Fulham vs Wolves – 1 Nov 2025

Premier League Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 Craven Cottage, London

Fulham 17th · 8 pts · 9 played WLLLL

3–0Full time

Wolves 20th · 2 pts · 9 played LDDLL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Fulham were slight favourites.

Fulham were the stronger side on L90 Strength (63 vs 46). Absences weigh more on Fulham. Fulham had 7 days of rest, Wolves 6 and had to travel 182 km.

Away travel182 kmRest days7 · 6Matches / 14d2 · 1

Fulham53%

Draw24%

Wolves23%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.13

Fulham54%

Draw25%

Wolves21%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.01

Fulham55%

Draw24%

Wolves21%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.08

Fulham45%

Draw26%

Wolves29%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.26

Fulham52%

Draw25%

Wolves23%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.06

Over 2.5 56% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (London)

No weather data yet

RefereeJohn Brooks

Cards per match 4.5
Penalties per match 0.22
Matches 86

Team strength

Fulham

Wolves

63 L90 StrengthIn forecast 46

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

66 AttackIn forecast 41

68 DefenceIn forecast 46

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Fulham

Attack—

Defense risk—

Wolves

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Fulham

Wolves

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.78

1.56 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.11

1.02 xGVia Att/Def 1.03

1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.29

-0.02 Goals minus xGContext -0.25

78% Scored inContext 56%

11% Clean sheetsContext 0%

10.44 ShotsContext 10.78

3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67

30% On target shareContext 34%

6.89 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

66% Box shareContext 65%

10% ConversionContext 7%

1.88 OffsidesContext 2.17

11.67 Shots allowedContext 11.89

4.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.22

3.22 BlocksContext 3.88

3.11 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

68% Save rateContext 59%

49% PossessionIn forecast 50%

423 PassesContext 420

349 Accurate passesContext 339

83% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.69

14.11 FoulsContext 13.33

10.89 Fouls sufferedContext 8.78

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.67

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.09 xGVia Att/Def 1.04

1.59 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.30

-0.19 Goals minus xGContext -0.24

70% Scored inContext 60%

10% Clean sheetsContext 0%

10.70 ShotsContext 11.50

3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.90

29% On target shareContext 34%

7.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.10

68% Box shareContext 63%

8% ConversionContext 7%

1.89 OffsidesContext 2.29

12.50 Shots allowedContext 12.00

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

3.70 BlocksContext 3.56

3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.89

67% Save rateContext 63%

49% PossessionIn forecast 50%

424 PassesContext 418

351 Accurate passesContext 338

83% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.74

13.80 FoulsContext 12.70

10.30 Fouls sufferedContext 8.80

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Fulham

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km796 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Wolves

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel182 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Fulham	Wolves
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Premier League 2025-2026, 25 Oct	6Premier League 2025-2026, 26 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	182 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	796 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 2	1 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Fulham Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1B. Leno(G)

30K. Sessegnon 3C. Bassey 5J. Andersen 2K. Tete

16S. Berge 17A. Iwobi

22Kevin 24J. King 8H. Wilson

7R. Jiménez

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Wolves Confirmed XI

5-3-2

31S. Johnstone(G)

3Hugo Bueno 24Toti Gomes 12E. Agbadou 4S. Bueno 26K. Hoever

5M. Munetsi 37L. Krejčí 27J. Bellegarde

10J. Arias 9J. Strand Larsen

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Fulham Scores -0.07 · concedes +0.06 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Wolves Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Fulham-2.4 pp
Draw+0.5 pp
Wolves+1.9 pp

Home / Away this season

Fulham · Home 1.75points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-1
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 0.75

Wolves · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.25
Conceded: 1.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Fulham	Wolves
Newcastle	L 1–2 A	L 0–1 A
Bournemouth	L 1–3 A	L 0–1 A
Leeds	W 1–0 H	L 1–3 H
Brighton	D 1–1 A	D 1–1 H
Points	4 of 12 · 1.00 per game	1 of 12 · 0.25 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

2 Fulham wins2 draws4 Wolves wins

Goals per game1.00 – 1.50 Over 2.550% Both scored63% Clean sheets13% · 38%

25 Feb 2025Wolves1–2Fulham
23 Nov 2024Fulham1–4Wolves
9 Mar 2024Wolves2–1Fulham
27 Nov 2023Fulham3–2Wolves
24 Feb 2023Fulham1–1Wolves
13 Aug 2022Wolves0–0Fulham

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Fulham	Wolves	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.78
Conceded per game	1.56	2.11
Match goals	2.56	2.89	2.94
Over 1.5	78%	78%
Over 2.5	44%	44%	56%
Over 3.5	33%	44%
Both teams scored	67%	56%	57%
Clean sheets	11%	0%
Failed to score	22%	44%
Games	9	9

	Fulham	Wolves	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.78
Conceded per game	1.56	2.11
Match goals	2.56	2.89	2.94
Over 1.5	78%	78%
Over 2.5	44%	44%	56%
Over 3.5	33%	44%
Both teams scored	67%	56%	57%
Clean sheets	11%	0%
Failed to score	22%	44%
Games	9	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Fulham	Wolves	League
Corners
Corners won	4.56	3.75
Corners conceded	5.44	5.88
Match total	10.00	9.63	9.84
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.78
Opponent cards	1.11	1.56
Match total	3.11	3.34	3.66
Over 3.5	44% 4/9	44% 4/9
Over 4.5	33% 3/9	44% 4/9

	Fulham	Wolves	League
Corners
Corners won	4.20	4.22
Corners conceded	5.50	5.56
Match total	9.70	9.78	9.84
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.80	1.80
Opponent cards	1.00	1.50
Match total	2.80	3.30	3.66
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · John Brooks 86 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.36league 3.56

Red cards0.10league 0.11

Cards 5+47%league 39%

Fouls22.7league 21.9

Penalties0.22league 0.20

Home wins53%league 50%

Fulham4 with this referee

Record0-3-1 Cards · opp.2.5 · 1.8 Pens for · against0 · 0

D26 Oct 24A · Everton1–10
L4 Nov 23H · Manchester United0–15
D29 Oct 22H · Everton0–02
D13 Aug 22A · Wolves0–03

Wolves5 with this referee

Record1-2-2 Cards · opp.3.0 · 3.2 Pens for · against0 · 0

L9 Dec 24A · West Ham1–24
L13 May 23A · Manchester United0–22
W3 Sep 22H · Southampton1–04
D13 Aug 22H · Fulham0–03
D1 Dec 21H · Burnley0–02

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.