La Liga Gameweek 19 Sun, Jan 10 · 16:00 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Elche 18th · 7 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Getafe 14th · 9 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel346 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Elche—%
Draw—%
Getafe—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Elche)

Forecast from 26 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Elche and Getafe. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

ElcheGetafe
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
44 Current StrengthIn forecast 48
39 AttackIn forecast 27
51 DefenceIn forecast 59
56 Form indexContext 42
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Elche

Attack—
Defense risk—

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

ElcheGetafe
1.22 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.56
1.89 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.22
1.07 xGVia Att/Def 0.62
1.85 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.49
+0.15 Goals minus xGContext -0.06
67% Scored inContext 56%
22% Clean sheetsContext 22%
11.00 ShotsContext 10.78
4.22 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.67
38% On target shareContext 25%
6.44 Shots in the boxContext 5.44
55% Box shareContext 48%
11% ConversionContext 5%
1.83 OffsidesContext 2.17
14.89 Shots allowedContext 15.22
5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.89
3.63 BlocksContext 4.78
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.56
60% Save rateContext 73%
51% PossessionIn forecast 37%
478 PassesContext 292
408 Accurate passesContext 217
85% Pass accuracyContext 74%
6.64 Team ratingContext 6.68
13.44 FoulsContext 14.00
13.33 Fouls sufferedContext 12.78
2.33 Yellow cardsContext 3.44
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.60
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
0.98 xGVia Att/Def 0.58
1.72 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39
+0.22 Goals minus xGContext +0.02
70% Scored inContext 60%
20% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.20 ShotsContext 10.30
3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.70
38% On target shareContext 26%
6.44 Shots in the boxContext 5.20
55% Box shareContext 48%
12% ConversionContext 6%
1.83 OffsidesContext 2.00
14.40 Shots allowedContext 14.80
5.22 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.90
3.44 BlocksContext 4.50
3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.70
64% Save rateContext 76%
50% PossessionIn forecast 38%
463 PassesContext 289
391 Accurate passesContext 214
84% Pass accuracyContext 74%
6.65 Team ratingContext 6.73
14.10 FoulsContext 14.30
14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 3.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Elche
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km740 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 56 · 6 pts vs 5.4 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected
  • D17 OctA · Villarreal0–00.7 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Celta Vigo0–01.5 xPts
  • W18 SepA · Espanyol3–11.1 xPts
  • L15 SepH · Real Madrid2–30.5 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Athletic Club1–10.8 xPts
Getafe
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel346 km25 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Elche Getafe
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7La Liga 2026-2027, 3 Jan7La Liga 2026-2027, 3 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km346 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways740 km25 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 31 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Elche Last XI · not confirmed
5-3-2 · vs Villarreal (A) 0–0, 17 Oct
1M. Dituro(G)
11Germán Valera 3R. Revivo 23Víctor Chust 47J. Morcillo 2Buba Sangaré
18T. Lemar 8Marc Aguado 12Gonzalo Villar
21Lucas Cepeda 24A. Osorio
Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Elche Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Elche · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
0-1-3
Scored
1.00
Conceded
2.75
Getafe · Away 0.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
0-0-4
Scored
0.00
Conceded
2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

OpponentElcheGetafe
Celta Vigo D 0–0 H D 1–1 H
Racing Santander L 2–3 A W 1–0 H
Barcelona L 0–5 H L 0–3 A
Deportivo La Coruna D 1–1 A D 1–1 H
Points2 of 12 · 0.50 per game5 of 12 · 1.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

3 Elche wins2 draws3 Getafe wins
Goals per game1.00 – 1.00 Over 2.525% Both scored50% Clean sheets25% · 25%
  • 17 May 2026Elche1–0Getafe
  • 28 Nov 2025Getafe1–0Elche
  • 20 May 2023Getafe1–1Elche
  • 31 Oct 2022Elche0–1Getafe
  • 22 May 2022Elche3–1Getafe
  • 13 Sep 2021Getafe0–1Elche

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

ElcheGetafeForecast
Scored per game 1.220.56
Conceded per game 1.891.22
Match goals 3.111.78
Over 1.5 78%56%
Over 2.5 56%22%
Over 3.5 56%0%
Both teams scored 67%33%
Clean sheets 22%22%
Failed to score 33%44%
Games99
ElcheGetafeForecast
Scored per game 1.200.60
Conceded per game 1.801.10
Match goals 3.001.70
Over 1.5 80%50%
Over 2.5 50%20%
Over 3.5 50%0%
Both teams scored 70%30%
Clean sheets 20%30%
Failed to score 30%40%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

ElcheGetafeLeague
Corners
Corners won4.564.33
Corners conceded4.676.00
Match total9.2310.339.91
Over 8.533% 3/956% 5/9
Over 9.533% 3/956% 5/9
Over 10.533% 3/944% 4/9
Cards
Cards2.443.89
Opponent cards2.002.56
Match total4.446.454.73
Over 3.567% 6/9100% 9/9
Over 4.556% 5/978% 7/9
ElcheGetafeLeague
Corners
Corners won4.204.10
Corners conceded4.405.80
Match total8.609.909.91
Over 8.530% 3/1050% 5/10
Over 9.530% 3/1050% 5/10
Over 10.530% 3/1040% 4/10
Cards
Cards2.603.60
Opponent cards2.202.50
Match total4.806.104.73
Over 3.570% 7/1090% 9/10
Over 4.560% 6/1070% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Elche9 games · scored 11 · conceded 17
3 0-15
2 3 16-30
4 31-45
1 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 4 76-90
Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Elche10 games · scored 12 · conceded 18
3 0-15
2 3 16-30
1 4 31-45
1 1 46-60
3 3 61-75
5 4 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Atletico Madrid Racing Santander Jan 1016:00 Athletic Club Villarreal Jan 1016:00 Valencia Malaga Jan 1016:00 Sevilla Celta Vigo Jan 1016:00 Espanyol Real Betis Jan 1016:00 Real Madrid Levante Jan 1016:00 Alaves Real Sociedad Jan 1016:00 Deportivo La Coruna Rayo Vallecano Jan 1016:00 Osasuna Barcelona Jan 1016:00 Elche Getafe Jan 1016:00