Bundesliga Gameweek 12 Sat, Dec 5 · 14:30 Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt am Main
Eintracht Frankfurt 11th · 8 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Werder Bremen 8th · 9 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel329 kmRest days6.9 · 7.8Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Draw—%
Werder Bremen—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)

Forecast from 20 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Eintracht FrankfurtWerder Bremen
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 43
54 AttackIn forecast 56
37 DefenceIn forecast 45
52 Form indexContext 71
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

Werder Bremen

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eintracht FrankfurtWerder Bremen
1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
2.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.58
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext +0.42
83% Scored inContext 100%
17% Clean sheetsContext 0%
14.67 ShotsContext 14.00
5.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.83
40% On target shareContext 49%
11.50 Shots in the boxContext 9.67
78% Box shareContext 66%
11% ConversionContext 14%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.17
17.50 Shots allowedContext 15.33
7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
5.00 BlocksContext 4.50
4.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33
67% Save rateContext 61%
51% PossessionIn forecast 47%
436 PassesContext 476
353 Accurate passesContext 400
81% Pass accuracyContext 84%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.96
10.33 FoulsContext 12.00
13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 11.17
2.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.17
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90
1.60 xGVia Att/Def 1.31
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext +0.09
90% Scored inContext 80%
10% Clean sheetsContext 0%
14.10 ShotsContext 12.70
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.30
41% On target shareContext 42%
9.60 Shots in the boxContext 8.44
68% Box shareContext 62%
11% ConversionContext 11%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.44
15.70 Shots allowedContext 15.70
6.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.60
4.44 BlocksContext 4.40
4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
66% Save rateContext 66%
53% PossessionIn forecast 46%
449 PassesContext 458
370 Accurate passesContext 380
82% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.78 Team ratingContext 6.93
10.80 FoulsContext 10.30
12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 8.80
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.10
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km305 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts
Werder Bremen
Rest7.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel329 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 71 · 9 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · +3.6 vs expected
  • D17 OctH · SC Paderborn 072–21.7 xPts
  • D9 OctA · Borussia Dortmund2–20.5 xPts
  • W19 SepH · FC Augsburg3–21.2 xPts
  • D12 SepA · 1.FC Köln1–11.1 xPts
  • W5 SepH · RB Leipzig3–10.8 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eintracht Frankfurt Werder Bremen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9Bundesliga 2026-2027, 28 Nov7.8Bundesliga 2026-2027, 27 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km329 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways305 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 30 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt
Werder Bremen Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs SC Paderborn 07 (H) 2–2, 17 Oct
1K. Hein(G)
2O. Deman 32M. Friedl 5A. Pieper 13Arthur
44Y. Regeer 15L. Reis
17M. Grüll 20Chuky 18E. Dinkçi
10N. Füllkrug

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Werder Bremen Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eintracht Frankfurt · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.00
Werder Bremen · Away 0.67points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
0-2-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentEintracht FrankfurtWerder Bremen
1.FC Köln W 1–0 H D 1–1 A
RB Leipzig L 0–6 A W 3–1 H
SC Freiburg D 2–2 H L 1–4 A
FC Augsburg L 1–4 H W 3–2 H
Points4 of 12 · 1.00 per game7 of 12 · 1.75 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins3 draws1 Werder Bremen wins
Goals per game2.13 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored63% Clean sheets25% · 13%
  • 16 Jan 2026Werder Bremen3–3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 23 Aug 2025Eintracht Frankfurt4–1Werder Bremen
  • 5 Apr 2025Werder Bremen2–0Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 23 Nov 2024Eintracht Frankfurt1–0Werder Bremen
  • 5 Apr 2024Eintracht Frankfurt1–1Werder Bremen
  • 12 Nov 2023Werder Bremen2–2Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Eintracht FrankfurtWerder BremenForecast
Scored per game 1.672.00
Conceded per game 2.672.00
Match goals 4.334.00
Over 1.5 83%100%
Over 2.5 83%83%
Over 3.5 83%83%
Both teams scored 67%100%
Clean sheets 17%0%
Failed to score 17%0%
Games66
Eintracht FrankfurtWerder BremenForecast
Scored per game 1.601.40
Conceded per game 2.401.90
Match goals 4.003.30
Over 1.5 90%90%
Over 2.5 80%60%
Over 3.5 70%60%
Both teams scored 80%80%
Clean sheets 10%0%
Failed to score 10%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Eintracht FrankfurtWerder BremenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.333.67
Corners conceded4.005.83
Match total9.339.5010.72
Over 8.567% 4/667% 4/6
Over 9.533% 2/650% 3/6
Over 10.517% 1/650% 3/6
Cards
Cards2.331.17
Opponent cards1.331.33
Match total3.662.503.51
Over 3.567% 4/617% 1/6
Over 4.517% 1/60% 0/6
Eintracht FrankfurtWerder BremenLeague
Corners
Corners won5.603.90
Corners conceded4.806.40
Match total10.4010.3010.72
Over 8.570% 7/1080% 8/10
Over 9.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 10.540% 4/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards2.401.20
Opponent cards1.601.00
Match total4.002.203.51
Over 3.560% 6/1020% 2/10
Over 4.530% 3/100% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
Werder Bremen6 games · scored 12 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
4 16-30
1 31-45
1 3 46-60
4 61-75
6 3 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90
Werder Bremen10 games · scored 14 · conceded 19
1 1 0-15
1 6 16-30
2 31-45
1 4 46-60
5 2 61-75
6 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

View all fixtures →
Bayern München SC Paderborn 07 Dec 514:30 SC Freiburg 1899 Hoffenheim Dec 514:30 Bayer Leverkusen Borussia Mönchengladbach Dec 514:30 Eintracht Frankfurt Werder Bremen Dec 514:30 FC Augsburg 1.FC Köln Dec 514:30 RB Leipzig FSV Mainz 05 Dec 514:30 FC Schalke 04 Borussia Dortmund Dec 514:30 Union Berlin Hamburger SV Dec 514:30 SV Elversberg VfB Stuttgart Dec 514:30