Bundesliga Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 28 · 17:30 Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart 13th · 6 pts · 6 played
VS— Compare
Eintracht Frankfurt 11th · 8 pts · 6 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel152 kmRest days2.9 · 7.1Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
VfB Stuttgart—%
Draw—%
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Stuttgart)

Forecast from 13 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for VfB Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

VfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
67 Current StrengthIn forecast 48
70 AttackIn forecast 54
58 DefenceIn forecast 37
46 Form indexContext 52
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

VfB Stuttgart

Attack—
Defense risk—

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

VfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.67
1.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.67
1.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.77
2.38 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.00
-0.58 Goals minus xGContext -0.10
67% Scored inContext 83%
17% Clean sheetsContext 17%
17.00 ShotsContext 14.67
5.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.83
34% On target shareContext 40%
12.17 Shots in the boxContext 11.50
72% Box shareContext 78%
8% ConversionContext 11%
1.60 OffsidesContext 2.00
18.17 Shots allowedContext 17.50
5.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00
5.00 BlocksContext 5.00
3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.67
63% Save rateContext 67%
55% PossessionIn forecast 51%
506 PassesContext 436
422 Accurate passesContext 353
83% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.02 Team ratingContext 6.86
9.83 FoulsContext 10.33
11.17 Fouls sufferedContext 13.17
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.33
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.40
1.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.60
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.75
-0.01 Goals minus xGContext +0.00
80% Scored inContext 90%
20% Clean sheetsContext 10%
16.80 ShotsContext 14.10
6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80
37% On target shareContext 41%
11.80 Shots in the boxContext 9.60
70% Box shareContext 68%
11% ConversionContext 11%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.22
15.50 Shots allowedContext 15.70
4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.40
5.22 BlocksContext 4.44
3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.20
65% Save rateContext 66%
55% PossessionIn forecast 53%
502 PassesContext 449
422 Accurate passesContext 370
84% Pass accuracyContext 82%
7.07 Team ratingContext 6.78
11.10 FoulsContext 10.80
11.20 Fouls sufferedContext 12.10
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

VfB Stuttgart
Rest2.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,412 km in 14d
Schedule load8%Low
Form 46 · 6 pts vs 6.4 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Hamburger SV0–11.8 xPts
  • W14 OctA · Slovan Bratislava3–02.1 xPts
  • W10 OctA · SC Paderborn 072–01.6 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Borussia Dortmund0–11.2 xPts
  • L12 SepA · 1899 Hoffenheim1–21.4 xPts
Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel152 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
VfB Stuttgart Eintracht Frankfurt
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 8Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match2.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 25 Nov7.1Bundesliga 2026-2027, 21 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km152 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,412 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days2 / 2 / 40 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one6.96.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

VfB Stuttgart Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Hamburger SV (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
41D. Seimen(G)
3R. Hendriks 24J. Chabot 29Finn Jeltsch 4J. Vagnoman
6A. Stiller 16A. Karazor
18J. Leweling 26D. Undav 11B. El Khannouss
9E. Demirović
Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
VfB Stuttgart Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

VfB Stuttgart · Home 1.50points per game · 2 home games
W-D-L
1-0-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00
Eintracht Frankfurt · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
3.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentVfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
1.FC Köln W 4–1 H W 1–0 H
Points3 of 3 · 3.00 per game3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

3 VfB Stuttgart wins3 draws4 Eintracht Frankfurt wins
Goals per game1.70 – 1.70 Over 2.570% Both scored80% Clean sheets10% · 10%
  • 16 May 2026Eintracht Frankfurt2–2VfB Stuttgart
  • 13 Jan 2026VfB Stuttgart3–2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 29 Mar 2025Eintracht Frankfurt1–0VfB Stuttgart
  • 10 Nov 2024VfB Stuttgart2–3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 13 Apr 2024VfB Stuttgart3–0Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 25 Nov 2023Eintracht Frankfurt1–2VfB Stuttgart

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

VfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtForecast
Scored per game 1.331.67
Conceded per game 1.672.67
Match goals 3.004.33
Over 1.5 67%83%
Over 2.5 50%83%
Over 3.5 33%83%
Both teams scored 50%67%
Clean sheets 17%17%
Failed to score 33%17%
Games66
VfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtForecast
Scored per game 1.901.60
Conceded per game 1.402.40
Match goals 3.304.00
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 70%80%
Over 3.5 50%70%
Both teams scored 60%80%
Clean sheets 20%10%
Failed to score 20%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

VfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtLeague
Corners
Corners won6.675.33
Corners conceded6.004.00
Match total12.679.3310.72
Over 8.583% 5/667% 4/6
Over 9.583% 5/633% 2/6
Over 10.583% 5/617% 1/6
Cards
Cards1.002.33
Opponent cards2.331.33
Match total3.333.663.51
Over 3.550% 3/667% 4/6
Over 4.517% 1/617% 1/6
VfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtLeague
Corners
Corners won6.305.60
Corners conceded5.404.80
Match total11.7010.4010.72
Over 8.590% 9/1070% 7/10
Over 9.570% 7/1050% 5/10
Over 10.570% 7/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards1.402.40
Opponent cards2.101.60
Match total3.504.003.51
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.520% 2/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

VfB Stuttgart6 games · scored 8 · conceded 10
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
3 2 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 4 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
VfB Stuttgart10 games · scored 19 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
4 2 16-30
4 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 3 61-75
3 5 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Bundesliga

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Werder Bremen Borussia Mönchengladbach Nov 2719:30 FSV Mainz 05 Union Berlin Nov 2814:30 Hamburger SV Bayern München Nov 2814:30 SC Paderborn 07 FC Schalke 04 Nov 2814:30 1.FC Köln SV Elversberg Nov 2814:30 VfB Stuttgart Eintracht Frankfurt Nov 2817:30 SC Freiburg RB Leipzig Nov 2914:30 1899 Hoffenheim FC Augsburg Nov 2916:30 Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen Nov 2918:30