Besiktas vs Union St. Gilloise

UEFA Europa League Matchday 7 Thu, Jan 21 · 17:45 Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul

Besiktas 4th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Union St. Gilloise 12th · 4 pts · 2 played WD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,179 kmRest days4.2 · 5Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Besiktas—%

Draw—%

Union St. Gilloise—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 6 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Besiktas

Union St. Gilloise

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 70

60 AttackIn forecast 62

48 DefenceIn forecast 74

62 Form indexContext 73

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Union St. Gilloise

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Besiktas

Union St. Gilloise

3.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

18.50 ShotsContext 19.00

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 9.00

32% On target shareContext 47%

14.50 Shots in the boxContext 12.00

78% Box shareContext 63%

19% ConversionContext 11%

— OffsidesContext —

13.50 Shots allowedContext 9.50

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.00

3.50 BlocksContext 2.50

1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext —

50% Save rateContext 80%

51% PossessionIn forecast 48%

473 PassesContext 475

395 Accurate passesContext 394

83% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.05 Team ratingContext 7.08

9.00 FoulsContext 13.00

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.30

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.70

2.06 xGVia Att/Def 1.40

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.96

+0.14 Goals minus xGContext +0.90

70% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 60%

16.75 ShotsContext 17.30

6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00

37% On target shareContext 41%

10.88 Shots in the boxContext 13.20

64% Box shareContext 75%

14% ConversionContext 13%

3.00 OffsidesContext 2.78

11.25 Shots allowedContext 11.90

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.40

3.38 BlocksContext 3.90

2.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

64% Save rateContext 75%

59% PossessionIn forecast 51%

481 PassesContext 461

410 Accurate passesContext 379

85% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.97 Team ratingContext 7.12

11.44 FoulsContext 11.90

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km656 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Union St. Gilloise WWWDD

Rest5 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel2,179 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 73 · 11 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · +0.8 vs expected

D15 OctH · Real Sociedad1–11.9 xPts
D11 OctH · OH Leuven1–12.7 xPts
W20 SepA · Antwerp2–02.1 xPts
W17 SepA · Plzen3–01.4 xPts
W12 SepH · Lommel United5–02.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Besiktas	Union St. Gilloise
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 17 Jan	5Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	2,179 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	656 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	2.8	1.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Union St. Gilloise Last XI · not confirmed

3-1-4-2 · vs Real Sociedad (H) 1–1, 15 Oct

12H. Koffi(G)

55Nikki Havenaar 29M. Sylla 4N. Chibani

6K. Van de Perre

11G. da Silva Carvalho 28D. Olaru 23B. Zeneli 27L. Patris

38R. Mofokeng 9Mateo Biondic

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Union St. Gilloise Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Besiktas · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 4.00
Conceded: 1.00

Union St. Gilloise · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Besiktas	Union St. Gilloise
Scored per game	3.50	2.00
Conceded per game	1.50	0.50
Match goals	5.00	2.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Besiktas	Union St. Gilloise
Scored per game	2.20	2.30
Conceded per game	1.40	0.70
Match goals	3.60	3.00
Over 1.5	80%	90%
Over 2.5	70%	60%
Over 3.5	40%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	40%
Clean sheets	10%	60%
Failed to score	30%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Besiktas	Union St. Gilloise	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	2.50
Corners conceded	5.50	3.50
Match total	9.50	6.00	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.50
Opponent cards	2.50	1.50
Match total	4.00	3.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2

	Besiktas	Union St. Gilloise	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	4.80
Corners conceded	4.44	3.90
Match total	10.22	8.70	9.76
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.00
Opponent cards	2.60	1.90
Match total	4.80	3.90	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.