La Liga Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Sevilla 6th · 14 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
Real Betis 4th · 19 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel0 kmRest days15.8 · 14.1Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Sevilla—%
Draw—%
Real Betis—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sevilla)

Forecast from 7 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Sevilla and Real Betis. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

SevillaReal Betis
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
50 Current StrengthIn forecast 72
48 AttackIn forecast 79
57 DefenceIn forecast 59
67 Form indexContext 80
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sevilla

Attack—
Defense risk—

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SevillaReal Betis
1.56 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.78
1.78 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.56
1.05 xGVia Att/Def 1.65
1.47 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96
+0.51 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
100% Scored inContext 100%
22% Clean sheetsContext 44%
11.78 ShotsContext 16.44
4.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.33
37% On target shareContext 39%
7.44 Shots in the boxContext 9.67
61% Box shareContext 56%
13% ConversionContext 11%
2.14 OffsidesContext 1.33
12.67 Shots allowedContext 15.33
5.63 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22
3.29 BlocksContext 3.78
3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
60% Save rateContext 70%
41% PossessionIn forecast 51%
344 PassesContext 495
267 Accurate passesContext 429
78% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.74 Team ratingContext 7.03
14.67 FoulsContext 9.89
12.89 Fouls sufferedContext 11.67
3.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.56
0.22 Red cardsContext 0.11
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80
1.03 xGVia Att/Def 1.71
1.48 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.79
+0.37 Goals minus xGContext +0.39
90% Scored inContext 100%
20% Clean sheetsContext 30%
11.50 ShotsContext 16.70
4.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.20
36% On target shareContext 37%
7.10 Shots in the boxContext 10.00
59% Box shareContext 58%
12% ConversionContext 13%
2.13 OffsidesContext 1.40
12.60 Shots allowedContext 14.60
5.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
3.00 BlocksContext 3.50
3.22 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.33
60% Save rateContext 67%
42% PossessionIn forecast 52%
353 PassesContext 504
278 Accurate passesContext 438
79% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.72 Team ratingContext 6.98
15.20 FoulsContext 10.70
12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 11.90
2.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.20 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sevilla
Rest15.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 67 · 7 pts vs 5.0 for an average club · +2.1 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · Real Madrid1–40.4 xPts
  • D12 OctA · Levante3–31.2 xPts
  • L19 SepH · Barcelona1–30.5 xPts
  • W16 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–01.2 xPts
  • W11 SepH · Valencia1–01.7 xPts
Real Betis
Rest14.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sevilla Real Betis
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match15.8La Liga 2026-2027, 6 Nov14.1La Liga 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 30 / 0 / 3
Next matchdays after this one72.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sevilla Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Real Madrid (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1O. Vlachodimos(G)
17G. Suazo 4Kike Salas 5A. López Gallo 2Juan Iglesias
24Y. Fofana 6L. Agoumé
20Félix Correia 10Peque Fernández 11R. Vargas
9R. Ure
Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sevilla Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sevilla · Home 1.50points per game · 4 home games
W-D-L
2-0-2
Scored
1.25
Conceded
1.75
Real Betis · Away 1.75points per game · 4 away games
W-D-L
2-1-1
Scored
1.50
Conceded
1.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentSevillaReal Betis
Real Madrid L 1–4 A W 1–0 H
Levante D 3–3 A L 2–5 A
Barcelona L 1–3 H L 2–5 H
Deportivo La Coruna W 1–0 A D 1–1 A
Valencia W 1–0 H W 1–0 A
Points7 of 15 · 1.40 per game7 of 15 · 1.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 12 meetings

3 Sevilla wins5 draws2 Real Betis wins
Goals per game1.10 – 1.00 Over 2.530% Both scored60% Clean sheets30% · 20%
  • 1 Mar 2026Real Betis2–2Sevilla
  • 30 Nov 2025Sevilla0–2Real Betis
  • 30 Mar 2025Real Betis2–1Sevilla
  • 6 Oct 2024Sevilla1–0Real Betis
  • 28 Apr 2024Real Betis1–1Sevilla
  • 12 Nov 2023Sevilla1–1Real Betis

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

SevillaReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.561.78
Conceded per game 1.781.56
Match goals 3.333.33
Over 1.5 78%56%
Over 2.5 67%44%
Over 3.5 56%33%
Both teams scored 78%56%
Clean sheets 22%44%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games99
SevillaReal BetisForecast
Scored per game 1.402.10
Conceded per game 1.701.80
Match goals 3.103.90
Over 1.5 70%70%
Over 2.5 60%60%
Over 3.5 50%50%
Both teams scored 70%70%
Clean sheets 20%30%
Failed to score 10%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

SevillaReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won3.004.78
Corners conceded3.566.44
Match total6.5611.229.91
Over 8.522% 2/978% 7/9
Over 9.522% 2/967% 6/9
Over 10.511% 1/956% 5/9
Cards
Cards3.331.67
Opponent cards2.112.67
Match total5.444.344.73
Over 3.578% 7/956% 5/9
Over 4.556% 5/956% 5/9
SevillaReal BetisLeague
Corners
Corners won3.004.90
Corners conceded3.605.90
Match total6.6010.809.91
Over 8.520% 2/1070% 7/10
Over 9.520% 2/1070% 7/10
Over 10.510% 1/1050% 5/10
Cards
Cards3.101.90
Opponent cards2.002.60
Match total5.104.504.73
Over 3.570% 7/1060% 6/10
Over 4.550% 5/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Sevilla9 games · scored 14 · conceded 16
2 2 0-15
1 3 16-30
2 31-45
5 2 46-60
1 3 61-75
5 4 76-90
Real Betis9 games · scored 16 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 2 16-30
7 2 31-45
2 4 46-60
2 2 61-75
3 3 76-90
Sevilla10 games · scored 14 · conceded 17
2 2 0-15
1 3 16-30
2 31-45
5 3 46-60
1 3 61-75
5 4 76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures La Liga

View all fixtures →
Barcelona Villarreal Nov 2216:00 Athletic Club Espanyol Nov 2216:00 Sevilla Real Betis Nov 2216:00 Levante Elche Nov 2216:00 Real Madrid Celta Vigo Nov 2216:00 Alaves Deportivo La Coruna Nov 2216:00 Getafe Atletico Madrid Nov 2216:00 Osasuna Malaga Nov 2216:00 Rayo Vallecano Valencia Nov 2216:00 Racing Santander Real Sociedad Nov 2216:00