Espanyol
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel821 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Espanyol—%
Draw—%
Real Betis—%
Weather (Cornella de Llobregat)
Forecast from 26 Dec
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Espanyol and Real Betis. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Trend
Real Betis
70%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Real Betis
3
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Real Betis
1.8
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Espanyol
67%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored
Attack
-
Trend
Real Betis
2.1
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Real Betis
70%
Both teams scored
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Streak
Real Betis
10+
Scoring in a row
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row -
Trend
Espanyol
67%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored
Defence
-
Insight
Real Betis
3
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Real Betis
1.8
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Alert
Real Betis
1.8
Goals conceded per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Team strength
EspanyolReal Betis
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
44
Current StrengthIn forecast
72
36
AttackIn forecast
79
51
DefenceIn forecast
59
31
Form indexContext
80
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisReal Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
EspanyolReal Betis
1.22
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.78
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.56
1.14
xGVia Att/Def
1.65
1.28
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.96
+0.08
Goals minus xGContext
+0.13
89%
Scored inContext
100%
22%
Clean sheetsContext
44%
12.67
ShotsContext
16.44
3.67
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.33
29%
On target shareContext
39%
7.33
Shots in the boxContext
9.67
57%
Box shareContext
56%
10%
ConversionContext
11%
3.50
OffsidesContext
1.33
13.11
Shots allowedContext
15.33
5.75
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.22
3.00
BlocksContext
3.78
4.71
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.33
75%
Save rateContext
70%
46%
PossessionIn forecast
51%
376
PassesContext
495
305
Accurate passesContext
429
81%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.78
Team ratingContext
7.03
16.00
FoulsContext
9.89
10.44
Fouls sufferedContext
11.67
3.00
Yellow cardsContext
1.56
0.11
Red cardsContext
0.11
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.10
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.26
xGVia Att/Def
1.71
1.30
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.79
-0.06
Goals minus xGContext
+0.39
90%
Scored inContext
100%
20%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
13.10
ShotsContext
16.70
4.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
6.20
31%
On target shareContext
37%
7.50
Shots in the boxContext
10.00
57%
Box shareContext
58%
9%
ConversionContext
13%
3.14
OffsidesContext
1.40
12.70
Shots allowedContext
14.60
5.56
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.00
2.78
BlocksContext
3.50
4.38
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.33
73%
Save rateContext
67%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
52%
379
PassesContext
504
308
Accurate passesContext
438
81%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.80
Team ratingContext
6.98
15.50
FoulsContext
10.70
11.10
Fouls sufferedContext
11.90
2.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Espanyol
WLLDL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 31 · 4 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected
Real Betis
WDWWL
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel821 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Espanyol |
Real Betis |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 12 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 3 Jan | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 3 Jan |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 821 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Espanyol
Last XI · not confirmed
1Ángel Fortuño(G)
21Roger Hinojo
6L. Cabrera
5C. Riedel
16V. Drkušić
23O. El Hilali
15Bryan Zaragoza
10Pol Lozano
8Edu Expósito
28Javi Hernández
9R. Fernández Jaén
Real Betis
Last XI · not confirmed
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García
16Valentín Gómez
3Diego Llorente
2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos
6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli
8Pablo Fornals
20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Espanyol
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Betis
Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Espanyol · Home
0.80points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-3
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.40
Real Betis · Away
1.75points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 1.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | Espanyol | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | W 2–0 A | W 5–2 H |
| Real Sociedad | L 1–2 A | W 1–0 H |
| Real Madrid | L 1–2 H | W 1–0 H |
| Levante | W 3–0 H | L 2–5 A |
| Points | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game | 9 of 12 · 2.25 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings
1 Espanyol wins2 draws5 Real Betis wins
Goals per game0.88 – 1.75
Over 2.563%
Both scored63%
Clean sheets25% · 25%
- 4 Apr 2026Real Betis0–0Espanyol
- 5 Oct 2025Espanyol1–2Real Betis
- 4 May 2025Espanyol1–2Real Betis
- 29 Sep 2024Real Betis1–0Espanyol
- 15 Apr 2023Real Betis3–1Espanyol
- 21 Jan 2023Espanyol1–0Real Betis
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Espanyol | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.22 | 1.78 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.56 | |
| Match goals | 2.56 | 3.33 | |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 56% | |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 44% | |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 56% | |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 44% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 0% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Espanyol | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.20 | 2.10 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.80 | |
| Match goals | 2.50 | 3.90 | |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Espanyol | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.14 | 4.78 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.71 | 6.44 | |
| Match total | 8.85 | 11.22 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 43% 3/7 | 78% 7/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 43% 3/7 | 67% 6/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 14% 1/7 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 3.11 | 1.67 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.89 | 2.67 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 4.34 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 89% 8/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 89% 8/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Espanyol | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.13 | 4.90 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.63 | 5.90 | |
| Match total | 8.76 | 10.80 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 38% 3/8 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 38% 3/8 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 13% 1/8 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.90 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.90 | 2.60 | |
| Match total | 5.80 | 4.50 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 90% 9/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 80% 8/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Espanyol9 games · scored 11 · conceded 12
3
3
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
Real Betis9 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
3
76-90
Espanyol10 games · scored 12 · conceded 13
3
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.
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