |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 75% | |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 25% | |
| Games | 10 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Crystal Palace | Sparta Praha | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.50 | 9.50 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 9.50 | 11.00 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Crystal Palace | Sparta Praha | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.89 | 6.11 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.22 | 4.44 | |
| Match total | 9.11 | 10.55 | 9.76 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 4/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 33% 3/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 44% 4/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.70 | |
| Match total | 3.60 | 3.30 | 3.76 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Crystal Palace2 games · scored 6 · conceded 3
1
1
0-15
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
2
1
76-90
Sparta Praha2 games · scored 5 · conceded 2
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Crystal Palace10 games · scored 16 · conceded 20
2
6
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
Sparta Praha10 games · scored 14 · conceded 13
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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