Osasuna vs Malaga – 22 Nov 2026

La Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea

Osasuna 10th · 11 pts · 9 played LLDLW

VS— Compare

Malaga 20th · 4 pts · 9 played DLLDL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel718 kmRest days14.9 · 15.1Matches / 14d0 · 0

Real contextStrength only

Osasuna—%

Draw—%

Malaga—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Iruñea)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Osasuna

Malaga

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 41

50 AttackIn forecast 28

50 DefenceIn forecast 31

31 Form indexContext 15

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Osasuna

Attack—

Defense risk—

Malaga

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Osasuna

Malaga

1.11 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.67

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.52 xGVia Att/Def 0.84

1.43 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.17

67% Scored inContext 56%

33% Clean sheetsContext 11%

10.78 ShotsContext 11.33

4.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

40% On target shareContext 27%

7.63 Shots in the boxContext 6.67

64% Box shareContext 62%

10% ConversionContext 6%

2.63 OffsidesContext 1.63

13.22 Shots allowedContext 14.89

3.89 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.89

3.89 BlocksContext 4.00

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.78

51% Save rateContext 64%

46% PossessionIn forecast 51%

390 PassesContext 481

316 Accurate passesContext 417

81% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.54 Team ratingContext 6.70

14.67 FoulsContext 11.56

12.33 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67

2.67 Yellow cardsContext 2.44

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.42 xGVia Att/Def 0.84

1.31 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

-0.42 Goals minus xGContext -0.04

60% Scored inContext 60%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

10.80 ShotsContext 11.40

4.40 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.20

41% On target shareContext 28%

7.56 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

64% Box shareContext 64%

9% ConversionContext 7%

2.44 OffsidesContext 1.63

12.50 Shots allowedContext 14.70

3.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90

3.70 BlocksContext 3.70

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.90

53% Save rateContext 66%

46% PossessionIn forecast 51%

373 PassesContext 474

298 Accurate passesContext 408

80% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.54 Team ratingContext 6.74

15.20 FoulsContext 10.90

12.80 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

2.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Osasuna LLDLW

Rest14.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 31 · 4 pts vs 6.3 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected

W18 OctH · Racing Santander2–01.7 xPts
L11 OctA · Real Betis2–50.8 xPts
D19 SepH · Rayo Vallecano1–11.5 xPts
L16 SepA · Atletico Madrid0–40.9 xPts
L12 SepH · Espanyol0–21.8 xPts

Malaga DLLDL

Rest15.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel718 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 15 · 2 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · -4.7 vs expected

L18 OctH · Real Sociedad2–51.5 xPts
D9 OctH · Espanyol1–11.6 xPts
L20 SepA · Getafe0–11.2 xPts
L17 SepH · Villarreal1–31.3 xPts
D13 SepA · Celta Vigo1–11.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Osasuna	Malaga
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	14.9La Liga 2026-2027, 7 Nov	15.1La Liga 2026-2027, 7 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	718 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 3	0 / 0 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Osasuna Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Racing Santander (H) 2–0, 18 Oct

13Aitor Fernández(G)

23Abel Bretones 22F. Boyomo 24Catena 19V. Rosier

16Moi Gómez 8Iker Muñoz 7Moncayola

21J. Dubasin 17A. Budimir 14Rubén García

Malaga Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Real Sociedad (H) 2–5, 18 Oct

1Alfonso Herrero(G)

12José Salinas 15Ángel Recio 20F. Calero Villa 31Rafita

18Pablo Martínez 8Carlos Dotor 23Izan Merino 10David Larrubia

9Chupe 21Adrián Niño

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Osasuna Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Malaga Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Osasuna · Home 1.60points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 2-2-1
Scored: 0.80
Conceded: 0.60

Malaga · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.25
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Osasuna	Malaga
Atletico Madrid	L 0–4 A	L 0–2 A
Espanyol	L 0–2 H	D 1–1 H
Getafe	W 1–0 H	L 0–1 A
Celta Vigo	W 2–1 A	D 1–1 A
Levante	D 0–0 H	D 0–0 H
Points	7 of 15 · 1.40 per game	3 of 15 · 0.60 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Osasuna	Malaga
Scored per game	1.11	0.67
Conceded per game	2.00	2.00
Match goals	3.11	2.67
Over 1.5	78%	78%
Over 2.5	44%	33%
Over 3.5	33%	33%
Both teams scored	44%	56%
Clean sheets	33%	11%
Failed to score	33%	44%
Games	9	9

	Osasuna	Malaga
Scored per game	1.00	0.67
Conceded per game	1.90	2.00
Match goals	2.90	2.67
Over 1.5	70%	78%
Over 2.5	40%	33%
Over 3.5	30%	33%
Both teams scored	40%	56%
Clean sheets	30%	11%
Failed to score	40%	44%
Games	10	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Osasuna	Malaga	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	5.56
Corners conceded	4.50	4.89
Match total	8.50	10.45	9.91
Over 8.5	38% 3/8	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.67	2.44
Opponent cards	2.00	2.33
Match total	4.67	4.77	4.73
Over 3.5	56% 5/9	67% 6/9
Over 4.5	56% 5/9	67% 6/9

	Osasuna	Malaga	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	5.70
Corners conceded	4.22	5.10
Match total	8.22	10.80	9.91
Over 8.5	33% 3/9	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	2.60	2.60
Opponent cards	1.90	2.30
Match total	4.50	4.90	4.73
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.