Premier League Gameweek 35 Sat, May 8 · 15:00 Goodison Park, Liverpool
Everton 8th · 10 pts · 7 played
VS— Compare
Hull City 9th · 9 pts · 7 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel178 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Everton—%
Draw—%
Hull City—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Liverpool)

Forecast from 23 Apr

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Everton and Hull City. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

EvertonHull City
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
67 Current StrengthIn forecast 37
61 AttackIn forecast 37
66 DefenceIn forecast 50
50 Form indexContext 36
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Everton

Attack—
Defense risk—

Hull City

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

EvertonHull City
1.14 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.14
1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
1.37 xGVia Att/Def 0.98
1.42 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.56
-0.23 Goals minus xGContext +0.16
71% Scored inContext 71%
43% Clean sheetsContext 43%
14.43 ShotsContext 10.71
5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00
35% On target shareContext 32%
10.83 Shots in the boxContext 5.50
68% Box shareContext 45%
8% ConversionContext 11%
2.29 OffsidesContext 1.40
13.71 Shots allowedContext 14.57
4.29 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.86
5.00 BlocksContext 4.29
3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.71
70% Save rateContext 77%
47% PossessionIn forecast 32%
433 PassesContext 275
361 Accurate passesContext 197
83% Pass accuracyContext 72%
6.98 Team ratingContext 6.75
7.43 FoulsContext 10.86
13.29 Fouls sufferedContext 7.57
1.71 Yellow cardsContext 3.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games
1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20
1.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80
1.26 xGVia Att/Def 1.14
1.44 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.32
-0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.06
70% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 50%
13.40 ShotsContext 10.30
4.60 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.22
34% On target shareContext 37%
9.89 Shots in the boxContext 5.88
70% Box shareContext 50%
8% ConversionContext 12%
2.25 OffsidesContext 1.57
14.40 Shots allowedContext 13.80
4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30
5.44 BlocksContext 4.10
3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30
70% Save rateContext 77%
47% PossessionIn forecast 33%
414 PassesContext 267
342 Accurate passesContext 182
83% Pass accuracyContext 68%
6.88 Team ratingContext 6.82
9.70 FoulsContext 10.10
12.20 Fouls sufferedContext 8.90
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.70
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Everton
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km573 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 50 · 6 pts vs 6.0 for an average club · -1.8 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Chelsea0–21.5 xPts
  • D11 OctA · Hull City2–21.7 xPts
  • W19 SepH · Ipswich1–02.0 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Tottenham0–01.3 xPts
  • D6 SepH · Manchester United2–21.3 xPts
Hull City
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel178 km498 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 36 · 3 pts vs 4.6 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Fulham0–10.8 xPts
  • D11 OctH · Everton2–21.0 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Newcastle1–20.8 xPts
  • D12 SepA · Chelsea2–20.6 xPts
  • D5 SepH · Aston Villa0–00.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Everton Hull City
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7Premier League 2026-2027, 1 May7Premier League 2026-2027, 1 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km178 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways573 km498 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Everton Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Chelsea (H) 0–2, 17 Oct
1J. Pickford(G)
16V. Mykolenko 4J. Branthwaite 6J. Tarkowski 2A. Maitland-Niles
37J. Garner 45H. Armstrong
10J. Grealish 8K. Dewsbury-Hall 34M. Röhl
11T. Barry
Hull City Last XI · not confirmed
5-4-1 · vs Fulham (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
19K. Tzolakis(G)
18B. Norton-Cuffy 22L. Herrington 15J. Egan 6S. Ajayi 2L. Coyle
7B. Thomas 27R. Slater 25M. Crooks 10M. Belloumi
9O. McBurnie

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Everton Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Hull City Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Everton · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.25
Conceded
1.00
Hull City · Away 1.00points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
1-1-2
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

OpponentEvertonHull City
Chelsea L 0–2 H D 2–2 A
Manchester United D 2–2 H W 2–0 H
Points1 of 6 · 0.50 per game4 of 6 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Everton wins1 draws0 Hull City wins
Goals per game2.00 – 2.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 11 Oct 2026Hull City2–2Everton

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

EvertonHull CityForecast
Scored per game 1.141.14
Conceded per game 1.001.00
Match goals 2.142.14
Over 1.5 71%57%
Over 2.5 29%43%
Over 3.5 29%29%
Both teams scored 43%43%
Clean sheets 43%43%
Failed to score 29%29%
Games77
EvertonHull CityForecast
Scored per game 1.101.14
Conceded per game 1.301.00
Match goals 2.402.14
Over 1.5 70%57%
Over 2.5 40%43%
Over 3.5 40%29%
Both teams scored 50%43%
Clean sheets 30%43%
Failed to score 30%29%
Games107

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

EvertonHull CityLeague
Corners
Corners won5.333.71
Corners conceded6.006.71
Match total11.3310.429.49
Over 8.567% 4/657% 4/7
Over 9.567% 4/657% 4/7
Over 10.567% 4/657% 4/7
Cards
Cards1.713.00
Opponent cards2.291.00
Match total4.004.004.17
Over 3.557% 4/757% 4/7
Over 4.557% 4/757% 4/7
EvertonHull CityLeague
Corners
Corners won5.783.89
Corners conceded5.566.44
Match total11.3410.339.49
Over 8.567% 6/956% 5/9
Over 9.567% 6/956% 5/9
Over 10.567% 6/956% 5/9
Cards
Cards1.902.70
Opponent cards1.901.10
Match total3.803.804.17
Over 3.550% 5/1060% 6/10
Over 4.550% 5/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Everton7 games · scored 8 · conceded 7
1 0-15
16-30
1 1 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
3 2 76-90
Hull City7 games · scored 8 · conceded 7
3 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
2 2 61-75
1 76-90
Everton10 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
2 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
3 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
3 5 76-90
Hull City10 games · scored 12 · conceded 8
3 0-15
3 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 1 46-60
4 2 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures Premier League

View all fixtures →
Newcastle Coventry May 815:00 Bournemouth Manchester United May 815:00 Fulham Ipswich May 815:00 Everton Hull City May 815:00 Tottenham Chelsea May 815:00 Manchester City Liverpool May 815:00 Brighton Sunderland May 815:00 Brentford Aston Villa May 815:00 Leeds Arsenal May 815:00 Nottingham Forest Crystal Palace May 815:00