La Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
Getafe 14th · 9 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Atletico Madrid 2nd · 22 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel13 kmRest days13.9 · 13.8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Getafe—%
Draw—%
Atletico Madrid—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Getafe)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Getafe and Atletico Madrid. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

GetafeAtletico Madrid
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 81
27 AttackIn forecast 82
59 DefenceIn forecast 87
42 Form indexContext 96
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Getafe

Attack—
Defense risk—

Atletico Madrid

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

GetafeAtletico Madrid
0.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.11
1.22 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.89
0.62 xGVia Att/Def 1.72
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.98
-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.39
56% Scored inContext 89%
22% Clean sheetsContext 44%
10.78 ShotsContext 17.56
2.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.44
25% On target shareContext 37%
5.44 Shots in the boxContext 10.33
48% Box shareContext 60%
5% ConversionContext 12%
2.17 OffsidesContext 2.00
15.22 Shots allowedContext 9.56
4.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.11
4.78 BlocksContext 2.89
3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.22
73% Save rateContext 71%
37% PossessionIn forecast 60%
292 PassesContext 590
217 Accurate passesContext 521
74% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.68 Team ratingContext 7.05
14.00 FoulsContext 12.11
12.78 Fouls sufferedContext 11.56
3.44 Yellow cardsContext 2.22
0.11 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
0.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
0.58 xGVia Att/Def 1.70
1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.13
+0.02 Goals minus xGContext +0.30
60% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 40%
10.30 ShotsContext 16.10
2.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.90
26% On target shareContext 37%
5.20 Shots in the boxContext 9.50
48% Box shareContext 58%
6% ConversionContext 12%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.20
14.80 Shots allowedContext 10.20
4.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
4.50 BlocksContext 2.90
3.70 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50
76% Save rateContext 71%
38% PossessionIn forecast 60%
289 PassesContext 588
214 Accurate passesContext 517
74% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.73 Team ratingContext 7.04
14.30 FoulsContext 11.30
13.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.70
3.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.10
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Getafe
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km623 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 42 · 5 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.3 vs expected
  • D19 OctH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.3 xPts
  • L10 OctA · Barcelona0–30.2 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Malaga1–01.5 xPts
  • L17 SepA · Real Betis0–10.8 xPts
  • D13 SepH · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.4 xPts
Atletico Madrid
Rest13.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel13 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 96 · 15 pts vs 5.8 for an average club · +6.8 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Espanyol1–01.9 xPts
  • W13 OctH · Manchester United2–01.7 xPts
  • W10 OctA · Alaves2–11.6 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Real Madrid2–11.1 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Osasuna4–01.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Getafe Atletico Madrid
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match13.9La Liga 2026-2027, 8 Nov13.8La Liga 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km13 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways623 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 20 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one73.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Getafe Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs Rayo Vallecano (H) 1–1, 19 Oct
13David Soria(G)
22J. Mojica 26J. Valou 2D. Dakonam
10M. Satriano 6Mario Martín 8N. Gudelj 17Kiko Femenía
19E. Ünal 11Ramon Terrats
Atletico Madrid Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-1-2 · vs Espanyol (A) 1–0, 17 Oct
13J. Oblak(G)
30Dani Martínez 17D. Hancko 21C. Romero 18Marc Pubill
23M. Hjulmand 8Pablo Barrios 20G. Simeone
7K. Lee
11A. Lookman 15J. David

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Getafe Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Atletico Madrid Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Getafe · Home 1.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
2-3-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.60
Atletico Madrid · Away 2.40points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
4-0-1
Scored
1.80
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

OpponentGetafeAtletico Madrid
Malaga W 1–0 H W 2–0 H
Osasuna L 0–1 A W 4–0 H
Alaves L 0–3 A W 2–1 A
Points3 of 9 · 1.00 per game9 of 9 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

1 Getafe wins2 draws7 Atletico Madrid wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.560% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%
  • 14 Mar 2026Atletico Madrid1–0Getafe
  • 23 Nov 2025Getafe0–1Atletico Madrid
  • 9 Mar 2025Getafe2–1Atletico Madrid
  • 15 Dec 2024Atletico Madrid1–0Getafe
  • 15 May 2024Getafe0–3Atletico Madrid
  • 19 Dec 2023Atletico Madrid3–3Getafe

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

GetafeAtletico MadridForecast
Scored per game 0.562.11
Conceded per game 1.220.89
Match goals 1.783.00
Over 1.5 56%89%
Over 2.5 22%78%
Over 3.5 0%33%
Both teams scored 33%44%
Clean sheets 22%44%
Failed to score 44%11%
Games99
GetafeAtletico MadridForecast
Scored per game 0.602.00
Conceded per game 1.101.00
Match goals 1.703.00
Over 1.5 50%90%
Over 2.5 20%80%
Over 3.5 0%30%
Both teams scored 30%50%
Clean sheets 30%40%
Failed to score 40%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

GetafeAtletico MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won4.335.57
Corners conceded6.003.57
Match total10.339.149.91
Over 8.556% 5/943% 3/7
Over 9.556% 5/943% 3/7
Over 10.544% 4/943% 3/7
Cards
Cards3.892.33
Opponent cards2.561.89
Match total6.454.224.73
Over 3.5100% 9/967% 6/9
Over 4.578% 7/944% 4/9
GetafeAtletico MadridLeague
Corners
Corners won4.105.00
Corners conceded5.804.25
Match total9.909.259.91
Over 8.550% 5/1050% 4/8
Over 9.550% 5/1050% 4/8
Over 10.540% 4/1050% 4/8
Cards
Cards3.602.20
Opponent cards2.501.70
Match total6.103.904.73
Over 3.590% 9/1060% 6/10
Over 4.570% 7/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Getafe9 games · scored 5 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Atletico Madrid9 games · scored 19 · conceded 8
1 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
2 2 61-75
8 3 76-90
Getafe10 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 31-45
2 1 46-60
1 2 61-75
2 3 76-90
Atletico Madrid10 games · scored 20 · conceded 10
2 0-15
3 16-30
2 2 31-45
4 3 46-60
1 2 61-75
8 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Barcelona Villarreal Nov 2216:00 Athletic Club Espanyol Nov 2216:00 Sevilla Real Betis Nov 2216:00 Levante Elche Nov 2216:00 Real Madrid Celta Vigo Nov 2216:00 Alaves Deportivo La Coruna Nov 2216:00 Getafe Atletico Madrid Nov 2216:00 Osasuna Malaga Nov 2216:00 Rayo Vallecano Valencia Nov 2216:00 Racing Santander Real Sociedad Nov 2216:00